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  1. The macroeconomic impact of foreign exchange intervention
    some cross-country empirical findings
    Published: April 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    Based on VAR analyses across 26 countries, we show that, although foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is effective in stabilizing the nominal exchange rate in the short run, its impacts on the real exchange rate are less significant: Limitations on... more

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    Based on VAR analyses across 26 countries, we show that, although foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is effective in stabilizing the nominal exchange rate in the short run, its impacts on the real exchange rate are less significant: Limitations on nominal exchange rate flexibility may induce adjustments to the real exchange rate through domestic prices. We find that countries that intervene more heavily in response to external shocks experience greater general and asset price volatility, which is not conducive to countering the impact of external shocks. We show that China's macroeconomic responses to external shocks are broadly consistent with international experiences among intervening countries. The simple methodological framework adopted in this paper is meant to examine a broad set of macroeconomic variables and bears limitations; our findings serve to motivate more structural analysis on FXI's macroeconomic impacts going forward

     

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  2. Foreign direct investment, prices and efficiency
    evidence from India
    Published: July 2021
    Publisher:  Heinrich-Heine-University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), Düsseldorf, Germany

    This paper uses a rich panel data set of Indian manufacturing firms to analyze the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) on various outcomes of domestic firms. We apply recent methodological advances in the estimation of production functions... more

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    This paper uses a rich panel data set of Indian manufacturing firms to analyze the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) on various outcomes of domestic firms. We apply recent methodological advances in the estimation of production functions together with detailed product-level information on prices and quantities to estimate physical productivity, markups and marginal costs. Our results indicate the importance of price adjustments which stem from competitive pressure and a pass-through of cost savings to consumers. In line with the previous literature, we find little evidence for spillovers based on commonly used measures of revenue productivity. In contrast, we measure sizable efficiency gains using measures that are not affected by pricing heterogeneity, such as marginal costs and physical productivity. Exploiting exogenous variation from India's FDI liberalization, we provide evidence that the relationship between exposure to FDI and efficiency is causal. Our results suggest that knowledge spills over across product categories within industries and mainly benefits producers of high-quality products. We also provide evidence that FDI spillovers are stronger for joint ventures and when foreign investors enter via acquisitions.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9783863043629
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/235550
    Series: Discussion paper / Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE) ; no 363
    Subjects: Foreign Direct Investment; Spillovers; Productivity; Marginal Costs; Prices; Markups; Multi-Product Firms
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten)
  3. Argentina
    ex-post evaluation of exceptional access under the 2018 stand-by arrangement : press release and staff report
    Published: December 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

    On June 20, 2018, the Executive Board approved the largest stand-by arrangement in the Fund's history, in support of Argentina's 2018-21 economic program. After an augmentation in October 2018, access under the arrangement amounted to USD 57 billion... more

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    On June 20, 2018, the Executive Board approved the largest stand-by arrangement in the Fund's history, in support of Argentina's 2018-21 economic program. After an augmentation in October 2018, access under the arrangement amounted to USD 57 billion (1,227 percent of Argentina's IMF quota). The program saw only four of the planned twelve reviews completed, and did not fulfil the objectives of restoring confidence in fiscal and external viability while fostering economic growth. The arrangement was canceled on July 24, 2020

     

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  4. Republic of Azerbaijan
    2021 Article IV consultation : press release; and staff report
    Published: December 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

    Azerbaijan faced unprecedented challenges in 2020. The combined COVID-19 and oil price shocks pushed the economy into recession. A sizeable relief package helped cushion the economic impact from this shock, and the economy has started to recover. Yet... more

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    Azerbaijan faced unprecedented challenges in 2020. The combined COVID-19 and oil price shocks pushed the economy into recession. A sizeable relief package helped cushion the economic impact from this shock, and the economy has started to recover. Yet the medium-term outlook remains subdued. The long-term fiscal position is unsustainable as oil resources are expected to run out by mid-century. The authorities have laid out strategic goals of accelerated yet sustainable socio-economic development over the next decade and are developing policy plans to that end

