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  1. Strategic decision making
    applying the analytic hierarchy process
    Author: Bhushan, Navneet
    Published: c2004
    Publisher:  Springer, London

    Problems with high stakes, involving human perceptions and judgements, and whose resolutions have long-term repercussions, call for a rational approach to their solution. Strategic Decision Making provides an effective, formal methodology that gives... more

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    Problems with high stakes, involving human perceptions and judgements, and whose resolutions have long-term repercussions, call for a rational approach to their solution. Strategic Decision Making provides an effective, formal methodology that gives assistance to such strategic level decision making problems. Focusing on applying the AHP to decision-making problems in engineering, Strategic Decision Making explores the three main endeavours of human existence: business, defence and governance. Many years of successfully applying Strategic Decision Making in these domains have created extensive results covering many complex planning, resource, allocation and priority setting problems throughout industry and business. Case studies drawn from years of successful, practical application experience. Discusses applications of decision making for real life problems. Worked examples and solutions to problems throughout. The reader will gain comprehensive exposure to the extent of assistance that a formal methodology, such as AHP, can provide to the decision maker in evolving decisions in complex and varied domains. Decision makers, in business and industry around the world, will find this valuable for practical use as a working tool

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 1852338644; 9781852338640
    RVK Categories: QP 327
    Series: Decision engineering
    Subjects: Decision making; Decision making; Decision making; Decision making; Decision making; Decision making; Prise de décision; Prise de décision; Decision making; Decision making
    Scope: ix, 172 p, ill, 24 cm
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references

    Electronic reproduction, Boulder, Colo : NetLibrary, 2004

    Part 1: Strategic decision making and the AHP; Strategic decision making; The analytic hierarchy processPart 2: Strategic decision making in business; estimating software application development effort; Vendor evaluation and package selection; enterprise-wide wireless technology investment strategy; Evaluating the technology proliferation at global level; Evaluating market potential for IT investments; Mergers and acquisitions -- Part 3: Strategic decision making in defence and governance; Evaluating national security requirements; Managing crisis and disaster; Weapon system acquisition a complex decision making problem for the armed forces; Evaluating.
  2. Understanding action
    an essay on reasons
    Author: Schick, Frederic
    Published: 1991
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    This is an important new book about human motivation, about the reasons people have for their actions. What is distinctively new about it is its focus on how people see or understand their situations, options, and prospects. By taking account of... more

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    Universitätsbibliothek Bamberg
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    This is an important new book about human motivation, about the reasons people have for their actions. What is distinctively new about it is its focus on how people see or understand their situations, options, and prospects. By taking account of people's understandings (along with their beliefs and desires), Professor Schick is able to expand the current theory of decision and action. The author provides a perspective on the topic by outlining its history. He defends his new theory against criticism, considers its formal structure, and shows at length how it resolves many currently debated problems: the problems of conflict and weakness of will, Allais' problem, Kahneman and Tversky's problems, Newcomb's problem, and others. The book will be of special interest to philosophers, psychologists, and economists

     
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    Volltext (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781139173858
    Other identifier:
    RVK Categories: CC 6600 ; CC 6960 ; CC 7200 ; CP 4000 ; CP 8000 ; QC 020
    Subjects: Act (Philosophy); Motivation (Psychology); Decision making; Handlung; Entscheidungstheorie; Philosophie; Motivationstheorie; Motivation; Handlungstheorie; Entscheidungsverhalten
    Scope: 1 online resource (viii, 167 pages)
    Notes:

    Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015)
  3. Multiplicity and Interdisciplinarity
    Essays in Honor of Eliano Pessa
    Contributor: Minati, Gianfranco (Publisher); Pessa, Eliano
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  Springer, Cham ; Springer International Publishing

