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Displaying results 1 to 13 of 13.

  1. Beyond mechanical markets
    asset price swings, risk, and the role of the state
    Author: Frydman, Roman
    Published: c2011
    Publisher:  Princeton University Press, Princeton

    In the wake of the global financial crisis that began in 2007, faith in the rationality of markets has lost ground to a new faith in their irrationality. The problem, Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg argue, is that both the rational and behavioral... more

     

    In the wake of the global financial crisis that began in 2007, faith in the rationality of markets has lost ground to a new faith in their irrationality. The problem, Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg argue, is that both the rational and behavioral theories of the market rest on the same fatal assumption--that markets act mechanically and economic change is fully predictable. In Beyond Mechanical Markets, Frydman and Goldberg show how the failure to abandon this assumption hinders our understanding of how markets work, why price swings help allocate capital to worthy companies, and what role

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 1283001357; 9781283001359; 0691145776; 1400838185; 9780691145778; 9781400838189
    Subjects: Securities; Risk; Economic forecasting; Keynesian economics; Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009; Rational expectations (Economic theory)
    Scope: Online-Ressource (xv, 285 p), ill
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references and index

    Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of Contents; Acknowledgmentss; What Went Wrong and What We Can Do about It; The Fatal Flaw; Assuming Away What Matters Most; The Imperfect Knowledge Alternative; Fishermen and Financial Markets; The Survival of the Rational Market Myth; Opening Economics and Finance to Nonroutine Change and Imperfect Knowledge; Imperfect Knowledge Economics and Its Implications; A New Understanding of Asset-Price Swings, Risk, and the Role of the State; Part I - The Critique; 1. The Invention of Mechanical Markets; Economists' Rationality or Markets?

    Was Milton Friedman Really Unconcerned about Assumptions?The Post-Crisis Life of Interacting Robots; Missing the Point in the Economists' Debate; The Distorted Language of Economic Discourse; 2. The Folly of Fully Predetermined History; The Fatal Conceit Revisited; The Pretense of Exact Knowledge; The Economist as Engineer; Staying the Course in the Face of Reason; 3. The Orwellian World of "Rational Expectations"; Muth's Warning Ignored; The Rational Expectations Revolution: Model Consistency as a Standard of Rationality; The Spurious Narrative of Rational Expectations

    A World of Stasis and Thought UniformityEconomists' Rationality and Socialist Planning; 4. The Figment of the "Rational Market"; Pseudo-Diversity in the "Rational Market"; The Irrelevance of the "Rational Market"; Beware of Rational Expectations Models; The Fatal Conceit of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis; 5. Castles in the Air: The Efficient Market Hypothesis; The Market Metaphor; Imagining Markets in a Fully Predetermined World; Samuelson's Doubts; The Illusory Stability of the "Rational Market"; Efficient Market Hypothesis and Asset-Price Swings

    6. The Fable of Price Swings as BubblesReinventing Irrationality; Bubbles in a World of Rational Expectations: Mechanizing Crowd Psychology; A Seductive Narrative of Behavioral Bubbles; Limits to Arbitrage: An Artifact of Mechanistic Theory; The Trouble with Behavioral Bubbles; Forgotten Fundamentals; Part II - An Alternative; 7. Keynes and Fundamentals; Was Keynes a Behavioral Economist?; Imperfect Knowledge and Fundamentals; Are Fundamentals Really Irrelevant in the Beauty Contest?; Fundamentals and Equity-Price Movements: Evidence from Bloomberg's Market Stories

    8. Speculation and the Allocative Performance of Financial MarketsShort-Term and Value Speculators; How Short-Term Speculation Facilitates Value Speculation; Speculation and Economic Dynamism; 9. Fundamentals and Psychology in Price Swings; Bulls, Bears, and Individual Forecasting; Persistent Trends in Fundamentals; Guardedly Moderate Revisions; Price Swings in Individual Stocks and the Market; Price Swings, Genuine Diversity, and Rationality; Sustained Reversals; 10. Bounded Instability: Linking Risk and Asset-Price Swings; The Indispensable Role of Asset-Price Swings in Allocating Capital

    Historical Benchmarks as Gauges of Longer-Term Prospects

    Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web
  2. Beyond mechanical markets
    asset price swings, risk, and the role of the state
    Author: Frydman, Roman; Goldberg, Michael D.
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Princeton University Press, Princeton, N.J. [u.a.]

