Skip to main navigation Skip to main content
info(at)avldigital.remove-this.de
Deutsch English
Narrow Search
Search narrowed by
Last searches

Results for *

Displaying results 1 to 25 of 52.

  1. Is the cycle the trend?
    evidence from the views of international forecasters
    Author: Bluedorn, John Christopher; Leigh, Daniel
    Published: June 2018
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    We revisit the conventional view that output fluctuates around a stable trend by analyzing professional long-term forecasts for 38 advanced and emerging market economies. If transitory deviations around a trend dominate output fluctuations, then... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    We revisit the conventional view that output fluctuates around a stable trend by analyzing professional long-term forecasts for 38 advanced and emerging market economies. If transitory deviations around a trend dominate output fluctuations, then forecasters should not change their long-term output level forecasts following an unexpected change in current period output. By contrast, an analysis of Consensus Economics forecasts since 1989 suggest that output forecasts are super-persistent-an unexpected 1 percent upward revision in current period output typically translates into a revision of ten year-ahead forecasted output by about 2 percent in both advanced and emerging markets. Drawing upon evidence from the behavior of forecast errors, the persistence of actual output is typically weaker than forecasters expect, but still consistent with output shocks normally having large and permanent level effects

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Volltext (kostenfrei)
    Volltext (kostenfrei)
  2. The tyranny of the market
    why you can't always get what you want
    Author: Waldfogel, Joel
    Published: 2007
    Publisher:  Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Mass

    Location:
    Brandenburgische Technische Universität Cottbus - Senftenberg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan
    Link to union catalogue:
    Kooperativer Bibliotheksverbund Berlin-Brandenburg (KOBV)
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9780674044791
    Other identifier:
    Subjects: Consumers' preferences; Free enterprise; Majorities; Social choice; Supply and demand; Kollektiventscheidung; Angebot; Markt; Verbraucher; Nachfrage
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (ix, 204 p)
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 189-193) and index
  3. Innovation by demand
    an interdisciplinary approach to the study of demand and its role in innovation
    Published: 2002
    Publisher:  Manchester University Press, Manchester

    The structure and regulation of consumption and demand has recently become of great interest to sociologists and economists alike, and at the same time there is growing interest in trying to understand the patterns and drivers of technological... more

     

    The structure and regulation of consumption and demand has recently become of great interest to sociologists and economists alike, and at the same time there is growing interest in trying to understand the patterns and drivers of technological innovation. This book brings together a range of sociologists and economists to study the role of demand and consumption in the innovative process. The book starts with a broad conceptual overview of ways that the sociological and economics literatures address issues of innovation, demand and consumption. It goes on to offer different approaches to the economics of demand and innovation through an evolutionary framework, before reviewing how consumption fits into evolutionary models of economic development. Food consumption is then looked at as an example of innovation by demand, including an examination of the dynamic nature of socially-constituted consumption routines. The book includes a number of illuminating case studies, including an analysis of how black Americans use consumption to express collective identity, and a number of demand-innovation relationships within matrices or chains of producers and users or other actors, including service industries such as security, and the environmental performance of companies. The involvement of consumers in innovation is looked at, including an analysis of how consumer needs may be incorporated in the design of high-tech products. The final chapter argues for the need to build an economic sociology of demand that goes from micro-individual through to macro-structural features

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 0719062675; 141759053X; 9781417590537
    RVK Categories: QC 110 ; QC 344
    Series: New dynamics of innovation and competition
    Subjects: Consumption (Economics); Diffusion of innovations; Supply and demand; Consumption (Economics); Demand (Economic theory)
    Scope: Online-Ressource (214 p), ill
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references and index

    Contents; Figures and tables; Series foreword; Contributors; 1 Innovation by demand? An introduction - Andrew McMeekin, Ken Green, Mark Tomlinson and Vivien Walsh; 2 Social mechanisms generating demand: a review and manifesto - Alan Warde; 3 There's more to the economics of consumption than (almost) unconstrained utility maximisation - G. M. Peter Swann; 4 Variety, growth and demand - Pier Paolo Saviotti; 5 Preferences and novelty: a multidisciplinary perspective - Wilhelm Ruprecht; 6 Social routines and the consumption of food - Mark Tomlinson and Andrew McMeekin

