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Displaying results 1 to 13 of 13.

  1. Choosing between causal interpretations
    an experimental study
    Author: Ambuehl, Sandro; Thysen, Heidi
    Published: November 2024
    Publisher:  University of Zurich, Department of Economics, Zurich

    Good decision-making requires understanding the causal impact of our actions. Often, we only have access to correlational data that could stem from multiple causal mechanisms with divergent implications for choice. Our experiments comprehensively... more

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    DS 191
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    Good decision-making requires understanding the causal impact of our actions. Often, we only have access to correlational data that could stem from multiple causal mechanisms with divergent implications for choice. Our experiments comprehensively characterize choice when subjects face conflicting causal interpretations of such data. Behavior primarily reflects three types: following interpretations that make attractive promises, choosing cautiously, and assessing the fit of interpretations to the data. We characterize properties of interpretations that obscure bad fit to subjects. Preferences for more complex models are more common than those reflecting Occam's razor. Implications extend to the Causal Narratives and Model Persuasion literatures.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/306547
    Series: Working paper series / University of Zurich, Department of Economics ; no. 458
    Subjects: Decision-making; causal mechanisms; causal narratives; model persuasion; causal interpretations
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 113 Seiten), Illustrationen
  2. On the output effect of fiscal consolidation plans
    a causal analysis
    Author: Carbonari, Lorenzo; Farcomeni, Alessio; Maurici, Filippo; Trovato, Giovanni
    Published: [2024]
    Publisher:  CEIS Tor Vergata, [Rom]

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: CEIS Tor Vergata research paper series ; vol. 22, issue 3 = no. 578 (May 2024)
    Subjects: fiscal adjustment; economic growth; causal mechanisms; mediation analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Nonparametric estimation of natural direct and indirect effects based on inverse probability weighting
    Author: Hsu, Yu-Chin; Huber, Martin; Lai, Tsung-Chih
    Published: 2017-05-01
    Publisher:  University of Fribourg, Switzerland, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Fribourg

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    VS 263 (482)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working papers SES / Université de Fribourg, Faculté des sciences economiques et sociales ; n. 482 (5.2017)
    Subjects: causal mechanisms; direct effects; indirect effects; causal channels; mediation analysis; causal pathways; series logit estimation; nonparametric estimation; inverse probability weighting; propensity score
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Direct and indirect effects based on difference-in-differences with an application to political preferences following the Vietnam draft lottery
    Author: Deuchert, Eva; Huber, Martin; Schelker, Mark
    Published: 2017-07-01
    Publisher:  University of Fribourg, Switzerland, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Fribourg

    This paper proposes a difference-in-differences approach for disentangling a total treatment effect on some outcome into a direct effect as well as an indirect effect operating through a binary intermediate variable - or mediator - within strata... more

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    This paper proposes a difference-in-differences approach for disentangling a total treatment effect on some outcome into a direct effect as well as an indirect effect operating through a binary intermediate variable - or mediator - within strata defined upon how the mediator reacts to the treatment. Imposing random treatment assignment along with specific common trend (and further) assumptions identifies the direct effects on the always and never takers, whose mediator is not affected by the treatment, as well as the direct and indirect effects on the compliers, whose mediator reacts to the treatment. We provide an empirical application based on the Vietnam draft lottery, where we analyse the impact of the random draft lottery number on political preferences. The results suggest that a high draft risk due to the lottery leads to a relative increase in mild preferences for the Republican Party, but has no effect on strong preferences for either party or on policy contents. Moreover, the increase in Republican support is mostly driven by the direct effect.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Edition: This Version 7.2017
    Series: Working papers SES / Université de Fribourg, Faculté des sciences economiques et sociales ; n. 473 (7.2017)
    Subjects: treatment effects; causal mechanisms; direct and indirect effects; Vietnam War lottery; political preferences; difference-indifferences
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 50 Seiten)
    Notes:

    N. 473, First Version VII.2016, This Version VII.2017 (revised)
  5. Direct and indirect effects based on changes-in-changes
    Author: Huber, Martin; Schelker, Mark; Strittmatter, Anthony
    Published: 2019
    Publisher:  University of Fribourg, Switzerland, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Fribourg

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working papers SES / Université de Fribourg, Faculté des sciences economiques et sociales ; n. 508 (9.2019)
    Subjects: Direct effects; indirect effects; mediation analysis; changes-in-changes; causal mechanisms; treatment effects
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 62 Seiten)
  6. Causal mediation analysis with double machine learning
    Author: Farbmacher, Helmut; Huber, Martin; Langen, Henrika; Spindler, Martin
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  University of Fribourg, Switzerland, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Fribourg

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working papers SES / Université de Fribourg, Faculté des sciences economiques et sociales ; n. 515 (5.2020)
    Subjects: mediation; direct and indirect effects; causal mechanisms; double machine learning; efficient score
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Políticas públicas de igualdade racial: trajetórias e mudança institucional no governo federal de 2000 a 2014
    Author: Silva, Tatiana Dias; Pin Calmon, Paulo du; Silva, Suylan de Almeida Midlej e
    Published: junho de 2021
    Publisher:  Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Rio de Janeiro

    This text investigates how public policies focused on racial equality were inserted in the governmental agenda and how they were implemented by the Brazilian federal government from 2000 to 2014. The research strategy was a case study, using process... more

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    This text investigates how public policies focused on racial equality were inserted in the governmental agenda and how they were implemented by the Brazilian federal government from 2000 to 2014. The research strategy was a case study, using process tracing to analyze the facts in this period. Based on this tool, a timeline was developed, consisting of three periods and a background section. The first period (2000 to 2002) refers to the time of preparation for the Durban Conference in 2001 and its immediate effects. In the second period (2003-2009), the institutionalization of the racial equality policy within the federal government was marked by the rise of the government of the Workers' Party (PT) and by the creation of a dedicated department on ministerial level - Secretaria de Políticas de Promoção da Igualdade Racial (the Secretariat of Policies for the Promotion of Racial Equality). The last period (2010-2014) incorporates the policy consolidation, in which developed norms and decisions established the legitimacy of the undertaken policies and allowed their expansion. To investigate each period in relation to the stated aims, questions and assumptions, the research was divided into three non-linear steps. In the first stage, the focus is to trace the timeline, with the main events of each period and with the main causal mechanisms that led to the institutional change. The second stage focuses on qualifying the institutional change, characterizing its main aspects. In the third stage, it tries to identify how the categories of the various protagonists, contexts and institutions acted in the process of institutional change. The investigation was based on documental, bibliographical and interview research. It is concluded that the process of insertion of racial equality policies in the Brazilian federal government in the period from 2000 to 2014 was promoted by causal mechanisms such as international pressure, institutional tension and normative validation, configuring a layered institutional change trajectory, which also lead towards processes of change by conversion and by drift.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: Portuguese
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/240856
    Series: Texto para discussão / Ipea ; 2662
    Subjects: racial equality; institutional change; causal mechanisms; process tracing
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 122 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Mediation analysis synthetic control
    Author: Mellace, Giovanni; Pasquini, Alessandra
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Banca d'Italia Eurosistema, [Rom]

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    Language: English
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    Series: Temi di discussione / Banca d'Italia ; number 1389 (November 2022)
    Subjects: synthetic control method; mediation analysis; causal mechanisms; direct andindirect effects
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 56 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. On the output effect of fiscal consolidation plans
    a causal analysis
    Author: Carbonari, Lorenzo; Farcomeni, Alessio; Maurici, Filippo; Trovato, Giovanni
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, [Waterloo, Ontario]