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    Ostbayerische Technische Hochschule Amberg-Weiden / Hochschulbibliothek Amberg
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    Volltext (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    Source: Union catalogues
    Contributor: Minati, Gianfranco (Publisher); Pessa, Eliano
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9783030718770
    Other identifier:
    RVK Categories: QH 720
    Series: Contemporary Systems Thinking
    Subjects: Operations Research/Decision Theory; Control and Systems Theory; Operations Research, Management Science; Operations research; Decision making; Control engineering; Management science; Interdisziplinarität; Systemtheorie
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (XII, 258 Seiten), 30 Illustrationen
  4. Multiplicity and Interdisciplinarity :
    Essays in Honor of Eliano Pessa /
    Contributor: Minati, Gianfranco (Publisher); Pessa, Eliano
    Published: 2021.
    Publisher:  Springer,, Cham : ; Springer International Publishing.

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    Volltext (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    Source: Union catalogues
    Contributor: Minati, Gianfranco (Publisher); Pessa, Eliano
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 978-3-030-71877-0
    Other identifier:
    RVK Categories: QH 720
    Series: Contemporary Systems Thinking
    Subjects: Operations Research/Decision Theory; Control and Systems Theory; Operations Research, Management Science; Operations research; Decision making; Control engineering; Management science; Systemtheorie; Interdisziplinarität
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (XII, 258 Seiten) :, 30 Illustrationen.
  5. Multiplicity and Interdisciplinarity :
    Essays in Honor of Eliano Pessa /
    Contributor: Minati, Gianfranco (Publisher); Pessa, Eliano
    Published: 2021.
    Publisher:  Springer,, Cham : ; Springer International Publishing.

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    Freie Universität Berlin, Universitätsbibliothek, Zentralbibliothek
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    Volltext (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    Source: Philologische Bibliothek, FU Berlin
    Contributor: Minati, Gianfranco (Publisher); Pessa, Eliano
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 978-3-030-71877-0
    Other identifier:
    RVK Categories: QH 720
    Series: Contemporary Systems Thinking
    Subjects: Operations Research/Decision Theory; Control and Systems Theory; Operations Research, Management Science; Operations research; Decision making; Control engineering; Management science; Systemtheorie; Interdisziplinarität
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (XII, 258 Seiten) :, 30 Illustrationen.
  6. The world the game theorists made
    Author: Erickson, Paul
    Published: 2016
    Publisher:  The University of Chicago Press, Chicago ; Oxford University Press, Oxford

    In recent decades game theory - the mathematics of rational decision-making by interacting individuals - has assumed a central place in our understanding of capitalist markets, the evolution of social behavior in animals, and even the ethics of... more

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    Universitätsbibliothek Kassel, Landesbibliothek und Murhardsche Bibliothek der Stadt Kassel
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    In recent decades game theory - the mathematics of rational decision-making by interacting individuals - has assumed a central place in our understanding of capitalist markets, the evolution of social behavior in animals, and even the ethics of altruism and fairness in human beings. With game theory's ubiquity, however, has come a great deal of misunderstanding. Critics of the contemporary social sciences view it as part of an unwelcome trend toward the marginalization of historicist and interpretive styles of inquiry, and many accuse its proponents of presenting a thin and empirically dubious view of human choice.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9780226097206
    Other identifier:
    RVK Categories: QH 430
    Subjects: Spieltheorie; Interdisziplinarität; Wissenschaftsentwicklung; Game theory; Decision making; Science; Cold War
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource, Illustrations (black and white)
    Notes:

    Previously issued in print: 2015

    Includes bibliographical references and index
  7. Leadership and decision-making
    Author: Vroom, Victor Harold
    Published: [1973]
    Publisher:  University of Pittsburgh Press, [Pittsburgh]

    Vroom and Yetton select a critical aspect of leadership style-the extent to which the leader encourages the participation of his subordinates in decision-making. They describe a normative model that shows the specific leadership style needed in... more

     

    Vroom and Yetton select a critical aspect of leadership style-the extent to which the leader encourages the participation of his subordinates in decision-making. They describe a normative model that shows the specific leadership style needed in different classes of situations. Other chapters discuss how leaders actually behave in different situations. They look at differences in leadership styles, and what situations induce people to display autocratic or participative behavior