     

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  5. Republic of Armenia
    2021 Article IV consultation, fourth and fifth reviews under the stand-by arrangement, and request for waiver of nonobservance of performance criterion and monetary policy consultation clause : press release; staff report; and statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Armenia
    Published: December 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

    Armenia has commenced a robust recovery from the deep 2020 recession, benefiting from strong policies and the lifting of the political uncertainty after the elections in June. A gradual but uneven improvement in the pandemic situation, pent-up... more

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    Armenia has commenced a robust recovery from the deep 2020 recession, benefiting from strong policies and the lifting of the political uncertainty after the elections in June. A gradual but uneven improvement in the pandemic situation, pent-up demand, and the strengthening of public and private investment are expected to drive 2022 growth. Robust growth is expected over the medium term. Risks. Risks are relatively balanced, although uncertainty remains high. Strong reform implementation and accelerating vaccinations could improve the outlook, while risks of a protracted pandemic, renewed geopolitical tensions, a slowdown in major trading partners, and stress from global financial volatility and/or trade tensions could hamper the recovery

     

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  6. Economics of Service Operations: Information, Simplified Controls and Omnichannel Services
    Published: 2021

    In this dissertation we consider how simple operational levers affect a firm's revenue and consumer surplus. In particular, we focus on information disclosure as an useful control for omnichannel services. In the first chapter we consider a... more

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    In this dissertation we consider how simple operational levers affect a firm's revenue and consumer surplus. In particular, we focus on information disclosure as an useful control for omnichannel services. In the first chapter we consider a revenue-maximizing service firm that caters to price and delay-sensitive customers. The firm offers a menu of service grades where each grade is associated with a posted price and expected delay. An optimal menu size could be as large as the number of customer classes. However, in practice, we do observe that firms offer a handful number of service grades. We study the revenue loss when the firm offers a simplified menu with a few service grades. Our analysis utilizes a large system approximations under the assumption that the firm has ample capacity to serve the entire market. We set up an optimization model and make use of Taylor series and asymptotic arguments to obtain the revenue loss. We show that, under a simplified menu, the firm could lose a significant fraction of its revenue in the worst case scenario. This happens when there is significant heterogeneity between the customer classes in terms of their delay sensitivities and their valuation for service. In contrast, noting that customer heterogeneity may typically be less extreme, we show that the firm can in fact provide a simplified menu while providing a guarantee on worst case revenue that can be obtained as a fraction of the optimal. We characterize the worst case optimal menu and provide asymptotic bounds to the worst case revenue loss as the number of customer types grow without bound. Characterization of the firm's worst case revenue loss in terms of a measure of heterogeneity can be used to guide decision making when offering a simplified menu of service grades. In the second chapter we examine the role of information disclosure in omnichannel services. With evolving mobile technologies, an increasing number of firms are running multiple channels to serve customers. Due to the novelty of these systems, questions related to the design of such omnichannel systems and their implications for the firm and customers remain open. In particular, the question of whether or not a firm should disclose queue information to its customers in an omnichannel setting has not been extensively addressed in prior literature. Using a queuing game-theoretic framework, we address some of these open questions of design of omnichannel service system, especially focusing on the issue of congestion information disclosure and its impact on customer channel choice behavior. We benchmark the omnichannel model against a conventional single channel model, and compare these settings in terms of the firm’s throughput and average consumer surplus. We find that from the firm’s perspective there is no silver bullet; no channel arrangement delivers the highest throughput for all system parameters. From the customers’ perspective, we once again find that neither the omnichannel nor the single channel system dominates the other in terms of the average consumer surplus for both type of customers combined. The overall consumer surplus depends on the relative proportion of app users and non-app users in the system. Indeed, it is possible that both segments are worse-off when online ordering is offered. In the third chapter, we extend the omnichannel setting to a competitive environment. Increasingly many firms in the quick service industry are offering digital ordering apps to customers. While the option of app-ordering is attractive to customers, still, not all firms offer an app. Even if we ignore the upfront cost of implementation of an app, it is not clear whether offering an app necessarily leads to an increase in revenue for the firm in a competitive setting. A proper evaluation needs to take into consideration the relative capacity of the firms and the sizes of their customer bases. To this end, we examine what is the best-response for a firm when faced with a competitor who offers an app. We find that it might not always be in the firm's best interest to match its competitor in offering an app.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Dissertation
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9798538139415
    Series: Dissertations Abstracts International
    Subjects: Operations research; Scheduling; Optimization; Decision making; Queuing; Approximation; Prices; Performance evaluation; Digital innovation; Information disclosure; Omnichannel services; Pricing in queuing systems; Service operations; Strategic queuing
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (218 p.)
    Notes:

    Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 83-03, Section: B. - Advisor: Bassamboo, Achal;Lariviere, Martin

    Dissertation (Ph.D.), Northwestern University, 2021

  7. An Examination of Prices and Wages in Babylonia – Ca. 2000-1600 B.C.E
    Published: 2021

    This dissertation identifies long term fluctuations in prices and wages in northern and southern Babylonia during the Isin-Larsa/Old Babylonian period (ca. 2000-1600 B.C.E.). The introduction orients the reader to the study of prices and wages. It... more

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    This dissertation identifies long term fluctuations in prices and wages in northern and southern Babylonia during the Isin-Larsa/Old Babylonian period (ca. 2000-1600 B.C.E.). The introduction orients the reader to the study of prices and wages. It reviews previous studies, defines objectives, scope, and methodology, presents an overview of the sources for prices and wages, and outlines limitations.The scope of this study includes the following categories:1)prices paid for real estate (houses, fields, orchards), slaves, and livestock2)prices for house rentals3)prices paid for commodities (barley, oil, wool, dates, and sesame)4)wages paid for hired labor.Part I presents and analyzes the data for each category, utilizing charts and graphs to reveal regional price differences and price (or wage) fluctuation at a category level. Part II looks at the data holistically, with the goals of identifying long-term fluctuations of prices and wages for northern and southern Babylonia and correlating their movements with political history. It shows that economic prosperity is, to a large degree, conditional on periods of political stability, which goes hand in hand with powerful rulers.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Dissertation
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9798460457960
    Series: Dissertations Abstracts International
    Subjects: Babylonia; Prices; Prices paid for commodities; Wages for hired labor
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (318 p.)
    Notes:

    Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 83-04, Section: A. - Advisor: Reculeau, Herve

    Dissertation (Ph.D.), The University of Chicago, 2021

  8. Essays on the Economics of Suspense, Surprise, Superstars, and Soda
    Published: 2021

    Economists have always been interested in understanding and estimating demand for different goods. Demand is affected by a number of factors, but one that is very important is information. In this work, I estimate the impacts of both instrumental and... more

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    Economists have always been interested in understanding and estimating demand for different goods. Demand is affected by a number of factors, but one that is very important is information. In this work, I estimate the impacts of both instrumental and non-instrumental information on demand for important and commonly consumed products. Instrumental information is information received by an agent that leads to a contingent action. For instance, receiving information about the negative health effects of consuming sugar sweetened-beverages may affect an agent's decision about how many sugar-sweetened beverages they consume. On the other hand, non-instrumental information is information consumed for the sake of entertainment and attention-capture. For example, information disseminated through the news or a novel may not lead to any direct actions, but is enjoyable and welfare improving nonetheless. My dissertation aims to explore the economic implications of demand in response to information.Chapter one, titled Entertainment Utility from Skill and Thrill, uses revealed preference methods to estimate demand for non-instrumental information in entertainment. I do this by examining the "thrill" associated with the trajectory of an event, which includes both suspense and surprise, and the "skill" of performers in an event. I apply the theory presented in Ely et al. (2015) to conduct an empirical analysis that examines the effect of thrill on consumer attention. I extend the Ely et al. (2015) framework by examining spectator preferences for characteristics of the performers themselves, which I call "skill." I use game-specific, high-temporal frequency television ratings data from the National Basketball Association (NBA) to measure spectator responses to skill and thrill. First, I find that a doubling of skill present in a game leads to an approximately 11% increase in initial viewer turnout, while the expected thrill of a game has no statistically significant impact. Next, I show that thrill during a game increases viewership by 7–30%, while a doubling of skill on the court during a specific portion of a game leads to a 1.9–2.4% increase in viewership, depending on specification. Interestingly, I find a negative interactive effect between suspense and skill, suggesting that heightened suspense leads to differentially higher viewership with lower skill on the court. The findings suggest that skill of information-conveying agents primarily impacts viewership on the extensive margin (across games), while thrill is highly time-dependent and primarily impacts viewership on the intensive margin (within games). These findings have important implications for entertainment media companies, including leagues and television broadcasters, and advertisers.Chapter two, titled The Economic Value of Popularity: Evidence from Superstars in the National Basketball Association, estimates spectator willingness-to-pay for superstars in the National Basketball Association. Using microdata from an online secondary ticket marketplace and exogenous player absence announcements, I find 4–16% ($7–$42) reductions in prices when superstars are announced to miss games. Additionally, LeBron James and Stephen Curry exhibit even larger impacts in away game absences—21% ($75/ticket) for LeBron and 18% ($55/ticket) for Curry. The results suggest popularity is a more significant determinant of WTP than ability, and in line with existing superstar literature, popularity predicts price impacts convexly. This paper provides a novel methodology to estimate superstar value, generating implications for the entertainment industry.Chapter three, titled Soda Wars: The Effect of a Soda Tax Election on University Beverage Sales, examines how soda sales changed due to the campaign attention and election outcome of a local excise tax on sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB), commonly referred to as a soda tax. Using panel data of beverage sales from university retailers in Berkeley, California, we estimate that soda purchases relative to control beverages significantly dropped immediately after the election, months before the tax was implemented in the city of Berkeley or on campus. Supplemental scanner data from off-campus drug stores reveal this result is not unique to the university setting. The findings suggest soda tax media coverage and election outcomes can have larger effects on purchasing behavior than the tax itself.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Dissertation
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9798535551418
    Series: Dissertations Abstracts International
    Subjects: Research; Decision making; Tournaments & championships; Election results; Probability; Prices; Literature reviews; Ratings & rankings; Professional basketball; Seminars; Political advertising; Applied microeconomics; Consumer attention; Entertainment; Information; Sugar-sweetened beverages; Willingness to pay
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (140 p.)
    Notes:

    Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 83-03, Section: A. - Advisor: Zilberman, David;Sallee, James

    Dissertation (Ph.D.), University of California, Berkeley, 2021

  9. Essays on Markets and Institutions
    Published: 2021

    This dissertation studies how agents and firms interplay under different market institutions. In the first two chapters, co-authored with Rodrigo Carril and Michael Walker, we study the implications of policies oriented to intensify competition for... more

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    This dissertation studies how agents and firms interplay under different market institutions. In the first two chapters, co-authored with Rodrigo Carril and Michael Walker, we study the implications of policies oriented to intensify competition for procurement contracts. Conceptually, opening contracts up to bids by more participants leads to lower acquisition costs. However, expanding the set of bidders hinders buyers' control over the quality of prospective contractors, potentially exacerbating adverse selection on non-contractible quality dimensions. We study this trade-off in the context of procurement by the U.S. Department of Defense. Our empirical strategy leverages regulation that mandates agencies to publicize contract opportunities whose value is expected to exceed a certain threshold. We find that advertising contract solicitations increases competition and leads to a different pool of selected vendors who, on average, offer lower prices. However, it also worsens post-award performance, resulting in more cost overruns and delays. This negative effect on post-award performance is driven by goods and services that are relatively complex, highlighting the role of contract incompleteness. To further study the scope of this tension, we develop and estimate a model in which the buyer chooses the extent of competition, and the invited sellers decide on auction participation and bidding. We estimate sellers' cost and ex-post quality distributions, as well as buyers' preference parameters over contract outcomes. Simulating equilibrium conditions under counterfactual settings, we benchmark the current regulation design with complexity-tailored publicity requirements, and find that adjustments to publicity requirements could provide savings of 2 percent of spending, or $104 million annually. One of the main roles of the government involves enacting and enforcing regulation aimed at curbing the undesired behavior of agents. In the third chapter, co-authored with Mushfiq Mobarak, we study the consequences of deploying enforcement activities over illegal activities in local markets in Chile. The paper grapples with a key real-world feature that is that regulated agents adapt to circumvent enforcement. We present and test a model of enforcement with learning and adaptation by auditing vendors selling illegal fish in Chile in a randomized controlled trial and tracking them daily using mystery shoppers. Leveraging experimental variation on the frequency and predictability of enforcement, we can test the model's predictions and find that conducting audits on a predictable schedule and (counter-intuitively) at high frequency is less effective, as agents learn to take advantage of loopholes. A consumer information campaign proves to be almost as cost-effective and curbing illegal sales and obviates the need for complex monitoring and policing. The Chilean government subsequently chooses to scale up this campaign.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Dissertation
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9798535551746
    Series: Dissertations Abstracts International
    Subjects: Business administration; Data collection; Prices; Departments; Estimates; Enforcement; Markets; Institutions
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (198 p.)
    Notes:

    Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 83-03, Section: A. - Advisor: Tadelis, Steven

    Dissertation (Ph.D.), University of California, Berkeley, 2021

  10. Taking stock of IMF capacity development on monetary policy forecasting and policy analysis systems
    Published: 2021 DEC
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Publication Services, Washington, DC, U.S.A.

    This paper takes stock of forecasting and policy analysis system capacity development (FPAS CD), drawing extensively on the experience and lessons learned from developing FPAS capacity in the central banks. By sharing the insights gained during FPAS... more

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    This paper takes stock of forecasting and policy analysis system capacity development (FPAS CD), drawing extensively on the experience and lessons learned from developing FPAS capacity in the central banks. By sharing the insights gained during FPAS CD delivery and outlining the typical tools developed in the process, the paper aims to facilitate the understanding of FPAS CD within the IMF and to inform future CD on building macroeconomic frameworks. As such, the paper offers a qualitative assessment of the experience with FPAS CD delivery and the use of FPAS in the decision-making process in central banks

     

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  11. Asset purchases and direct financing
    guiding principles for emerging markets and developing economies during COVID-19 and beyond
    Published: 2021 DEC
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Publication Services, Washington, DC, U.S.A.

    Many central banks in emerging market and developing economies have used asset purchases to reduce financial stresses during the COVID crisis, and some are doing so to provide macroeconomic stimulus more

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    Many central banks in emerging market and developing economies have used asset purchases to reduce financial stresses during the COVID crisis, and some are doing so to provide macroeconomic stimulus

     

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  12. A retrospective study of state aid control in the German broadband market
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, Berlin

    We provide an evaluation of the impact of public subsidy schemes that aimed to support the development of basic broadband infrastructure in rural areas of Germany. Such subsidies are subject to state aid control by the European Commission (EC). While... more

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    We provide an evaluation of the impact of public subsidy schemes that aimed to support the development of basic broadband infrastructure in rural areas of Germany. Such subsidies are subject to state aid control by the European Commission (EC). While the EC increasingly recognises the role of economic analysis in controlling public aid to companies, there are to date no full retrospective studies performed on state aid control, especially assessing the so-called balancing test. In this study, we do not only analyse whether the aid was effective in solving a market failure – low broadband coverage in rural areas – but also study its impact on competitive outcomes, on both rival firms and consumers. We adopt a difference-in-differences framework after using a matching procedure to account for selection on observables. We find that the aid significantly increased broadband coverage. More importantly, we find that the number of internet providers has significantly increased in the municipalities receiving aid. This additional entry decreased average prices. Therefore, the subsidies complied with EU state aid rules, both in terms of effectiveness and competition.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/231645
    Series: Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung ; 1931
    Subjects: State Aid; Ex-Post Evaluation; Broadband; Coverage; Entry; Competition; Prices
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa38 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. How does information on minimum and maximum food prices affect measured monetary poverty?
    evidence from Niger
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  Aix-Marseille School of Economics, [Aix-en-Provence

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    Source: Union catalogues
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    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working papers / AMSE, Aix-Marseille School of Economics ; WP 2021, nr 02
    Subjects: Poverty; Prices; Niger; Social Policies
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 40 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Firms' environmental performance and the COVID-19 crisis
    Published: March 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    The shutdown in economic activity due to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) crisis has resulted in a short-term decline in global carbon emissions, but the long-term impact of the pandemic on the transition to a low-carbon economy is uncertain.... more

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    The shutdown in economic activity due to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) crisis has resulted in a short-term decline in global carbon emissions, but the long-term impact of the pandemic on the transition to a low-carbon economy is uncertain. Looking at previous episodes of financial and economic stress to draw implications for the current crisis, we find that tighter financial constraints and adverse economic conditions are generally detrimental to firms' environmental performance, reducing green investments. The COVID-19 crisis could thus potentially slow down the transition to a low-carbon economy. In light of the urgent need to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions, these findings underline the importance of climate policies and green recovery packages to boost green investment and support the energy transition. Policies that support the sustainable finance sector, such as improved transparency and standardization, could further help mobilize green investments

     

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  15. Handle with care
    regulatory easing in times of COVID-19
    Published: February 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    The policy response to the COVID-19 shock included regulatory easing across many jurisdictions to facilitate the flow of credit to the economy and mitigate a further ampli-fication of the shock through tighter financial conditions. Using an intraday... more

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    The policy response to the COVID-19 shock included regulatory easing across many jurisdictions to facilitate the flow of credit to the economy and mitigate a further ampli-fication of the shock through tighter financial conditions. Using an intraday event study,this paper examines how stock prices-a key driver in financial conditions-reacted to regulatory easing announcements in a sample of 18 advanced economies and 8 emerging markets. The paper finds that overall, regulatory easing announcements contributed to looser financial conditions, but effects varied across sectors and tools. Financial regulatory easing led to lower valuations for financial sector stocks, and higher valuations for non-financial sector stocks, particularly for industries that are more dependent on bank financing. Furthermore, valuations declined and financial conditions tightened following announcements related to easier bank capital regulation while equity valuation rose and financial conditions loosened after those about liquidity regulation. Effects from non-regulatory financial measures appear to be generally more muted

     

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  16. Implementing the United States' domestic and international climate mitigation goals
    a supportive fiscal policy approach
    Published: March 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    The United States has pledged to become carbon neutral by 2050, meet sectoral objectives (e.g., for carbon free power, electric vehicles) and encourage greater mitigation among large emitting countries and of international transportation emissions.... more

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    The United States has pledged to become carbon neutral by 2050, meet sectoral objectives (e.g., for carbon free power, electric vehicles) and encourage greater mitigation among large emitting countries and of international transportation emissions. Fiscal policies at the national, sectoral, and international level could play a critical role in implementing these objectives, along with investment, regulatory, and technology policies. Fiscal instruments are cost-effective, can enhance political acceptability, and do not worsen, or could help alleviate, budgetary pressures. Domestically, a fiscal policy package could contain a mix of economy-wide carbon pricing and revenue-neutral feebates (i.e., tax-subsidy schemes) with the latter reinforcing mitigation in the transport, power, industrial, building, forestry, and agricultural sectors. Internationally, a carbon price floor among large emitters (with flexibility to implement equivalent measures) could effectively scale up global mitigation, while levies/feebates offer a practical approach for reducing maritime and aviation emissions

     

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  17. The role of market structure and timing in determining VAT pass-through
    Published: March 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    We examine the role of market characteristics and timing in explaining observed heterogeneity in VAT pass-through. We first extend existing theory to characterize the roles of imperfect competition and product differentiation, then investigate these... more

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    We examine the role of market characteristics and timing in explaining observed heterogeneity in VAT pass-through. We first extend existing theory to characterize the roles of imperfect competition and product differentiation, then investigate these relationships empirically using a panel of 14 Eurozone countries between 1999 and 2013. We find important roles for product market regulation and product quality, and little impact of advance announcement of reforms. Our findings have important implications for policy-makers considering VAT rate adjustments, by illuminating which of the consumers or the producers would experience the brunt of a reform across different settings

     

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  18. Uncertainty premia, sovereign default risk, and state-contingent debt
    Published: March 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    We analyze how concerns for model misspecification on the part of international lenders affect the desirability of issuing state-contingent debt instruments in a standard sovereign default model a la Eaton and Gersovitz (1981). We show that for the... more

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    We analyze how concerns for model misspecification on the part of international lenders affect the desirability of issuing state-contingent debt instruments in a standard sovereign default model a la Eaton and Gersovitz (1981). We show that for the commonly used threshold state-contingent bond structure (e.g., the GDP-linked bond issued by Argentina in 2005), the model with robustness generates ambiguity premia in bond spreads that can explain most of what the literature has labeled as novelty premium. While the government would be better off with this bond when facing rational expectations lenders, this additional source of premia leads to welfare losses when facing robust lenders. Finally, we characterize the optimal design of the state-contingent bond and show how it varies with the level of robustness. Our findings rationalize the little use of these instruments in practice and shed light on their optimal design

     

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  19. Monetary policy, inflation, and distributional impact
    South Africa’s case
    Published: March 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    The South African Reserve Bank has continued to fulfill its constitutional mandate to protect the value of the local currency by keeping inflation low and steady. This paper provides evidence that monetary policy tightening aimed at maintaining low... more

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    The South African Reserve Bank has continued to fulfill its constitutional mandate to protect the value of the local currency by keeping inflation low and steady. This paper provides evidence that monetary policy tightening aimed at maintaining low and stable inflation could at the same time reduce consumption inequality over a 12-18 month horizon, commonly understood as the transmission lag of monetary policy action to the real economy, and similar to the distance between survey waves used in the analysis. In response to 'exogenous' monetary policy tightening, the real consumption of individuals at lower ends of the consumption distribution declines relatively modestly, or even increases. With greater reliance on government transfers, thus smaller reliance on labor income, and relatively larger food consumption, these individuals appear to benefit mainly from lower inflation. By contrast, the real consumption of individuals at higher ends of the consumption distribution is more likely to decline due to lower labor income, weaker asset price performance, and higher debt service cost

     

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  20. Affordable rental housing
    making it part of Europe's recovery
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, USA

    Many European economies have faced pressure from rental housing affordability that has widened social and economic divergence. While significant country and regional differences exist, this departmental paper finds that in many advanced European... more

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    Many European economies have faced pressure from rental housing affordability that has widened social and economic divergence. While significant country and regional differences exist, this departmental paper finds that in many advanced European economies a large and rising share of low-income renters, the young, and those living in cities is overburdened. In several locations, middle-income groups also increasingly face rental affordability issues

     

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  21. Commodity cycles, inequality, and poverty in Latin America
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, USA

    Over the past decades, inequality has risen not just in advanced economies but also in many emerging market and developing economies, becoming one of the key global policy challenges. And throughout the 20th century, Latin America was associated with... more

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    Over the past decades, inequality has risen not just in advanced economies but also in many emerging market and developing economies, becoming one of the key global policy challenges. And throughout the 20th century, Latin America was associated with some of the world's highest levels of inequality. Yet something interesting happened in the first decade and a half of the 21st century. Latin America was the only region in the World to have experienced significant declines in inequality in that period. Poverty also fell in Latin America, although this was replicated in other regions, and Latin America started from a relatively low base. Starting around 2014, however, and even before the COVID-19 pandemic hit, poverty and inequality gains had already slowed in Latin America and, in some cases, gone into reverse. And the COVID-19 shock, which is still playing out, is likely to dramatically worsen short-term poverty and inequality dynamics. Against this background, this departmental paper investigates the link between commodity prices, and poverty and inequality developments in Latin America

     

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  22. Fiscal policies to address climate change in Asia and the Pacific

    Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing policymakers worldwide, and the stakes are particularly high for Asia and the Pacific. This paper analyzes how fiscal policy can address challenges from climate change in Asia and the Pacific.... more

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    Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing policymakers worldwide, and the stakes are particularly high for Asia and the Pacific. This paper analyzes how fiscal policy can address challenges from climate change in Asia and the Pacific. It aims to answer how policymakers can best promote mitigation, adaptation, and the transition to a low-carbon economy, emphasizing the economic and social implications of reforms, potential policy trade-offs, and country circumstances. The recommendations are grounded in quantitative analysis using country-specific estimates, and granular household, industry, and firm-level data

     

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  23. Using macroeconomic frameworks to analyze the impact of COVID-19
    an application to Colombia and Cambodia
    Published: January 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Institute for Capacity Development, Washington, DC, USA

    This technical note and manual (TNM) addresses the following issues: -- Evaluating the full implications from the policies adopted to mitigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy requires a well-developed macroeconomic framework. This... more

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    This technical note and manual (TNM) addresses the following issues: -- Evaluating the full implications from the policies adopted to mitigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy requires a well-developed macroeconomic framework. This note illustrates how such frameworks were used to analyze Colombia and Cambodia's shock impact at the beginning of the pandemic. -- The use of macroeconomic frameworks is not to infer general policy conclusions from abstract models or empirical analysis but to help policymakers think through and articulate coherent forecasts, scenarios, and policy responses. -- The two country cases illustrate how to construct a baseline scenario consistent with a COVID-19 shock within structural macroeconomic models. The scenario is built gradually to incorporate the available information, the pandemic's full effects, and the policy responses. -- The results demonstrate the value of combining close attention to the data, near-term forecasting, and model-based analyses to support coherent policies

     

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  24. Chile
    review under the flexible credit line arrangement : press release; staff report; and statement by the Executive Director for Chile
    Published: May 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

    The pandemic hit the Chilean economy while it was recovering from the 2019 social unrest. The authorities' swift and strong economic policy efforts and Chile's very strong institutional frameworks helped buffer the economic and social consequences.... more

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    The pandemic hit the Chilean economy while it was recovering from the 2019 social unrest. The authorities' swift and strong economic policy efforts and Chile's very strong institutional frameworks helped buffer the economic and social consequences. The ongoing economic recovery continues to be supported by ample policy stimulus, a rapid vaccination process, well-anchored inflation expectations, a resilient export base, and continued market confidence

     

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  25. Republic of Mozambique
    technical assistance report : inflation targeting and model-based monetary policy analysis
    Published: May 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

    The purpose of the mission was to improve the understanding of the conduct of monetary policy in an inflation targeting (IT) central bank. During the September visit, the mission provided capacity building through daily morning seminars, giving an... more

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    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    No inter-library loan
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    No inter-library loan
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    E_Book IMF
    No inter-library loan

     

    The purpose of the mission was to improve the understanding of the conduct of monetary policy in an inflation targeting (IT) central bank. During the September visit, the mission provided capacity building through daily morning seminars, giving an introduction to modern theory of monetary policy in small-open economies, and by performing monetary policy analyses based on BM's quarterly projection model (QPM) in the afternoons

     

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