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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
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    11a vwl 152.2/635
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    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
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    Zentrale Hochschulbibliothek Flensburg
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    Bibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften
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    Frei 10: J0/3105
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    Hamburger Institut für Sozialforschung, Bibliothek
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    Oek 220/25
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
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    Campusbibliothek Bergheim der Universität
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    B 375577
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    Universität Konstanz, Kommunikations-, Informations-, Medienzentrum (KIM)
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    Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim
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    Universitätsbibliothek der Eberhard Karls Universität
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  3. Using model selection algorthims to obtain reliable coefficient estimates
    Author: Castle, Jennifer; Qin, Xiaochuan; Reid, W. Robert
    Published: [2011]
    Publisher:  Dept. of Economics and Finance, College of Business and Economics, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, N.Z

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    VS 92 (2011,3)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / Department of Economics and Finance, College of Business and Economics, University of Canterbury ; 2011,03
    Subjects: Algorithmus; Modellierung; Portfolio-Management; Bayes-Statistik; Monte-Carlo-Simulation; Theorie; Regression analysis; Algorithms; Monte Carlo method; Economic forecasting
    Scope: Online-Ressource (49 p., 410,10 Kb), graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Archived by the National Library of New Zealand

    Title from PDF t.p. (viewed on May 4, 2011)

    "Revised, 20 November 2010

    "JEL Categories: C52, C15

    "A revision of 'How to pick the best regression equation: a review and comparison of model selection algorithms' (Working paper number 09/13)

    Hypertext links contained in the archived instances of this title are non-functional

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 32-36)
  4. Prognozirovanie socialʹno-ėkonomičeskogo razvitija regiona
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Institut ėkonomiki UrO RAN, Ekaterinburg

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    C 267553
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: Russian
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9785946463331
    Subjects: Regionalentwicklung; Prognose; Prognoseverfahren; Theorie; Russland; Economic forecasting; Regional planning
    Scope: 1103 p, ill, 22 cm
    Notes:

    "Nauchnoe izdanie"--Colophon

    Includes bibliographical references: (p. [1015]-1037)
  5. Imagining Alberta
    a symposium on Alberta's economic future ; a summary ; Stolleery Centre, Alberta School of Business, University of Alberta
    Author: Ascah, Robert Laurence
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Western Centre for Economic Research, University of Alberta, Edmonton

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    W 1785 (154)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 155195821X; 9781551958217
    Series: Information bulletin / Western Centre for Economic Research, University of Alberta ; 154
    Subjects: Wirtschaftswachstum; Regionalentwicklung; Wirtschaftsprognose; Alberta; Kanada; Economic forecasting
    Scope: IV, 10 S.
    Notes:

    Issued also in electronic format.
  6. OECD regional outlook 2011
    building resilient regions for stronger economies
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  OECD, Paris

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
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    1 B 146172
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    Thünen-Institut, Zentrum für Informationsmanagement, Bibliothek Ländliche Räume
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    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
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    P 26.45 OECD 1
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    C 265942
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    ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München, Bibliothek
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    11/117-2011
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    Universitätsbibliothek Osnabrück
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    2515-442 3
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9789264111707
    RVK Categories: QY 000
    Corporations / Congresses:
    OECD
    Subjects: Regionalpolitik; Regionales Wachstum; Regionalentwicklung; OECD-Staaten; Regional economics; Financial crises; Economic forecasting
    Scope: 293 S., graph. Darst., Kt.
  7. Evaluating density forecasts
    model combination strategies versus the RBNZ
    Author: McDonald, Chris; Thorsrud, Leif Anders
    Published: [2011]
    Publisher:  Reserve Bank of New Zealand, [Wellington, N.Z.]

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 95 (2011,3)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Discussion paper series / Reserve Bank of New Zealand ; 2011,03
    Subjects: Geldpolitik; Wirkungsanalyse; Frühindikator; Prognoseverfahren; Neuseeland; Monetary policy; Economic forecasting
    Scope: Online-Ressource (36 p., 463 Kb), col. ill., PDF file
    Notes:

    RBNZ = Reserve Bank of New Zealand

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 34-36)
  8. Multipolarity
    the new global economy
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  World Bank, Washington, DC

    By 2025, six major emerging economies--Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, and Russia--will account for more than half of all global growth, and the international monetary system will no longer be dominated by a single currency. As economic... more