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Subjects: Leadership; Organizational sociology; Decision making; Decision Making; Leadership; Organization and Administration
    Scope: Online-Ressource (xiii, 233 pages), illustrations
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (pages 221-225)

    Use copy Restrictions unspecified star MiAaHDL

    Contents; List of Figures; Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Basic Considerations Underlying the Normative Model ; 3. A Normatice Model of Leadership Styles; 4. Some Descriptive Studies of Participation in Decision-Making; 5. Leadership Behavior on Standardized Cases; 6. A Multidemensional Measure of Leader Behavior; 7. A Comparison of Normative with Actual Behavior; 8. A Technology for Leadership Development ; 9. Revising the Normative Model; 10. A Conducting Statement; Appendix 1. Instructions for Coding Problems; Appendix 2. Rules Underlying the Model for Both Individual and Group Problems

    ReferencesAuthor Index; Subject Index

    Electronic reproduction
  8. The future of post-human organization
    a preface to a new theory of communication, decision-making, and leadership
    Author: Baofu, Peter
    Published: 2009
    Publisher:  Cambridge Scholars Pub, Newcastle upon Tyne

    What exactly makes the nature of organizations so miracular that their very purpose is ""to achieve performance"" and that it is now regarded, in this capitalist age of ours, as the central aim to be both possible and desirable for any organization?... more

     

    What exactly makes the nature of organizations so miracular that their very purpose is ""to achieve performance"" and that it is now regarded, in this capitalist age of ours, as the central aim to be both possible and desirable for any organization? After

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 1443813192; 9781443813198
    RVK Categories: MS 5650
    Subjects: Organization; Decision making; Performance; Leadership
    Scope: Online-Ressource (xxiii, 398 p)
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references and index

    pt. 1. Introduction -- pt. 2. Communication -- pt. 3. Decision-making -- pt. 4. Leadership -- pt. 5. Conclusion.

    Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web
  9. Ghostwriting and the Ethics of Authenticity
    Author: Knapp, John C.; Hulbert, Azalea M.
    Published: [2017]; © 2017
    Publisher:  Palgrave Macmillan, New York

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    Ostbayerische Technische Hochschule Amberg-Weiden / Hochschulbibliothek Amberg
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    Technische Hochschule Augsburg
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  10. Strategic marketing decision-making in Japanese and South Korean companies
    Published: 2008
    Publisher:  Chandos, Oxford

    This book acts as a bridge between marketing and strategic management, as it is written from a strategic marketing perspective. It provides students and practising managers with an appreciation and an understanding of how managers in Japanese and... more

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    This book acts as a bridge between marketing and strategic management, as it is written from a strategic marketing perspective. It provides students and practising managers with an appreciation and an understanding of how managers in Japanese and South Korean companies formulate and implement strategic marketing decisions, how they embrace the organizational learning concept, and how they formulate working relationships with staff in partner organizations. It provides an explanation of the role that culture plays in the management process and various problems are cited in the text and solutions are offered that reinforce the theories and concepts covered. A number of case studies highlight the link between theory and practice, and the work is structured in a way that allows the reader to think through and reflect upon the key issues associated with decision-making within Japanese and South Korean companies. The work is academically underpinned and contains relevant insights for practising managersThe authors draw upon their marketing and management knowledge and expertise in order to contribute to a developing body of general management theoryThe methodological approach outlined in the book will facilitate a deeper understanding of how national cultural value systems are linked with organizational cultural value systems, and this will enhance interdisciplinary research approaches

     
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  11. Hydropower Economics
    Author: Førsund, Finn R.
    Published: 2007
    Publisher:  Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, Boston, MA

    There are few more urgent topics in today's world, so full of ecological uncertainty. Hydropower Economics uses various econometric measures to examine sustainable alternative energy sources. It kicks off by modeling hydropower, yes, but it does not... more

