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  1. The resolution of uncertainty in the value and probability domains
    Published: January 2024
    Publisher:  CESifo, Munich, Germany

    We compare preferences for temporal resolution when uncertainty is resolved over a probability rather than a value. In various frameworks-e.g., Kreps and Porteus (1978)-, preferences over gradual versus one-shot resolution do not depend on whether... more

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 63
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    We compare preferences for temporal resolution when uncertainty is resolved over a probability rather than a value. In various frameworks-e.g., Kreps and Porteus (1978)-, preferences over gradual versus one-shot resolution do not depend on whether values or probabilities define the main object of uncertainty. In our experiment, however, most subjects resolved uncertain values gradually but uncertain probabilities all at once-both in the gain and loss frames. This systematic discrepancy motivates an explanation for it that we call "process utility", which highlights the importance of information processing when deducing revealed preferences for temporal resolution from choice data.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/295987
    Series: CESifo working papers ; 10898 (2024)
    Subjects: resolution of uncertainty; probability; gradual resolution; one-shot resolution; process utility; non-instrumental information; Kreps-Porteus
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 42 Seiten), Illustrationen