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  1. Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine
    mission impossible
    Autor*in: Fischer, Sabine
    Erschienen: [November 2022]
    Verlag:  SWP, Berlin

    President Vladimir Putin escalated Russia's war on Ukraine in September 2022, announcing a partial mobilisation and repeating his threat to use nuclear weapons. But what really ended efforts to bring about peace - which had continued since the 24... mehr

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    Fachinformationsverbund Internationale Beziehungen und Länderkunde
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    Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), Bibliothek
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    President Vladimir Putin escalated Russia's war on Ukraine in September 2022, announcing a partial mobilisation and repeating his threat to use nuclear weapons. But what really ended efforts to bring about peace - which had continued since the 24 February invasion - was the proclaimed annexation of the Ukrainian oblasts of Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia and Cherson. Since his election in 2019, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly called on Putin to agree to a personal meeting, even in the first weeks of this year's Russian invasion. But on 4 October 2022, in response to the actions of the Russian side, he signed a decree rejecting direct talks. Ever since the beginning of the Russian aggression in 2014, and all the more so since 24 February 2022, the course of Ukrainian-Russian negotiations has been highly dependent on the situation in the battlefield and the broader political context.

     

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    Quelle: Verbundkataloge
    Sprache: Englisch
    Medientyp: Buch (Monographie)
    Format: Online
    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/266588
    Schriftenreihe: SWP comment ; 2022, no. 65 (November 2022)
    Schlagworte: Angriff; Beilegung; Internationaler Konflikt; Friedensverhandlung; Konfliktlösung; Entwicklung; Tendenz; Russia; war in Ukraine; invasion; Istanbul Communiqué; Vladimir Putin; Volodymyr Zelenskyy; Petro Poroshenko; NATO; security guarantees; mobilisation; nuclear weapons; peace talks; Luhansk; Donbas; Crimea
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (7 Seiten)
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    "English version of SWP-Aktuell 66/2022"

    Gesehen am 08.11.2022

  2. The impact of the war in Ukraine on energy prices
    consequences for firms’ financial performance
    Erschienen: [2022]
    Verlag:  Banca d'Italia, [Rom]

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    Schriftenreihe: Questioni di economia e finanza / Banca d'Italia ; number 729 (November 2022)
    Schlagworte: war in Ukraine; energy impacts; financial performance; CDS spread
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 16 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Rebuilding Ukraine
    what the international community now needs to consider
    Erschienen: 2023
    Verlag:  German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS) gGmbH, Bonn

    Rebuilding Ukraine starts now - even if it is being undertaken against a backdrop of conflict, violence and destruction, with Russia continuing to wage its war of aggression. In granting Ukraine European Union (EU) candidate status, the EU has also... mehr

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Rebuilding Ukraine starts now - even if it is being undertaken against a backdrop of conflict, violence and destruction, with Russia continuing to wage its war of aggression. In granting Ukraine European Union (EU) candidate status, the EU has also made the country’s recovery one of its own priorities. If this reconstruction project is to succeed, then it is necessary to take into account specific contextual conditions, along with experiences from other recovery processes, such as those in the Western Balkans and Iraq. Functional statehood: Ukraine is better placed in this regard than many other countries, particularly given the functional and widely accepted statehood throughout much of its territory. Reconstruction assistance can kick-start a forward-looking, sustainable green transformation in the economy and society. At the same time, there is a risk that massive external cash flows could feed old networks of corruption and patronage and create new ones. Clear accountability structures are required, along with sanctions for the misuse of funds, if this is to be counteracted. Agile planning over linear phase model: Rebuilding work is taking place in an atmosphere of great uncertainty. Consequently, planning processes must be flexible in order to adapt to different war scenarios. A linear sequence of recovery phases fails to properly address the situation. This is already visible when it comes to efforts to secure critical infrastructure. Its proper functioning is essential to people’s daily lives and to all forms of reconstruction, yet this infrastructure could become a target for attacks again at any time. Ukraine as a self-confident partner: As a result of the war’s trajectory, the Ukrainian Government is adopting a self-assured demeanour in its dealings with international donors. While this is essentially a positive thing, it can also give rise to a resistance to reform. The prospect of EU accession creates a common objective to work towards and can also establish coherent criteria for the recovery process, but only as long as accession remains a credible prospect. Managing reconstruction assistance: Recovery funds have proven an effective means of coordination, though it remains to be seen whether there will be a single fund or several complementary ones. A central Ukraine fund should be (co-)managed on the donor end by the European Commission, as it has at its disposal the strongest reform incentive, namely EU accession. In the meantime, the EU needs to ensure that the Commission and the member states also provide the majority of the funding between them. Diversity and inclusion: The governance structures of the reconstruction project should be designed to afford participation and a say to pluralist political institutions and civil society voices, and strengthen gender equality. In order to counter brain-drain, it is also imperative that young, mobile population groups (including refugees abroad) feel included. Social equity: Incorporating social factors into the recovery process will also be essential. Vulnerable groups will require particular support, given the alarming level of impoverishment among the population as a result of the war. Investment incentives: Essential reconstruction services have to be provided by the private sector. This requires that clear incentives be created, not least by providing investment guarantees. Developing trauma sensitivity: The rebuilding work is taking place in a context of violence and trauma. This requires that all stakeholders develop a particular sensitivity in dealing with survivors of violence and engaging with a traumatised society.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    Weitere Identifier:
    hdl: 10419/271157
    Schriftenreihe: IDOS policy brief ; 2023, 4
    Schlagworte: Angriff; Kriegführung; Wiederaufbau; Ukraine; reconstruction; war in Ukraine; European Union (EU); Wiederaufbauhilfe; international help; fighting corruption; transformation; sustainability
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (12 Seiten)
  4. A note on export redirection
    evidence following the onset of the war in Ukraine
    Erschienen: June 12, 2023
    Verlag:  Institute for Employment Research of the Federal Employment Agency, Nürnberg, Germany