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    There are few more urgent topics in today's world, so full of ecological uncertainty. Hydropower Economics uses various econometric measures to examine sustainable alternative energy sources. It kicks off by modeling hydropower, yes, but it does not end there. Forsund has extended his model to include thermal power and wind power, too - forms of alternative energy that are taking on an ever larger profile. The focus of HYDROPOWER ECONOMICS is to provide qualitative economic analyses of how to utilize stored water in a hydropower system with fixed generating capacities. The problem is dynamic because water used today to generate electric power may alternatively be used tomorrow. The distinctive feature of this book is to provide a social planning perspective on the optimal use of water. This is a prerequisite for understanding and evaluating newly-established electricity markets. The dynamic nature of hydropower production, the high number of units involved, and the inherent stochastic nature of inflow of water make optimization problems quite difficult technically to solve. In the engineering literature complex stochastic dynamic programming models are used and solution algorithms developed for real-life data, with numerical solutions provided. In this book a much more simplified mathematical approach suited to obtain qualitative conclusions is followed. Standard nonlinear programming models for discrete time are used and the Kuhn - Tucker conditions employed extensively for qualitative interpretations. A special graphical presentation, termed a bathtub diagram, is developed for two-period illustration.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9780387730271
    Other identifier:
    RVK Categories: QT 600
    Series: International Series In Operations Research & Management Science ; 112
    Array
    Subjects: Wasserkraft; Erneuerbare Energie; Theorie; Renewable energy resources; Environmental management; Operations research; Decision making; Renewable energy sources; Alternate energy sources; Green energy industries; Energy industries; Environmental economics; Engineering; Economics; Renewable energy sources; Engineering economy; Environmental management; Econometrics; Environmental economics; Water-power
    Scope: Online-Ressource (XII, 266 p. 65 illus, online resource)
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 251 - 255

    Front Matter; Introduction; Water as a Natural Resource; Hydropower with Constraints; Multiple Producers; Mix of Thermal and Hydropower Plants; Trade; Transmission; Market Power; Uncertainty; Summary and Conclusions; Back Matter
  12. Human factors psychology
    Published: 1987
    Publisher:  North-Holland, Amsterdam

    This book is a collection of contemporary applications of psychological insights into practical human factors issues. The topics are arranged largely according to an information processing/energetic approach to human behavior. Consideration is also... more

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    This book is a collection of contemporary applications of psychological insights into practical human factors issues. The topics are arranged largely according to an information processing/energetic approach to human behavior. Consideration is also given to human-computer interaction and organizational design

     
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    Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9780080867014; 0080867014; 1281793094; 9781281793096; 0444703195
    Series: Advances in psychology ; 47
    Subjects: Human-machine systems; Pensée; Prise de décision; Ergonomie; Systèmes homme-machine; Mémoire immédiate; Thought and thinking; Short-term memory; Decision making; Human engineering; Decision making; Human engineering; Short-term memory; Thought and thinking; Attention; Human-machine systems; Cybernetics; Human-machine systems; Human Engineering; Ergonomics; Attention; Cybernetics; Decision Making; Memory, Short-Term; Task Performance and Analysis; Thinking; Man-Machine Systems; Psychologie; Aufsatzsammlung; Aufsatzsammlung; Psychologie; Cybernétique; Mémoire à court terme; Ergonomie; Ergonomie; Ergonomie; Ergonomie; TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING ; Industrial Design ; General; Decision making; Human engineering; Human-machine systems ; Psychological aspects; Short-term memory; Thought and thinking; Mens-machine-systemen; Psychologische aspecten; Attention; Interaction homme-ordinateur; Decision making; cybernetics; M�emoire imm�ediate; Syst�emes homme-machine - Aspect psychologique; Cybern�etique; Prise de d�ecision; Syst�emes homme-machine; ergonomics; thinking; Attention; Cybern�etique; Pens�ee; M�emoire �a court terme
    Scope: Online Ressource (xviii, 433 pages)
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references and index. - Print version record