    7 Social categorisation and group identification: how African-Americans shape their collective identity through consumption - Virág Molnár and Michèle Lamont8 Hyperembedded demand and uneven innovation: female labour in a male-dominated service industry - Bonnie H. Erickson; 9 Greening organisations: purchasing, consumption and innovation - Ken Green, Barbara Morton and Steve New; 10 Information and communication technologies and the role of consumers in innovation - Leslie Haddon; 11 The incorporation of user needs in telecom product design - Vivien Walsh, Carole Cohen and Albert Richards

    12 Markets, supermarkets and the macro-social shaping of demand: an instituted economic process approach - Mark HarveyIndex

    Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web
  4. The tyranny of the market
    why you can't always get what you want
    Author: Waldfogel, Joel
    Published: 2007
    Publisher:  Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Mass

    Location:
    Ostbayerische Technische Hochschule Amberg-Weiden / Hochschulbibliothek Amberg
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

    Location:
    TH-AB - Technische Hochschule Aschaffenburg, Hochschulbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

    Location:
    Technische Hochschule Augsburg
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Bamberg
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Coburg, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Kempten, Hochschulbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Landshut, Hochschule für Angewandte Wissenschaften, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Passau
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9780674044791
    Other identifier:
    Subjects: Consumers' preferences; Free enterprise; Majorities; Social choice; Supply and demand; Kollektiventscheidung; Angebot; Markt; Verbraucher; Nachfrage
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (ix, 204 p)
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 189-193) and index
  5. Demand forecasting and inventory control
    a computer aided learning approach
    Author: Lewis, Colin David
    Published: c1997
    Publisher:  Woodhead Pub. in association with the Institute of Operations Management, Cambridge, England

    This practical book covers the forecasting- and inventory control methods used in commercial, retail and manufacturing companies. Colin Lewis explains the theory and practice of current demand forecasting methods, the links between forecasts produced... more

    Location:
    Universität Potsdam, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    This practical book covers the forecasting- and inventory control methods used in commercial, retail and manufacturing companies. Colin Lewis explains the theory and practice of current demand forecasting methods, the links between forecasts produced as a result of analysing demand data and the various methods by which this information, together with cost information on stocked items, is used to establish the controlling parameters of the most commonly used inventory control systems. The demand forecasting section of the book concentrates on the family of short-term forecasting models based on the exponentially weighted average and its many variants and also a group of medium-term forecasting models based on a time series, curve fitting approach. The inventory control sections investigate the re-order level policy and re-order cycle policy and indicate how these two processes can be operated at minimum cost while offering a high level of customer service. Covers both the theory and practice of current demand forecasting methods Is published in association with The Institute of Operations Management

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Volltext (An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click for information)
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 1855732416; 1136346848; 1856179893; 9781855732414; 9781136346842; 9781856179898
    RVK Categories: ST 610 ; ST 330
    Subjects: Supply and demand; Production management; Inventory control; Inventory control; Supply and demand
    Scope: Online-Ressource (xii, 157 p), ill, 24 cm.
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references and index

    Electronic reproduction; Mode of access: World Wide Web

    ForecastingDemand forecasting and inventory control; Short-term forecasting for stationary demand situations; Short-term forecasting for growth and seasonality; Medium-term forecasting for growth and seasonality; The essential links between forecasting and inventory control; Inventory control: the re-order level inventory policy -- Establishing the value for the re-order level; Establishing the size of the replenishment order; Examining the relationship between the re-order level and the replenishment quantity; Inventory control: the re-order cycle inventory policy -- Establishing the review period and maximum stock level; Conclusion -- Selecting the most appropriate inventory control policy.
  6. The tyranny of the market
    why you can't always get what you want
    Author: Waldfogel, Joel
    Published: 2007
    Publisher:  Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Mass

    Location:
    Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz Bibliothek - Niedersächsische Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Hildesheim
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Merseburg, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliotheks-und Informationssystem der Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg (BIS)
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Jade Hochschule Wilhelmshaven/Oldenburg/Elsfleth, Campus Oldenburg, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan
    Location:
    Jade Hochschule Wilhelmshaven/Oldenburg/Elsfleth, Campus Elsfleth, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Jade Hochschule Wilhelmshaven/Oldenburg/Elsfleth, Campus Wilhelmshaven, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 0674025814; 9780674025813; 0674044797; 9780674044791
    Other identifier:
    RVK Categories: MS 5560
    Subjects: Social choice; Majorities; Supply and demand; Free enterprise; Consumers' preferences
    Scope: Online-Ressource (ix, 204 p), ill, 22 cm
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 189-193) and index

    Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web

    TheoryMarkets and the tyranny of the majority -- Are "lumpy" markets a problem? -- Empirical evidence -- Who benefits whom in practice -- Who benefits whom in the neighborhood -- Preference minorities as citizens and consumers -- Market solutions and their limits -- Market enlargement and consumer liberation -- Fixed costs, product quality, and market size -- Trade and the tyranny of alien majorities -- Salvation through new technologies -- Policy solutions and their limits -- Government subsidies and insufficient demand -- Books and liquor: two case studies.
  7. Demand forecasting and inventory control
    a computer aided learning approach
    Author: Lewis, Colin David
    Published: c1997
    Publisher:  Woodhead Pub. in association with the Institute of Operations Management, Cambridge, England

    This practical book covers the forecasting- and inventory control methods used in commercial, retail and manufacturing companies. Colin Lewis explains the theory and practice of current demand forecasting methods, the links between forecasts produced... more

    Location:
    Bibliotheks-und Informationssystem der Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg (BIS)
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan
    Location:
    Bibliotheks-und Informationssystem der Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg (BIS)
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universität Potsdam, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    This practical book covers the forecasting- and inventory control methods used in commercial, retail and manufacturing companies. Colin Lewis explains the theory and practice of current demand forecasting methods, the links between forecasts produced as a result of analysing demand data and the various methods by which this information, together with cost information on stocked items, is used to establish the controlling parameters of the most commonly used inventory control systems. The demand forecasting section of the book concentrates on the family of short-term forecasting models based on the exponentially weighted average and its many variants and also a group of medium-term forecasting models based on a time series, curve fitting approach. The inventory control sections investigate the re-order level policy and re-order cycle policy and indicate how these two processes can be operated at minimum cost while offering a high level of customer service. Covers both the theory and practice of current demand forecasting methods Is published in association with The Institute of Operations Management

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Volltext (An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click for information)
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 1855732416; 1136346848; 1856179893; 9781855732414; 9781136346842; 9781856179898
    RVK Categories: ST 610 ; ST 330
    Subjects: Supply and demand; Production management; Inventory control; Inventory control; Supply and demand
    Scope: Online-Ressource (xii, 157 p), ill, 24 cm.
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references and index

    Electronic reproduction; Mode of access: World Wide Web

    ForecastingDemand forecasting and inventory control; Short-term forecasting for stationary demand situations; Short-term forecasting for growth and seasonality; Medium-term forecasting for growth and seasonality; The essential links between forecasting and inventory control; Inventory control: the re-order level inventory policy -- Establishing the value for the re-order level; Establishing the size of the replenishment order; Examining the relationship between the re-order level and the replenishment quantity; Inventory control: the re-order cycle inventory policy -- Establishing the review period and maximum stock level; Conclusion -- Selecting the most appropriate inventory control policy.
  8. Teacher supply in the United States
    sources of newly hired teachers in public and private schools, 1987-88 to 1993-94
    Published: Sept. 2000

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    C 235803
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Edition: [Elektronische Ressource]
    Series: Statistical analysis report / National Center for Education Statistics
    Subjects: Lehrkräfte; Angebot; Bildungsstatistik; Erwerbstätigkeit; USA; Arbeitsmarktintegration
    Other subjects: Array; Array; Array
    Scope: Online-Ressource, IX, 31 p., text, ill, 28 cm
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 20-21)
  9. Unreported labour
    Published: 2005
    Publisher:  Dep. of Economics, Univ. of Oslo, Oslo

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    W 17 (2005.28)
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/62955
    Series: Memorandum / Department of Economics, University of Oslo ; 2005.28
    Subjects: Steuervermeidung; Arbeitsangebot; Arbeitsnachfrage; Schätzung; Informal sector (Economics); Supply and demand
    Scope: Online-Ressource, 32 p., text, ill
    Notes:

    nBibliography
  10. Competition in large markets
    Published: 2005
    Publisher:  Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago, Ill.

    "This paper evaluates the simplifying assumption that producers compete in a large market without substantial strategic interactions using nonparametric regressions of producers' choices on market size. With such atomistic competition, increasing... more

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    W 88 (2005.16)
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    "This paper evaluates the simplifying assumption that producers compete in a large market without substantial strategic interactions using nonparametric regressions of producers' choices on market size. With such atomistic competition, increasing the number of consumers leaves the distributions of producers' prices and other choices unchanged. In many models featuring non-trivial strategic considerations, producers' prices fall as their numbers increase. I examine observations of restaurants' sales, seating capacities, exit decisions, and prices from 222 U.S. cities. Given factor prices and demographic variables, increasing a city's size increases restaurants' average sales and decreases their exit rate and prices. These results suggest that strategic considerations lie at the heart of restaurant pricing and turnover."--Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago web site

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working papers / Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ; 2005-16
    Subjects: Monopolistischer Wettbewerb; Markteintritt; Marktstruktur; Gastronomie; USA; Competition; Restaurants; Industries; Supply and demand
    Scope: Online-Ressource, 29, [7] p., text
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references
  11. Production and inventory behavior of capital
    Published: June 2005

    "This paper provides a dynamic optimization model of durable good inventories to study the interactions between investment demand and production of capital goods. There are three major findings: First, capital suppliers' inventory behavior makes... more

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    W 826 (2005.044)
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    "This paper provides a dynamic optimization model of durable good inventories to study the interactions between investment demand and production of capital goods. There are three major findings: First, capital suppliers' inventory behavior makes investment demand more volatile in equilibrium; Second, equilibrium price of capital is characterized by downward stickiness; Third, the responses of the capital market to interest rate and other environmental changes are asymmetric. All are the results of equilibrium interactions between demand and supply"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper series / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ; 2005,044
    Subjects: Dauerhafte Konsumgüter; Dynamische Optimierung; Investition; Volatilität; Preisrigidität; Kapitaltheorie; Theorie; Supply and demand; Capital investments
    Scope: Online-Ressource, 23 p., text
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references

    Also available in print
  12. Cars in Europe
    supply chains and spillovers during COVID-19 times
    Author: Boranova, Vizhdan; Huidrom, Raju; Ozturk, Ezgi; Stepanyan, Ara; Topalova, Petia; Zhang, Shihangyin
    Published: 2022 JAN
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    The auto sector is macro-critical in many European countries and constitutes one of the main supply chains in the region. Using a multi-sector and multi-country general equilibrium model, this paper presents a quantitative assessment of the impact of... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 301
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    Signature:
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    Signature:
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E_Book IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    The auto sector is macro-critical in many European countries and constitutes one of the main supply chains in the region. Using a multi-sector and multi-country general equilibrium model, this paper presents a quantitative assessment of the impact of global pandemic-induced labor supply shocks-both directly and via supply chains-during the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic on the auto sector and aggregate activity in Europe. Our results suggest that these labor supply shocks would have a significant adverse impact on the major auto producers in Europe, with one-third of the decline in the value added of the car sector attributable to spillovers via supply chains within and across borders. Within borders, the pandemic-induced labor supply shocks in the services sector have a bigger adverse impact, reflecting their larger size and associated demand effects. Across borders, spillovers from the pandemic-induced labor supply shocks that originate in other European countries are larger than those that originate outside the region, though the latter are still sizable

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  13. Supply chains and port congestion around the world
    Author: Komaromi, Andras; Cerdeiro, Diego A.; Liu, Yang
    Published: 2022 MAR
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    Rising prices and reports of empty shelves in major economies have drawn attention to the functioning of supply chains that normally operate smoothly in the background. Among the issues, the long delays that port congestion may have caused in... more

    Access:
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 301
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    Signature:
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    Signature:
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E_Book IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    Rising prices and reports of empty shelves in major economies have drawn attention to the functioning of supply chains that normally operate smoothly in the background. Among the issues, the long delays that port congestion may have caused in delivering goods to consumers and firms have been gathering increasing attention. We shed light on these issues leveraging a unique data set on maritime transport. Two main features emerge. First, at the world level, we find that shipping times jumped upwards as soon as the COVID crisis hit, and after a marked acceleration from end-2020, delays surpassed 1.5 days on average by December 2021 - or roughly a 25 percent increase in global travel times. The estimated additional days in transit for the average shipment in December 2021 can be compared to an ad-valorem tariff of 0.9 to 3.1 percent. The midpoint of this range is approximately equal, in absolute value, to the global applied tariff reduction achieved over the 14-year period from 2003 to 2017. Second, not all congestion appears related to increased demand. Many ports, especially since mid-2021, exhibit longer wait times despite handling less cargo than pre-pandemic. Infrastructure upgrading is therefore likely a necessary, but not sufficient condition for building resilience during a crisis where other factors (such as labor shortages) may also become binding

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  14. Supply bottlenecks
    where, why, how much, and what next?
    Author: Celasun, Oya; Hansen, Niels-Jakob Harbo; Mineshima, Aiko; Spector, Mariano; Zhou, Jing
    Published: 2022 FEB
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    Supply constraints hurt the economic recovery and boosted inflation in 2021. We find that in the euro area, manufacturing output and GDP would have been about 6 and 2 percent higher, respectively, and half of the rise in manufacturing producer price... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 301
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    Signature:
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    Signature:
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E_Book IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    Supply constraints hurt the economic recovery and boosted inflation in 2021. We find that in the euro area, manufacturing output and GDP would have been about 6 and 2 percent higher, respectively, and half of the rise in manufacturing producer price inflation would not have occurred in the absence of supply bottlenecks. Globally, shutdowns can explain up to 40 percent of the supply shocks. Sectors that are more reliant on differentiated inputs-such as autos-are harder hit. Late last year industry experts expected supply shortages for autos to largely dissipate by mid-2022 and broader bottlenecks by end-2022, but given the Omicron wave, disruptions will last for longer, possibly into 2023. With supply constraints adding to price pressures, the challenge for policymakers is to support recovery without allowing high inflation to become entrenched

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  15. Measuring output gap
    is it worth your Time?
    Author: Chen, Jiaqian; Górnicka, Lucyna
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    We apply a range of models to the U.K. data to obtain estimates of the output gap. A structural VAR with an appropriate identification strategy provides improved estimates of output gap with better real time properties and lower sensitivity to... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 301
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    Signature:
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    Signature:
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E_Book IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    We apply a range of models to the U.K. data to obtain estimates of the output gap. A structural VAR with an appropriate identification strategy provides improved estimates of output gap with better real time properties and lower sensitivity to temporary shocks than the usual filtering techniques. It also produces smaller out-of-sample forecast errors for inflation. At the same time, however, our results suggest caution in basing policy decisions on output gap estimates

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  16. Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil
    Author: Rebei, Nooman; Sbia, Rashid
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 301
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    Signature:
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    Signature:
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E_Book IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in the propagation mechanisms of transitory versus permanent shocks, pointing to the importance of disentangling their distinct effects. Permanent supply disruptions turn out to be a bigger factor in historical oil price movements during the most recent decades, while speculative shocks became less influential

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  17. COVID-19 and SME failures
    Author: Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier; Penciakova, Veronika; Sander, Nicholas
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    We estimate the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on business failures among small and medium size enterprises (SMEs) in seventeen countries using a large representative firm-level database. We use a simple model of firm cost-minimization and measure... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 301
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    Signature:
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    Signature:
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E_Book IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    We estimate the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on business failures among small and medium size enterprises (SMEs) in seventeen countries using a large representative firm-level database. We use a simple model of firm cost-minimization and measure each firm's liquidity shortfall during and after COVID-19. Our framework allows for a rich combination of sectoral and aggregate supply, productivity, and demand shocks. We estimate a large increase in the failure rate of SMEs under COVID-19 of nearly 9 percentage points, ab-sent government support. Accommodation and Food Services, Arts, Entertainment and Recreation, Education, and Other Services are among the most affected sectors. The jobs at risk due to COVID-19 related SME business failures represent 3.1 percent of private sector employment. Despite the large impact on business failures and employment, we estimate only moderate effects on the financial sector: the share of Non Performing Loans on bank balance sheets would increase by up to 11 percentage points, representing 0.3 percent of banks' assets and resulting in a 0.75 percentage point decline in the common equity Tier-1 capital ratio. We evaluate the cost and effectiveness of various policy interventions. The fiscal cost of an intervention that narrowly targets at risk firms can be modest (0.54% of GDP). However, at a similar level of effectiveness, non-targeted subsidies can be substantially more expensive (1.82% of GDP). Our results have important implications for the severity of the COVID-19 recession, the design of policies, and the speed of the recovery

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  18. Financial amplification of labor supply shocks
    Author: Biljanovska, Nina; Vardoulakis, Alexandros P.
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    We study how financial frictions amplify labor supply shocks in a macroeconomic model with occasionally binding financing constraints. Workers supply labor to entrepreneurs who borrow to purchase factors of production. Borrowing capacity is... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 301
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    Signature:
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    Signature:
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E_Book IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    We study how financial frictions amplify labor supply shocks in a macroeconomic model with occasionally binding financing constraints. Workers supply labor to entrepreneurs who borrow to purchase factors of production. Borrowing capacity is restricted by the value of capital, generating a pecuniary externality when financing constraints bind. Additionally, there is a distributive externality operating through wages. The planner's allocation can be decentralized with two instruments: a credit tax/subsidy and a labor tax/subsidy. Labor shocks, such as the COVID-19 shock, amplify the policy responses, which critically depend on whether financing constraints bind or not

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  19. Using macroeconomic frameworks to analyze the impact of COVID-19
    an application to Colombia and Cambodia
    Author: Bulíř, Aleš; Baksa, Dániel; Corrales, Juan Sebastian; González, Andrés; Rodríguez, Diego; Heng, Dyna
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Institute for Capacity Development, Washington, DC, USA

    This technical note and manual (TNM) addresses the following issues: -- Evaluating the full implications from the policies adopted to mitigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy requires a well-developed macroeconomic framework. This... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 303
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    Signature:
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    Signature:
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E_Book IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    This technical note and manual (TNM) addresses the following issues: -- Evaluating the full implications from the policies adopted to mitigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy requires a well-developed macroeconomic framework. This note illustrates how such frameworks were used to analyze Colombia and Cambodia's shock impact at the beginning of the pandemic. -- The use of macroeconomic frameworks is not to infer general policy conclusions from abstract models or empirical analysis but to help policymakers think through and articulate coherent forecasts, scenarios, and policy responses. -- The two country cases illustrate how to construct a baseline scenario consistent with a COVID-19 shock within structural macroeconomic models. The scenario is built gradually to incorporate the available information, the pandemic's full effects, and the policy responses. -- The results demonstrate the value of combining close attention to the data, near-term forecasting, and model-based analyses to support coherent policies

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  20. Sectoral shocks and spillovers
    an application to COVID-19
    Author: Das, Sonali; Magistretti, Giacomo; Pugacheva, Evgenia; Wingender, Philippe
    Published: June 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    This paper examines the role of sectoral spillovers in propagating sectoral shocks in the broader economy, both in the past and during the COVID-19 pandemic. In particular, we study how shocks that occur within a sector itself and spillovers from... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Signature:
    Online
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 301
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    Signature:
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    Signature:
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    Inter-library loan:
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent

    Location:
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    Signature:
    E_Book IMF
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

     

    This paper examines the role of sectoral spillovers in propagating sectoral shocks in the broader economy, both in the past and during the COVID-19 pandemic. In particular, we study how shocks that occur within a sector itself and spillovers from shocks to other sectors affect sectoral activity, for a large sample of countries from 1995 to 2014. We find that both supply and demand shocks-measured as changes in, respectively, productivity and government purchases at the sector level-have large spillover effects on sector-level gross value added and on a sector's share of the economy. We then use these historical estimates, together with the network structure of global production, to quantify the spillovers from the economic shock associated with the pandemic. We find spillover effects to be sizeable, making up a significant fraction of the overall decline in activity in 2020.Our results have implications for the design of policies with a sectoral dimension

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  21. Towards a productive and inclusive path
    job creation in the Arab region
    Author: Abu-Ismail, Khalid; Araji, Salim; Haq, Tariq; Nehme, Manuella; Jaafar, Aya
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  United Nations, ESCWA, Beirut, Lebanon

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Subjects: Arab countries; Employment; Private sector; Informal sector; Supply and demand; Women; Covid-19
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 93 Seiten), Illustrationen
  22. Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil
    Author: Rebei, Nooman; Sbia, Rashid
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in the propagation mechanisms of transitory versus permanent shocks, pointing to the importance of disentangling their distinct effects. Permanent supply disruptions turn out to be a bigger factor in historical oil price movements during the most recent decades, while speculative shocks became less influential

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  23. Using macroeconomic frameworks to analyze the impact of COVID-19
    an application to Colombia and Cambodia
    Author: Bulíř, Aleš; Baksa, Dániel; Corrales, Juan Sebastian; González, Andrés; Rodríguez, Diego; Heng, Dyna
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Institute for Capacity Development, Washington, DC, USA

    This technical note and manual (TNM) addresses the following issues: -- Evaluating the full implications from the policies adopted to mitigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy requires a well-developed macroeconomic framework. This... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    This technical note and manual (TNM) addresses the following issues: -- Evaluating the full implications from the policies adopted to mitigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy requires a well-developed macroeconomic framework. This note illustrates how such frameworks were used to analyze Colombia and Cambodia's shock impact at the beginning of the pandemic. -- The use of macroeconomic frameworks is not to infer general policy conclusions from abstract models or empirical analysis but to help policymakers think through and articulate coherent forecasts, scenarios, and policy responses. -- The two country cases illustrate how to construct a baseline scenario consistent with a COVID-19 shock within structural macroeconomic models. The scenario is built gradually to incorporate the available information, the pandemic's full effects, and the policy responses. -- The results demonstrate the value of combining close attention to the data, near-term forecasting, and model-based analyses to support coherent policies

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  24. Financial amplification of labor supply shocks
    Author: Biljanovska, Nina; Vardoulakis, Alexandros P.
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    We study how financial frictions amplify labor supply shocks in a macroeconomic model with occasionally binding financing constraints. Workers supply labor to entrepreneurs who borrow to purchase factors of production. Borrowing capacity is... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    We study how financial frictions amplify labor supply shocks in a macroeconomic model with occasionally binding financing constraints. Workers supply labor to entrepreneurs who borrow to purchase factors of production. Borrowing capacity is restricted by the value of capital, generating a pecuniary externality when financing constraints bind. Additionally, there is a distributive externality operating through wages. The planner's allocation can be decentralized with two instruments: a credit tax/subsidy and a labor tax/subsidy. Labor shocks, such as the COVID-19 shock, amplify the policy responses, which critically depend on whether financing constraints bind or not

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  25. COVID-19 and SME failures
    Author: Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier; Penciakova, Veronika; Sander, Nicholas
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    We estimate the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on business failures among small and medium size enterprises (SMEs) in seventeen countries using a large representative firm-level database. We use a simple model of firm cost-minimization and measure... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
    Inter-library loan:
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan

     

    We estimate the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on business failures among small and medium size enterprises (SMEs) in seventeen countries using a large representative firm-level database. We use a simple model of firm cost-minimization and measure each firm's liquidity shortfall during and after COVID-19. Our framework allows for a rich combination of sectoral and aggregate supply, productivity, and demand shocks. We estimate a large increase in the failure rate of SMEs under COVID-19 of nearly 9 percentage points, ab-sent government support. Accommodation and Food Services, Arts, Entertainment and Recreation, Education, and Other Services are among the most affected sectors. The jobs at risk due to COVID-19 related SME business failures represent 3.1 percent of private sector employment. Despite the large impact on business failures and employment, we estimate only moderate effects on the financial sector: the share of Non Performing Loans on bank balance sheets would increase by up to 11 percentage points, representing 0.3 percent of banks' assets and resulting in a 0.75 percentage point decline in the common equity Tier-1 capital ratio. We evaluate the cost and effectiveness of various policy interventions. The fiscal cost of an intervention that narrowly targets at risk firms can be modest (0.54% of GDP). However, at a similar level of effectiveness, non-targeted subsidies can be substantially more expensive (1.82% of GDP). Our results have important implications for the severity of the COVID-19 recession, the design of policies, and the speed of the recovery

     
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file