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper series / Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis ; wp 23, 18
    Subjects: fiscal adjustment; economic growth; causal mechanisms; mediation analysis
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 43 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. From economic gains to social losses
    How stories shape expectations in the case of German municipal finance
    Author: Fastenrath, Florian; Orban, Agnes; Trampusch, Christine
    Published: 2017
    Publisher:  Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies, Cologne

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  11. On the sensitivity of wage gap decompositions
    Author: Huber, Martin; Solovyeva, Anna
    Published: 2018
    Publisher:  University of Fribourg, Switzerland, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Fribourg

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    VS 263 (497)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working papers SES / Université de Fribourg, Faculté des sciences economiques et sociales ; n. 497 (10.2018)
    Subjects: wage decomposition; gender wage gap; causal mechanisms; mediation
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Direct and indirect effects of training vouchers for the unemployed
    Author: Huber, Martin; Lechner, Michael; Strittmatter, Anthony
    Published: Jun 2015
    Publisher:  School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economics, University of St.Gallen, St. Gallen

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    Language: English
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    Format: Online
    Series: Discussion paper / Universität St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economics ; no. 2015, 14 (June 2015)
    Subjects: Mediation analysis; voucher award; training programmes; direct effects; indirect effects; causal mechanisms; causal channels; matching estimation
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 40 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. The conditional effects of international human rights institutions
    Author: Dai, Xinyuan
    Published: 2014
    Publisher:  WZB, Berlin

    Much research on effects of international human rights institutions (IHRIs) is fixated on whether IHRIs have - "on balance" or "systematically" - generated domestic effect. This essay highlights the path-dependent and conditional nature of domestic... more

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    Fachinformationsverbund Internationale Beziehungen und Länderkunde
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    Peace Research Institute Frankfurt, Bibliothek
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    Much research on effects of international human rights institutions (IHRIs) is fixated on whether IHRIs have - "on balance" or "systematically" - generated domestic effect. This essay highlights the path-dependent and conditional nature of domestic effects of IHRIs that the current scholarship has either willfully ignored or proven unable to take seriously. It focuses on causal mechanisms by which IHRIs, as codification of rights and as treaty organizations, impact domestic human rights practice by empowering domestic human rights stakeholders and thereby indirectly influencing states' human rights practice. The essay sheds further light on the conditions under which IHRIs empower domestic stakeholders. Ein Großteil der Forschung zu Effekten der internationalen Menschenrechtsinstitutionen (IMRI) beschränkt sich auf die Frage, ob IMRI "bilanzielle" oder "systematische" Effekte auf die Innenpolitik von Staaten ausüben. Dieser Essay hebt die pfadabhängige und konditionale Natur dieser innenpolitischen Effekten der IMRI hervor, welche die aktuelle Forschung entweder bewusst ignoriert, beziehungsweise sie nicht ernst genommen hat. Der Fokus liegt auf den kausalen Mechanismen durch welche IMRI, verstanden als in einer vertragsbasierten Organisation kodifizierte Rechte, auf die nationalen Menschenrechtspraktiken einwirken, in dem sie nationale Menschenrechtsaktivisten stärken und somit einen indirekten Einfluss auf die staatlichen Menschenrechtspraktiken haben. Außerdem gibt dieser Essay Aufschlüsse darüber, unter welchen Bedingungen IMRI die nationalen Interessengruppen und Aktivisten stärken.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/103310
    Series: Discussion papers / Social Science Research Center Berlin, Research Area International Politics and Law, Research Unit Global Governance ; SP IV 2014-105
    Subjects: Menschenrecht; Schutz; Internationale Organisation; Politischer Prozess; Internationale Politik; Innenpolitik; Bedeutung; Rolle; Kodifikation; Völkerrechtlicher Vertrag; international human rights institutions; domestic human rights stakeholders; mobilization; causal mechanisms; internationale Menschenrechtsinstitutionen; nationale Menschenrechtsaktivisten; Mobilisierung; kausale Mechanismen
    Scope: Online Ressource (26 S.)
    Notes:

    Zsfassung in dt. Sprache