    Front Cover; Human Factors Psychology; Copyright Page; TABLE OF CONTENTS; Chapter 1. SHORT-TERM MEMORY LlMlTS IN HUMAN PERFORMANCE; 1.1. INTRODUCTION; 1.2. DISTRACTION; 1.3. CAPACITY LIMIT; 1.4. HUMAN FACTORS APPLICATIONS; Chapter 2. ATTENTION; 2.1. METAPHORS OF ATTENTION; 2.2. SELECTIVE ATTENTION; 2.3. DIVIDED ATTENTION; 2.4. RESOURCES, PRACTICE, AND DIFFICULTY; 2.5. ATTENTION AND HUMAN ERROR; 2.6. CHANGES IN ATTENTIONAL FUNCTION; 2.7. CONCLUSION; Chapter 3. MENTAL WORKLOAD; 3.1. WHY PEOPLE ASK ""WHAT IS MENTAL WORKLOAD""; 3.2. HEURISTICS FOR STUDYING MENTAL WORKLOAD

    3.3. ATTENTION AND MENTAL WORKLOAD3.4. TASK DIFFICULTY VERSUS TASK COMPLEXITY; 3.5. MULTI-DIMENSIONAL ASPECTS OF MENTAL WORKLOAD; 3.6. MEASURING MENTAL WORKLOAD; 3.7. CONCLUSIONS; Chapter 4. HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES: HEURISTICS AND TASK STRUCTURE; 4.1. INTRODUCTION; 4.2. JUDGMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY; 4.3. CHOICE STRATEGIES AND TASK STRUCTURE; 4.4. DYNAMIC DECISION ENVIRONMENTS; 4.5. METHODS FOR EXPLORING DECISION STRATEGIES; 4.6. IMPLICATIONS FOR HUMAN-MACHINE SYSTEMS; 4.7. CONCLUSION; Chapter 5. AUTOMATIC AND CONTROLLED PROCESSING THEORY AND ITS APPLICATIONS TO HUMAN FACTORS PROBLEMS

    5.1. INTRODUCTION5.2. REVIEW OF THE RESEARCH; 5.3. FURTHER QUALITATIVE DIFFERENCES; 5.4. ATTENTIONAL RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS OF AUTOMATIC/CONTROLLED PROCESSING; 5.5. COMPLEX STIMULI - GENERALIZABILITY OF THE VISUAL SEARCH RESEARCH; 5.6. RELIABILITY OF AUTOMATIC PROCESSES; 5.7. INDIVIDUAL DIFFERENCES IN AUTOMATIC/CONTROLLED PROCESSING; 5.8. CONCLUSION AND FUTURE DIRECTION; Chapter 6. DESCRIBING MOVEMENT CONTROL AT TWO LEVELS OF ABSTRACTION; 6.1. ARGUMENTS FOR MULTIPLE LEVELS OF BEHAVIORAL ORGANIZATION; 6.2. ACTIVITY MODULES FOR DESCRIBING TRACKING AND OTHER SKILLED MOVEMENTS

    6.3. A REACTIVE TARGET ACQUISITION TASK6.4. METHOD; 6.5. RESULTS; 6.6. DISCUSSION; Chapter 7. HUMAN COMPUTER INTERACTION; 7.1. INTRODUCTION; 7.2. THE EMPlRICAL APPROACH; 7.3. THE ANTHROPOMORPHIC APPROACH; 7.4. THE COGNITIVE APPROACH; 7.5. THE PREDICTIVE MODELING APPROACH; 7.6. THE ROLE OF HUMAN FACTORS; Chapter 8. ADAPTIVE CONTROL IN HUMAN-MACHINE SYSTEMS; 8.1. INTRODUCTION; 8.2. STRESS AND ADAPTIVE FUNCTIONING; 8.3. USE OF MENTAL WORKLOAD MEASURES AS INPUT TO AN ADAPTIVE SYSTEM; 8.4. THE ROLE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN HUMAN-MACHINE SYSTEMS; 8.5. ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS

    8.6. A KNOWLEDGE-BASED ADAPTIVE MECHANISM8.7. CONCLUSION; Chapter 9. HUMAN FACTORS IN ORGANIZATIONAL DESIGN AND MANAGEMENT; 9.1. THE CONCEPT OF ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE AND DESIGN; 9.2. ORGANIZATIONAL GOALS; 9.3. DESIGNING THE COMPONENTS OF STRUCTURE; 9.4. MODERATING ORGANIZATIONAL DESIGN; 9.5. SELECTING THE TYPE OF ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE; Index
  13. Caritas
    Author: Wesker, Arnold
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  Bloomsbury Publishing, London ; Bloomsbury Publishing PLC

    "In the 14th century a young woman, CHRISTINE CARPENTER asked the church to allow her to live the rest of her life in a cell attached to the church in the Sussex village of Shere. Through living the austere life of an anchoress CHRISTINE hoped to... more

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    "In the 14th century a young woman, CHRISTINE CARPENTER asked the church to allow her to live the rest of her life in a cell attached to the church in the Sussex village of Shere. Through living the austere life of an anchoress CHRISTINE hoped to become pure enough to receive divine revelation. Three years on she realises that an anchoress's life is not her vocation - the word of God does not come to her. She asks the church to release her from her vows. They cannot. To do so, they argue, would be to make a cuckold of Christ. Victim of religious fervour she is doomed to live out her life imprisoned in her cell where she goes mad. A metaphor for wrong decisions - political, social, private, religious - which we make and which imprison us for life"--arnoldwesker.com.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781350238657
    Other identifier:
    Edition: First edition
    Series: Oberon modern playwrights
    Subjects: Women hermits; Decision making; Vows
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (pages 251-311)
  14. Sicherheit und Risiko
    Über den Umgang mit Gefahr im 21. Jahrhundert
    Contributor: Bohlender, Matthias (Publisher); Meurer, Sabine (Publisher); Münkler, Herfried (Publisher)
    Published: [2010]; © 2010
    Publisher:  transcript Verlag, Bielefeld

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    Source: Philologische Bibliothek, FU Berlin; Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Contributor: Bohlender, Matthias (Publisher); Meurer, Sabine (Publisher); Münkler, Herfried (Publisher)
    Language: German
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9783839412299
    Other identifier:
    RVK Categories: EC 5410
    Series: Sozialtheorie
    Subjects: Decision making; Financial crises; Gesellschaft; Risiko; Risikobewusstsein; Risk assessment; Risk management; Sicherheit; Sicherheitsbedürfnis; Social problems; Soziale Sicherheit; Sozialer Wandel; Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie, Anthropologie; Soziologie; Technischer Fortschritt; Geschichte; Gesellschaft; Financial crises; Gefahr; Risk; Uncertainty; Sozialer Wandel; Soziologie; Technischer Fortschritt; Risiko; Sicherheit; Sicherheitsbedürfnis; Gesellschaft
    Scope: 1 online resource (266 pages), illustrations
    Notes:

    Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (publisher’s Web site, viewed September 10 2015)

    Die umfassende gesellschaftspolitische Problematik von Sicherheit und Risiko in den globalisierten westlichen Gesellschaften ist nicht erst seit »9/11« oder der aktuellen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise virulent. Dieser Band versammelt die wichtigsten Stimmen der sozial-, kultur- und humanwissenschaftlichen Disziplinen, um nicht nur grundlegend in die Thematik einzuführen, sondern auch, um Antworten zu geben auf die Frage nach dem rasanten Wandel unseres Verständnisses von Gefahr, Bedrohung, Unsicherheit und riskantem Verhalten
  15. Uncertainty in economic theory
    essays in honor of David Schmeidler's 65th birthday
    Published: 2004
    Publisher:  Routledge, London

    This volume brings together important papers, coupled with new introductions, in the massively influential area of uncertainty in economic theory more

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    This volume brings together important papers, coupled with new introductions, in the massively influential area of uncertainty in economic theory

     
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    Language: English
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    Format: Online
    ISBN: 0415324947
    RVK Categories: QB 910 ; QB 920 ; QC 010
    Series: Routledge frontiers of political economy ; 63
    Routledge Frontiers of Political Economy Ser.
    Subjects: Uncertainty; Risk management; Decision making; Choice (Psychology); Uncertainty -- Mathematical models..; Decision making -- Mathematical models..; Risk management -- Mathematical models..; Choice (Psychology) -- Mathematical models; Choice (Psychology) ; Mathematical models; Decision making ; Mathematical models; Risk management ; Mathematical models; Uncertainty ; Mathematical models; Electronic books
    Scope: Online-Ressource (xiv, 558 p), ill, 24 cm
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    Includes bibliographical references and index

    Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web

    Uncertainty in Economic Theory; Copyright; Contents; List of Contributors; Preface; Part I Theory; 1 Introduction; 2 Preference axiomatizations for decision under uncertainty; 3 Defining ambiguity and ambiguity attitude; 4 Introduction to the mathematics of ambiguity; 5 Subjective probability and expected utility without additivity; 6 MAxmin expected utility with non-unique prior; 7 A simple axiomatization of nonadditive expected utility; 8 Updating ambigous beliefs; 9 A definition of uncertainty aversion; 10 Ambiguity made precise: A comparative made precise

    11 Stochastically independent randomization and uncertainty aversion12 Decomposition and representation of coalitional games; Part II Applications; 13 An overview of ecnomic applications of David Schmeidler's models of decision making under uncertainty; 14 Ambiguity aversion and incompleteness of contractual form; 15 Ambiguity aversion and incompleteness of financial markets; 16 A quartet of semigroups for model specification, robustness, prices of risk, and model detection; 17 Uncertainty aversion, risk aversion, and the optimal choice of portfolio

    18 Intertemporal asset pricing under knightian uncertainty19 Sharing beliefs; 20 Equilibrium in beliefs under uncertainity; 21 The right to remain silent; 22 On the measurement of inequality under uncertainty; Index
  16. Expert advice for policy choice
    analysis and discourse
    Author: MacRae, Duncan
    Published: c1997
    Publisher:  Georgetown University Press, Washington, D.C

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    Language: English
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    ISBN: 058525401X; 9780585254012
    Series: American governance and public policy
    Subjects: Policy sciences; Decision making
    Scope: Online-Ressource (xv, 430 p), ill
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    Includes bibliographical references (p. 395-416) and index

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    1. Preparatory Advice2. Selecting Criteria -- 3. Listing Alternatives -- 4. Policy Models -- 5. Aiding Choices with the Criteria/Alternatives Matrix -- 6. Considering Multiple Parties -- 7. Assessing Policies Whose Effects Are Distributed Over Time -- 8. Comparing and Combining Dimensions of Decision Matrices -- 9. Expert Communities, Quality Control, and Types of Use.
  17. Advances in decision analysis
    from foundations to applications
    Published: 2007
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    A mixture of historical and forward-looking essays on key topics in decision analysis more

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    A mixture of historical and forward-looking essays on key topics in decision analysis