    The war in Ukraine triggered a global trade shock, with German exports to Russia also collapsing abruptly. Using this break, we analyse whether the exports were redirected to other destinations. We divide the world market into three regions:... mehr

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    The war in Ukraine triggered a global trade shock, with German exports to Russia also collapsing abruptly. Using this break, we analyse whether the exports were redirected to other destinations. We divide the world market into three regions: domestic, eurozone, and the rest of the world (ROW). In a panel model of German industries, we find that higher export exposure to Russia meant lower sales to the ROW after the war began. This was offset by higher sales in the eurozone and domestic markets. The effects occurred quickly but later receded. We find no production decline due to the trade shock. Der Krieg in der Ukraine löste einen weltweiten Handelsschock aus, auch die deutschen Exporte nach Russland brachen abrupt ein. Anhand dieses Bruchs analysieren wir, ob es eine Umlenkung der Exporte gab. Wir gliedern den Weltmarkt in drei Regionen: Inland, Eurozone und restliche Welt. In einem Panelmodell im deutschen verarbeitenden Gewerbe stellen wir fest, dass eine höhere Abhängigkeit von Exporten nach Russland nach Kriegsbeginn zu geringeren Verkäufen in die restliche Welt (inkl. Russland) führte. Dies wurde durch höhere Umsätze in der Eurozone und den Inlandsmärkten ausgeglichen. Die Auswirkungen traten schnell ein, ließen aber später nach. Wir stellen keinen Produktionsrückgang aufgrund des Handelsschocks fest.

     

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    Sprache: Englisch
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    hdl: 10419/274566
    Schriftenreihe: IAB-discussion paper ; 2023, 07
    Schlagworte: war in Ukraine; export redirection; trade shock; panel model
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 20 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. The economic impact of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on European countries
    a SVAR approach
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  Swiss National Bank, Zurich

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    Schriftenreihe: SNB working papers ; 2023, 4
    Schlagworte: Geopolitical risk; structural VAR; narrative sign restriction; war in Ukraine; Russia; Europe
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. The invasion of Ukraine and the energy crisis
    comparative advantages in equity valuations
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  Banca d'Italia, [Rom]

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    Schriftenreihe: Questioni di economia e finanza / Banca d'Italia ; number 789 (July 2023)
    Schlagworte: war in Ukraine; energy impacts; energy comparative advantage; financialperformance
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. New (im)possibilities for agriculture and domestic services in Poland and Italy?
    navigating legal solutions and social organisations' support for Ukrainian women displaced by the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022
    Erschienen: September 2023
    Verlag:  Centre of Migration Research, [Warsaw]

    The aim of this report is to analyse the support provided to Ukrainian women in Poland and Italy displaced as a result of the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The analysis focuses on the actions taken by social actors in the... mehr

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    The aim of this report is to analyse the support provided to Ukrainian women in Poland and Italy displaced as a result of the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The analysis focuses on the actions taken by social actors in the agriculture and domestic services sectors. Both countries have been facing labour shortages in these sectors for some time, with the gaps traditionally filled by migrant workers, including a significant number of Ukrainian workers. The main research question is: what forms of support have been provided to forced migrant women from Ukraine in the agriculture and domestic services in Poland and Italy, and has the presence of this new group of migrants contributed to addressing the labour shortages in these sectors? The analysis is based on analysis of secondary sources and the authors' own research findings. We argue that the needs of fleeing Ukrainian women (especially those with children and other dependents) differ significantly from the opportunities available in the agriculture and domestic services in Poland and Italy, characterised by such structural problems as the irregular and seasonal nature of work and working hours, substandard accommodation available for the workers and a lack of work-life balance opportunities. Consequently, there is a need for a more diversified approach to integrating Ukrainian migrant women into the labour markets of the receiving countries. Additionally, it is crucial to adapt legal solutions and implement deeper structural reforms in both sectors to ensure that migrants are protected effectively from exploitation

     

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    Schriftenreihe: CMR working papers ; 134 = 192
    Schlagworte: war in Ukraine; forced migration; women; Poland; Italy; support; agriculture; domestic services
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 48 Seiten)
  8. Trade, food security and the war in Ukraine
    the cases of Egypt and Sudan
    Erschienen: [2023]
    Verlag:  Economic Research Forum (ERF), Dokki, Giza, Egypt

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    Schriftenreihe: ERF working papers series ; no. 1659 (November 2023)
    Schlagworte: food security; trade; war in Ukraine; Egypt; Sudan
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen