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  1. Do development projects crowd out private-sector activities?
    a survival analysis of contract farming participation in Northern Ghana
    Published: November 2016
    Publisher:  International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA

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    Series: IFPRI discussion paper ; 01575
    Subjects: contract farming; duration analysis; private-sector-led development; development projects; Ghana
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. Monetary policy, risk-taking and pricing:
    evidence from a quasi-natural experiment
    Published: June 2014
    Publisher:  Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Department of Economics and Business, Barcelona

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    Edition: This Draft: June 2014
    Series: Economics working paper series ; no. 1704
    Subjects: Monetary policy; low short-term interest rates; softening lending standards; credit risk; liquidity risk; subprime borrowers; bank agency problems; duration analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Fixed-effects estimation of the linear discrete-time hazard model
    an adjusted first-differences estimator
    Published: [2019]
    Publisher:  Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Institute for Economics, [Nürnberg]

    This paper shows that popular linear fixed-effects panel-data estimators (first-differences, within-transformation) are biased and inconsistent when applied in a discrete-time hazard setting, that is, one with the outcome variable being a binary... more

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    This paper shows that popular linear fixed-effects panel-data estimators (first-differences, within-transformation) are biased and inconsistent when applied in a discrete-time hazard setting, that is, one with the outcome variable being a binary dummy indicating an absorbing state, even if the data generating process is fully consistent with the linear discrete-time hazard model. Besides conventional survival bias, these estimators suffer from another source of - potentially severe - bias that originates from the data transformation itself and is present even in the absence of any unobserved heterogeneity. We suggest an alternative, computationally very simple, adjusted first-differences estimator that cures the data-transformation driven bias of the classical estimators. The theoretical line of argument is supported by evidence from Monte Carlo simulations and is illustrated by an empirical application.

     

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    hdl: 10419/206572
    Series: FAU discussion papers in economics ; no. 2019, 09
    Subjects: linear probability model; individual fixed effects; short panel; discrete-time hazard; duration analysis; survival analysis; non-repeated event; absorbing state; survival bias; misscaling bias
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 44 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Insights on the rapid adoption of Pusa 1121 Basmati variety in North India
    Published: August 2018
    Publisher:  International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA

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    Series: IFPRI discussion paper ; 01756
    Subjects: India; South Asia; Asia; basmati rice; abiotic stress; improved varieties; innovation adoption; extension activities; variety adoption; duration analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. Determinants and timing of dropping out decisions
    evidence from the UK FE sector
    Published: [2014]
    Publisher:  Lancaster University Management School, Lancester

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    Series: Economics working paper series ; 2014/027
    Subjects: Dropout; duration analysis; dropout timing
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Symbolism matters
    the effect of same-sex marriage legalization on partnership stability
    Published: 01 August 2019
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

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    Series: Array ; DP13901
    Subjects: Same-sex marriage; registered partnership; separation; duration analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Success or failure?
    a multi-dimensional analysis of business-, industry- and region-specific determinants of survival
    Published: 2010
    Publisher:  European Regional Science Association, [Louvain-la-Neuve]

    Several empirical studies showed that it is not the level of entrepreneurial activity itself, but the (long-term) survival and growth of new firms that determine the direct and indirect contribution of new businesses to regional employment. To this... more

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    Several empirical studies showed that it is not the level of entrepreneurial activity itself, but the (long-term) survival and growth of new firms that determine the direct and indirect contribution of new businesses to regional employment. To this end, the aim of this paper is to analyze the determinants of the survival of German manufacturing establishments devoting special interest to the multi-dimension approach, thus investigating business-, industry-, and region-specific survival determinants. By using a micro-panel data set of all German manufacturing establishments for the period 1992 to 2005, we employ both non-parametric and semi-parametric procedures that are specifically designed to analyze duration phenomena in order to ascertain survival determinants by explaining the time period between a firm's start-up and its cessation of economic activity. The results enable us to give advice on how to improve the survival conditions of businesses in certain regions and industries and, thus, to enhance the number of establishments with the potential to contribute to regional employment. The main findings indicate that the probability of exit is higher for very young and rather old businesses and also for relatively small businesses. Besides the overall finding of a higher exit risk in agglomerated areas, an above-average level of highly qualified employees working in the establishments decreases the probability of exit. Accordingly, businesses in R&D intensive or high-tech industries enjoy better survival prospects than businesses in other industries. Moreover, we find evidence that that regional industry specialization is not beneficial for the survival of newcomers in a respective industry. This result adds some interesting points to the findings of Dumais, Ellison and Glaeser (2002) who discovered that closure is less likely in those regions that belong to the current geographic centers of an industry and tends to increase geographic concentration. Our results suggest that in German manufacturing industries not only a business' entry but also its survival chances (in opposition to closure in general) are forces that reduce geographic concentration. Possible benefits from geographically bounded, within-industry spillovers seem to be of less importance than the counterforce of intensified local competition for survival.

     

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    hdl: 10419/119026
    Series: Sustainable regional growth and development in the creative knowledge economy : 50th ERSA Congress : 19 - 23 August 2010, Jönköping, Sweden / European Regional Science Association
    Subjects: New firm survival; hazard rates; duration analysis; entrepreneurship
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Why U.S. immigration barriers matter for the global advancement of science
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    This paper studies the impact of U.S. immigration barriers on global knowledge production. We present four key findings. First, among Nobel Prize winners and Fields Medalists, migrants to the U.S. play a central role in the global knowledge network-... more

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    This paper studies the impact of U.S. immigration barriers on global knowledge production. We present four key findings. First, among Nobel Prize winners and Fields Medalists, migrants to the U.S. play a central role in the global knowledge network- representing 20-33% of the frontier knowledge producers. Second, using novel survey data and hand-curated life-histories of International Math Olympiad (IMO) medalists, we show that migrants to the U.S. are up to six times more productive than migrants to other countries-even after accounting for talent during one's teenage years. Third, financing costs are a key factor preventing foreign talent from migrating abroad to pursue their dream careers, particularly talent from developing countries. Fourth, certain 'push' incentives that reduce immigration barriers - by addressing financing constraints for top foreign talent - could increase the global scientific output of future cohorts by 42% percent. We conclude by discussing policy options for the U.S. and the global scientific community.

     

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    hdl: 10419/232768
    Series: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14016
    Subjects: duration analysis; unemployment; propensity score; matching; training; employment
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Empirical Monte Carlo evidence on estimation of timing-of-events models
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    This paper builds on the Empirical Monte Carlo simulation approach developed by Huber et al. (2013) to study the estimation of Timing-of-Events (ToE) models. We exploit rich Swedish data of unemployed job-seekers with information on participation in... more

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    This paper builds on the Empirical Monte Carlo simulation approach developed by Huber et al. (2013) to study the estimation of Timing-of-Events (ToE) models. We exploit rich Swedish data of unemployed job-seekers with information on participation in a training program to simulate placebo treatment durations. We first use these simulations to examine which covariates are key confounders to be included in selection models. The joint inclusion of specific short-term employment history indicators (notably, the share of time spent in employment), together with baseline socio-economic characteristics, regional and inflow timing information, is important to deal with selection bias. Next, we omit subsets of explanatory variables and estimate ToE models with discrete distributions for the ensuing systematic unobserved heterogeneity. In many cases the ToE approach provides accurate effect estimates, especially if time-varying variation in the unemployment rate of the local labor market is taken into account. However, assuming too many or too few support points for unobserved heterogeneity may lead to large biases. Information criteria, in particular those penalizing parameter abundance, are useful to select the number of support points.

     

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    hdl: 10419/232767
    Series: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14015
    Subjects: duration analysis; unemployment; propensity score; matching; training; employment
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Empirical Monte Carlo evidence on estimation of Timing-of-Events models
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  IFAU, Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, Uppsala

    This paper builds on the Empirical Monte Carlo simulation approach developed by Huber et al. (2013) to study the estimation of Timing-of-Events (ToE) models. We exploit rich Swedish data of unemployed job-seekers with information on participation in... more

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    This paper builds on the Empirical Monte Carlo simulation approach developed by Huber et al. (2013) to study the estimation of Timing-of-Events (ToE) models. We exploit rich Swedish data of unemployed job-seekers with information on participation in a training program to simulate placebo treatment durations. We first use these simulations to examine which covariates are key confounders to be included inselection models. The joint inclusion of specific short-term employment history indicators (notably, the share of time spent in employment), together with baseline socio-economic characteristics, regional and inflow timing information,is important to deal with selection bias. Next, we omit subsets of explanatory variables and estimate ToE models with discrete distributions for the ensuing systematic unobserved heterogeneity. In many cases the ToE approach provides accurate effect estimates, especially if time-varying variation in the unemployment rate of the local labor market is taken into account. However, assuming too many or too few support points for unobserved heterogeneity may lead to large biases. Information criteria, in particular those penalizing parameter abundance, are useful to select the number of support points.

     

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    hdl: 10419/246035
    Series: Working paper / Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy ; 2020, 26
    Subjects: duration analysis; unemployment; propensity score; matching; training; employment
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Tax progressivity and self-employment dynamics
    Published: May 2021
    Publisher:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    Analysis of the relationship between taxes and self-employment should account for the interplay between responses in self-employment and wage employment. To this end, we estimate a two-state multi-spell duration model which accounts for both observed... more

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    Analysis of the relationship between taxes and self-employment should account for the interplay between responses in self-employment and wage employment. To this end, we estimate a two-state multi-spell duration model which accounts for both observed and unobserved heterogeneity using a large longitudinal administrative dataset for Norway for 1993 to 2011. Our findings confirm theoretical predictions, and are robust to various changes to definitions and sample selections. A policy experiment simulating a flatter tax schedule in the year 2000 is found to encourage self-employment, delivering a net increase of predicted inflow into self-employment from 2.8% to 5.3%.

     

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    hdl: 10419/236394
    Series: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14363
    Subjects: tax progressivity; income tax; self-employment; duration analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 72 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. The effects of unemployment on health, hospitalizations, and mortality - evidence from administrative data
    Published: April 2021
    Publisher:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    Linking health to the employment history of the whole Slovenia's workforce, this paper employs three innovative features. First, it utilizes a novel "double proof" approach of addressing the reverse causality that tracks only healthy individuals,... more

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    Linking health to the employment history of the whole Slovenia's workforce, this paper employs three innovative features. First, it utilizes a novel "double proof" approach of addressing the reverse causality that tracks only healthy individuals, making sure that any unemployment spell that individual may undergo precedes the occurrence of a disease, and relies on mass-layoffs to provide an additional layer of exogeneity to unemployment. Second, it is one of the first papers using data on drug prescriptions to infer information about the health status of individuals and link it labor market outcomes. And third, it treats the health effects of unemployment as part of a dose-response relationship, with the share of time spent in unemployment (as opposed to other labor market states) reflecting the "unemployment dose". The paper finds that, in comparison to employed persons with permanent contracts, persons experiencing unemployment face increased hazard of all three studied groups of diseases - cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and mental disorders - as well as of hospitalizations caused by these diseases, with the effects stretching over a 15-year horizon. Moreover, the results also show that unemployment significantly increases the probability of death due to cardiovascular diseases and mental disorders, as well as death of any cause.

     

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    hdl: 10419/236349
    Series: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 14318
    Subjects: unemployment; health; hospitalization; mortality; cardiovascular diseases; diabetes; mental disorders; prescriptions; duration analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Analyzing nurses' decisions to leave their profession
    a duration analysis
    Published: December 2021
    Publisher:  Institut für Angewandte Wirtschaftsforschung e.V., Tübingen, Germany

    Many countries suffer from skilled labor shortages in nursing. One way to increase the nurse labor supply is to raise their retention rates. Yet, though several studies exist on factors associated with the nurse labor supply at different levels,... more

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    Many countries suffer from skilled labor shortages in nursing. One way to increase the nurse labor supply is to raise their retention rates. Yet, though several studies exist on factors associated with the nurse labor supply at different levels, literature on factors associated with nurses’ decisions to leave their occupation is relatively scarce. Based on German administrative data, I analyze the determinants of nurses’ decisions to leave their profession. My results suggest that younger nurses, nurses in the social sector,and nurses working with smaller employers leave their occupation more often than their counterparts, irrespective of their specific nursing occupations and care settings (inpatient or outpatient care). Nurses leave more often where more alternative occupational options are available. Nurses who have been unemployed and nurses who have been employed in a different field have a higher probability of leaving the occupation, whereas nurses who just finished vocational training only have a moderate propensity to leave. Female nurses leave less often if employed part time. Female nurses in part time leave even more seldom if they have children. A change in the hospital reimbursement system and introducing a nursing minimum wage during the first decade of the century did not change nurses’ occupation durations.

     

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    hdl: 10419/249059
    Series: IAW discussion papers ; no. 136 (December 2021)
    Subjects: nurses; duration analysis; quitting
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 45 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Determinants of the duration of economic recoveries
    the role of "too much finance"
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University in Prague, Prague

    This paper explores the effect of financial development on the duration of economic recoveries, considering a sample of 414 economic recoveries observed in 67 countries during the period 1989-2019. We define the duration of economic recovery, as the... more

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    This paper explores the effect of financial development on the duration of economic recoveries, considering a sample of 414 economic recoveries observed in 67 countries during the period 1989-2019. We define the duration of economic recovery, as the time it takes the economy to return to its potential output level. Using a continuous-time Weibull duration model, we find that a higher level of financial development tends to prolong the duration of economic recovery. Therefore, our findings indicate that a too highly developed financial system might delay a full recovery after a recession, supporting the notion that there is "too much finance". In particular, greater size of the underregulated sector of non-banking financial institutions (shadow banks) prolongs the economic recovery. Moreover, the emerging economies, with their generally poorer regulatory frameworks, are more negatively affected by "too much finance". Underlining the importance of an effective regulation of the entire financial system, our results also confirm that a higher regulátory quality limits the negative consequences of "too much finance".

     

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    hdl: 10419/286329
    Series: IES working paper ; 2022, 33
    Subjects: economic recovery; duration analysis; Weibull duration model; financial development; too-much-finance
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Patent examination at the State Intellectual Property Office in China
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  European School of Management and Technology, Berlin

    The number of patent applications filed at the Chinese State Intellectual Property Office SIPO grew tremendously over the last decades and the SIPO has become the world's third largest patent office by 2009. In this paper, we provide an overview of... more

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    The number of patent applications filed at the Chinese State Intellectual Property Office SIPO grew tremendously over the last decades and the SIPO has become the world's third largest patent office by 2009. In this paper, we provide an overview of the institutional background of patent examination in China. Moreover, we empirically analyze the determinants of the grant lags applicants have to expect at the SIPO. The multivariate duration analysis is based on the population of 443,533 patent applications filed at the SIPO between 1990 and 2002. The average grant lag is 4.71 years with considerable variation across 30 different technology areas. Interestingly, we find that Chinese applicants are able to achieve faster patent grants than their non-Chinese counterparts (even after controlling for various other determinants of grant lags). This might be an indication of a differential treatment of Chinese applicants which would be in violation of Art. 3 (National Treatment) and Art. 4 (Most-favored Nation Treatment) of TRIPS that has been signed by China in 2001.

     

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    hdl: 10419/96565
    Series: ESMT working paper ; 11-06
    Subjects: Patent; Immaterialgüterrechte; China; patent system, patent examination, State Intellectual Property Office China; patent examination; State Intellectual Property Office China; duration analysis
    Scope: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 44 S., 523 KB)
  16. The ratification of ILO conventions
    a failure time analysis
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  ZEW, Mannheim

    There are over 180 ILO conventions in many areas of labour law, industrial relations and social security, but they are not ratified universally: for the conventions adopted between 1975 and 1995, the cumulated probability of ratification is about 13... more

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    There are over 180 ILO conventions in many areas of labour law, industrial relations and social security, but they are not ratified universally: for the conventions adopted between 1975 and 1995, the cumulated probability of ratification is about 13 per cent ten years after their adoption. In this paper, the ratification decision is understood as a transition between two states. Using duration analysis, we identify circumstances which are favourable to this transition. For industrialised countries, the ratification of ILO conventions is shown to depend on internal political factors such as the preferences of actors from governments or trade unions. For developing countries, the only variables which are significant relate to the economic costs of ratification. There is no evidence for external pressure bearing on the ratification decision. Among industrialised member states, there is a clear downward trend in estimated ratification probabilities over the last two decades.

     

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    hdl: 10419/24360
    Series: ZEW discussion paper ; no. 00-14
    Subjects: Sozialstandards; Abstimmung; Neue politische Ökonomie; Schätzung; Industrieländer; Entwicklungsländer; Statistische Bestandsanalyse; Ratification; International labour standards; ILO; international organisations; transition data; duration analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 42 Seiten), Illustrationen
    Notes:

    Gesamttitel steht auf der Frontdoor

  17. Job stability trends and labor market (re-)entry in West Germany 1984 - 1997
    Published: 1999
    Publisher:  Sonderforschungsbereich 373, Berlin

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    Format: Print
    DDC Categories: 300; 330
    Series: Discussion paper / Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse ; 1999,60
    Subjects: Betriebszugehörigkeit; Arbeitsmobilität; Arbeitslosigkeit; Verweildauer; Arbeitsplatzsicherung; Schätzung; :z Geschichte 1984-1997
    Other subjects: (stw)1984-1997; (stw)Betriebszugehörigkeit; (stw)Arbeitsmobilität; (stw)Arbeitslosigkeit; (stw)Dauer; (stw)Beschäftigungssicherung; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Deutschland; job stability; labor mobility; duration analysis; Arbeitsmarktforschung; Berufliche Mobilität; Berufsverlauf; Berufstätigkeit; Teilzeitarbeit; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 39 S., graph. Darst., 21 cm
  18. Job stability trends, layoffs and quits
    an empirical analysis for West Germany
    Published: 2001
    Publisher:  Sonderforschungsbereich 373, Berlin

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    DDC Categories: 300; 330
    Series: Discussion paper / Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse ; 2001,102
    Subjects: Arbeitsplatzsicherung; Betriebszugehörigkeit; Arbeitsmobilität; Arbeitsvertrag; Kündigung; Schätzung; :z Geschichte 1984-1997
    Other subjects: (stw)1984-1997; (stw)Beschäftigungssicherung; (stw)Betriebszugehörigkeit; (stw)Arbeitsmobilität; (stw)Kündigung; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Deutschland; labor mobility; duration analysis; Job stability; layoffs; Arbeitsmarktforschung; Arbeitslosigkeit; Mathematisches Modell; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: 29 S., graph. Darst., 21 cm
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 16 - 19

  19. Job Stability Trends, Layoffs and Quits
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin

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    DDC Categories: 300; 330
    Subjects: Arbeitsplatzsicherung; Betriebszugehörigkeit; Arbeitsmobilität; Arbeitsvertrag; Kündigung; Schätzung; :z Geschichte 1984-1997
    Other subjects: (stw)1984-1997; (stw)Beschäftigungssicherung; (stw)Betriebszugehörigkeit; (stw)Arbeitsmobilität; (stw)Kündigung; (stw)Schätzung; (stw)Deutschland; labor mobility; duration analysis; Job stability; layoffs; Arbeitsmarktforschung; Arbeitslosigkeit; Mathematisches Modell; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur
    Scope: Online-Ressource
    Notes:

    In: Sonderforschungsbereich 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes, Band 2001, Ausgabe 102, 2001

  20. Symbolism matters
    the effect of same-sex marriage legalization on partnership stability
    Published: July 2019
    Publisher:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    We study the effect of marriage on the stability of formal partnerships exploiting same-sex marriage legalization in the Netherlands as a natural experiment. Same-sex marriage legalization allowed registered partnerships to be transformed into... more

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    DS 4
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    We study the effect of marriage on the stability of formal partnerships exploiting same-sex marriage legalization in the Netherlands as a natural experiment. Same-sex marriage legalization allowed registered partnerships to be transformed into marriage. Since registered partnerships and marriages are similar in terms of rights and obligations we can investigate the effect of marital symbolism on the partnership stability. Using rich administrative data, we find that same-sex marriage legalization had two different effects. First, it increased the separation rate of existing same-sex registered partnerships. Second, partnerships that were transformed into marriage had a substantially lower separation rate. We take the second finding as evidence of the symbolic effect of marriage stabilizing partnerships.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/207342
    Series: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 12516
    Subjects: same-sex marriage; registered partnership; separation; duration analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. Symbolism matters
    the effect of same-sex marriage legalization on partnership stability
    Published: [2019]
    Publisher:  Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    We study the effect of marriage on the stability of formal partnerships exploiting same-sex marriage legalization in the Netherlands as a natural experiment. Samesex marriage legalization allowed registered partnerships to be transformed into... more

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 432
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    We study the effect of marriage on the stability of formal partnerships exploiting same-sex marriage legalization in the Netherlands as a natural experiment. Samesex marriage legalization allowed registered partnerships to be transformed into marriage. Since registered partnerships and marriages are similar in terms of rights and obligations we can investigate the effect of marital symbolism on the partnership stability. Using rich administrative data, we find that same-sex marriage legalization had two different effects. First, it increased the separation rate of existing same-sex registered partnerships. Second, partnerships that were transformed into marriage had a substantially lower separation rate. We take the second finding as evidence of the symbolic effect of marriage stabilizing partnerships.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/205345
    Series: Array ; TI 2019, 055
    Subjects: Same-sex marriage; registered partnership; separation; duration analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  22. Long-run effects of dynamically assigned treatments
    a new methodology and an evaluation of training effects on earnings
    Published: July 2019
    Publisher:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    We propose and implement a new method to estimate treatment effects in settings where individuals need to be in a certain state (e.g. unemployment) to be eligible for a treatment, treatments may commence at different points in time, and the outcome... more

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 4
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    We propose and implement a new method to estimate treatment effects in settings where individuals need to be in a certain state (e.g. unemployment) to be eligible for a treatment, treatments may commence at different points in time, and the outcome of interest is realized after the individual left the initial state. An example concerns the effect of training on earnings in subsequent employment. Any evaluation needs to take into account that some of those who are not trained at a certain time in unemployment will leave unemployment before training while others will be trained later. We are interested in effects of the treatment at a certain elapsed duration compared to "no treatment at any subsequent duration". We prove identification under unconfoundedness and propose inverse probability weighting estimators. A key feature is that weights given to outcome observations of non-treated depend on the remaining time in the initial state. We study earnings effects of WIA training in the US and long-run effects of a training program for unemployed workers in Sweden. Estimates are positive and sizeable, exceeding those obtained by using common static methods, and suggesting a reappraisal of training.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/202816
    Series: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 12470
    Subjects: matching; duration analysis; program evaluation; dynamic treatment evaluation; treatment effects; unemployment; employment
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. Long-run effects of dynamically assigned treatments
    a new methodology and an evaluation of training effects on earnings
    Published: [2019]
    Publisher:  IFAU, Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy, Uppsala

    We propose and implement a new method to estimate treatment effects in settings where individuals need to be in a certain state (e.g. unemployment) to be eligible for a treatment, treatments may commence at different points in time, and the outcome... more

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    DS 137
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    We propose and implement a new method to estimate treatment effects in settings where individuals need to be in a certain state (e.g. unemployment) to be eligible for a treatment, treatments may commence at different points in time, and the outcome of interest is realized after the individual left the initial state. An example concerns the effect of training on earnings in subsequent employment. Any evaluation needs to take into account that some of those who are not trained at a certain time in unemployment will leave unemployment before training while others will be trained later. We are interested in effects of the treatment at a certain elapsed duration compared to "no treatment at any subsequent duration". We prove identification under unconfoundedness and propose inverse probability weighting estimators. A key feature is that weights given to outcome observations of non-treated depend on the remaining time in the initial state. We study earnings effects of WIA training in the US and long-run effects of a training program for unemployed workers in Sweden. Estimates are positive and sizeable, exceeding those obtained by using common static methods, and suggesting a reappraisal of training.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/227838
    Series: Working paper / Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy ; 2019, 18
    Subjects: Treatment effects; dynamic treatment evaluation; program evaluation; duration analysis; matching; unemployment; employment
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 78 Seiten), Illustrationen
  24. Unemployment compensation and unemployment duration
    evidence from the German Hartz IV reform ; conference paper
    Published: 2013
    Publisher:  ZBW, [Kiel

    In 2005, the unemployment compensation for long-term unemployed was reduced in Germany. We examine how this reform affected the transition probability to employment. Additionally, we inspect how this effect varies over unemployment duration. We... more

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DSM 13
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    In 2005, the unemployment compensation for long-term unemployed was reduced in Germany. We examine how this reform affected the transition probability to employment. Additionally, we inspect how this effect varies over unemployment duration. We estimate proportional hazard models using German administrative spell data. According to our results the reform has raised the transition probability of short-term unemployed. The effect is even higher, the longer the unemployment duration. However, the results for long-term unemployed are inconclusive.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/79711
    Edition: This version: August 23, 2013
    Series: Array ; V2
    Subjects: duration analysis; hazard rate; unemployment benefit; Hartz reforms
    Scope: Online-Ressource (49 S.), graph. Darst.
  25. Surviving against the tide
    are new businesses in innovative industries Less affected by general economic trends?
    Published: 2014
    Publisher:  Univ. [u.a.], Jena

    We investigate the role of industry and region-specific conditions for the survival of new businesses in innovative and in other manufacturing industries. The data comprises all German manufacturing start-ups of the 1992 to 2005 period. In contrast... more

    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
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    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 78 (2014,17)
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    We investigate the role of industry and region-specific conditions for the survival of new businesses in innovative and in other manufacturing industries. The data comprises all German manufacturing start-ups of the 1992 to 2005 period. In contrast to studies for some other countries, we find that businesses in innovative industries have higher survival rates than businesses in other manufacturing industries. Moreover, the chances of survival for innovative industries are rather immune to changes, regarding regional and industry-specific conditions, whereas businesses in the other manufacturing industries are strongly affected. These findings highlight that resistance to adverse conditions is dependent on industry specific opportunities and technological conditions.

     

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/104575
    Series: Jena economic research papers ; 2014-017
    Subjects: duration analysis; entrepreneurship; hazard rates; location; New business survival
    Scope: Online-Ressource (30 S.)