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
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    1 B 144064
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    C 264969
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    By 2025, six major emerging economies--Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, and Russia--will account for more than half of all global growth, and the international monetary system will no longer be dominated by a single currency. As economic power shifts, these successful economies will help drive growth in lower income countries through cross-border commercial and financial transactions. Global Development Horizons 2011--Multipolarity: The New Global Economy projects that today's emerging economies will grow, on average, by 4.7 percent a year between 2011 and 2025, and their share of global GDP will expand from 36 percent to 45 percent. Advanced economies, meanwhile, are forecast to grow by 2.3 percent over the same period, yet will remain prominent in the global economy, with the Euro area, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States all playing a core role in supporting the global economic engine

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9780821386927
    Series: Global development horizons ; 1.2011
    Subjects: Globalisierung; Wirtschaftswachstum; Schwellenländer; Internationales Währungssystem; Industrieländer; Schwellenländer; Welt; International economic relations; Economic forecasting; Economic development; Globalization; International finance
    Scope: XX, 159 S., graph. Darst., Kt.
    Notes:

    Overview1. Changing growth poles and financial positions -- 2. The changing global corporate landscape -- 3. Multipolarity in international finance.
  9. Ranking multivariate GARCH models by problem dimension
    an empirical evaluation
    Author: Caporin, Massimiliano; McAleer, Michael
    Published: [2011]
    Publisher:  Dept. of Economics and Finance, College of Business and Economics, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, N.Z

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    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 92 (2011,23)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / Department of Economics and Finance, College of Business and Economics, University of Canterbury ; 2011,23
    Subjects: ARCH-Modell; Modellierung; Varianzanalyse; Prognoseverfahren; Zeitreihenanalyse; Economic forecasting; Econometric models; Multivariate analysis; Analysis of covariance
    Scope: Online-Ressource (40 p., 748,46 Kb), graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 29-32)
  10. Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions
    Author: Franses, Philip Hans; Chang, Chia-Lin; McAleer, Michael
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Dept. of Economics and Finance, College of Business and Economics, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, N.Z

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 92 (2011,25)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / Department of Economics and Finance, College of Business and Economics, University of Canterbury ; 2011,25
    Subjects: Frühindikator; Prognoseverfahren; Zeitreihenanalyse; Economic forecasting; Macroeconomics; Econometric models; Time-series analysis
    Scope: Online-Ressource (20 p.), PDF file
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 18-20)
  11. A brief history of the QSBO
    1961 - 2011
    Author: Allen, James; O'Connor, Peter
    Published: c2011
    Publisher:  NZIER, Wellington [N.Z.]

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    VS 97 (2011,2)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: NZIER working paper ; 2011,2
    Subjects: Frühindikator; Prognoseverfahren; Indexberechnung; Neuseeland; Business forecasting; Economic forecasting; Economic surveys
    Scope: Online-Ressource (14 p., 479,84 Kb), col. ill., PDF file
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 13)

    QSBO = Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion
  12. Multipolarity
    the new global economy
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  World Bank, Washington, DC

    By 2025, six major emerging economies--Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, and Russia--will account for more than half of all global growth, and the international monetary system will no longer be dominated by a single currency. As economic... more

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    By 2025, six major emerging economies--Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, and Russia--will account for more than half of all global growth, and the international monetary system will no longer be dominated by a single currency. As economic power shifts, these successful economies will help drive growth in lower income countries through cross-border commercial and financial transactions. Global Development Horizons 2011--Multipolarity: The New Global Economy projects that today's emerging economies will grow, on average, by 4.7 percent a year between 2011 and 2025, and their share of global GDP will expand from 36 percent to 45 percent. Advanced economies, meanwhile, are forecast to grow by 2.3 percent over the same period, yet will remain prominent in the global economy, with the Euro area, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States all playing a core role in supporting the global economic engine

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9780821386927
    Series: Global development horizons ; 1.2011
    Subjects: Globalisierung; Wirtschaftswachstum; Schwellenländer; Internationales Währungssystem; Industrieländer; Schwellenländer; Welt; International economic relations; Economic forecasting; Economic development; Globalization; International finance
    Scope: XX, 159 S., graph. Darst., Kt.
    Notes:

    Overview1. Changing growth poles and financial positions -- 2. The changing global corporate landscape -- 3. Multipolarity in international finance.
  13. OECD regional outlook 2011
    building resilient regions for stronger economies
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  OECD, Paris

    Location:
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9789264111707
    RVK Categories: QY 000
    Corporations / Congresses:
    OECD
    Subjects: Regionalpolitik; Regionales Wachstum; Regionalentwicklung; OECD-Staaten; Regional economics; Financial crises; Economic forecasting
    Scope: 293 S., graph. Darst., Kt.