     
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    Language: English
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    ISBN: 0521863686; 0521682304; 9780521863681; 9780521682305
    Subjects: Decision making; Decision Making; Decision Support Techniques
    Scope: Online-Ressource (xv, 623 p), ill, 24 cm
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    The emergence of decision analysis / Ralph F. Miles, Jr.The foundations of decision analysis revisited / Ronald A. Howard -- Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved / Howard Raiffa -- Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research / Lawrence D. Phillips and Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Defining a decision analytic structure / Detlof von Winterfeldt and Ward Edwards -- Developing objectives and attributes / Ralph L. Keeney -- Eliciting probabilities from experts / Stephen C. Hora -- Aggregating probability distributions / Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler -- Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams / Ross D. Shachter -- A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks / David Heckerman -- Utility and risk preferences / David E. Bell -- Practical value models -- Ralph L. Keeney and Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Extensions of the subjective expected utility model / Robert F. Nau -- Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems / Vicki M. Bier and Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications / M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell -- Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making / Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- What have we learned from our mistakes? / Barbara Mellers and Connson Locke -- Decision conferencing / Lawrence D. Phillips -- Resource allocation decisions / Don N. Kleinmuntz -- From decision analysis to the decision organization / David Matheson and James E. Matheson -- Building decision competency in organizations / Carl S. Spetzler -- Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games / James K. Sebenius -- The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia / John C. Butler, Alexander N. Chebeskov, James S. Dyer, Thomas A. Edmunds, Jianmin Jia, and Vladimir I. Oussanov -- Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis / Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process / Dennis M. Buede and Terry A. Bresnick -- Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies / Phillip C. Beccue and Jeffrey S. Stonebraker -- Perspective on decision analysis applications / Donald L. Keefer, Craig W. Kirkwood, and James L. Corner.
  18. Corporate decision-making with macroeconomic uncertainty
    performance and risk management
    Author: Oxelheim, Lars
    Published: 2008
    Publisher:  Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Preface. 1. Macroeconomic Uncertainty in a Corporate Perspective. 2. Concepts of Macroeconomic Risk and Exposure. 3. Traditional Approaches to Measuring Macroeconomic Exposure. 4. Measuring Macroeconomic Impact on the Firm - a Comprehensive Approach.... more

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    Preface. 1. Macroeconomic Uncertainty in a Corporate Perspective. 2. Concepts of Macroeconomic Risk and Exposure. 3. Traditional Approaches to Measuring Macroeconomic Exposure. 4. Measuring Macroeconomic Impact on the Firm - a Comprehensive Approach. 5. Measuring Macroeconomic Exposure - The Case of Volvo Cars. 6. Hedging Macroeconomic Exposure. 7. Strategies for Exposure Management. 8. Recognizing Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Value-Based Management. 9. What Shareholders Ought to Know. 10. Macroeconomic Uncertainty Strategy (MUST) Analysis - a Summary. References. Index

     
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    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 0195335740; 9780195335743
    Subjects: Management; Risk management; Decision making; Decision making; Management; Risk management; Electronic books
    Scope: Online-Ressource (x, 244 p), ill, 25 cm
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. [226]-233) and index

    Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web

    Contents; 1 Macroeconomic Uncertainty in a Corporate Perspective; 2 Concepts of Macroeconomic Risk Management; 3 Traditional Approaches to Measuring Macroeconomic Exposure; 4 Measuring Macroeconomic Impact on the Firm: A Comprehensive Approach; 5 Measuring Macroeconomic Exposure: The Case of Volvo Cars; 6 Hedging Macroeconomic Exposure; 7 Evaluating Cash Flow at Risk; 8 Strategies for Risk and Exposure Management; 9 Recognizing Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Value-Based Management; 10 Evaluation, Feedback, and Organization; 11 What Shareholders Ought to Know

    12 Macroeconomic Uncertainty Strategy (MUST) Analysis: A SummaryReferences; Index
  19. Decision behaviour, analysis and support
    Author: French, Simon
    Published: 2009
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

    A multi-disciplinary exploration of how we can help decision makers to deliberate and make better decisions. It considers both the use of computers and databases to support decisions as well as human aids to building analyses and some fast and frugal... more

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    A multi-disciplinary exploration of how we can help decision makers to deliberate and make better decisions. It considers both the use of computers and databases to support decisions as well as human aids to building analyses and some fast and frugal tricks to aid more consistent decision making

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 0511651554; 0511609949; 9780511651557; 9780511609947
    RVK Categories: QP 327
    Subjects: Decision making; Entscheidungsunterstützung
    Scope: Online-Ressource (xxv, 472 p), ill
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    Includes bibliographical references and index

    1. Introduction2. Behavioural decision studies -- 3. Decision analysis and support -- 4. Information and knowledge management -- 5. Artificial intelligence and expert systems -- 6. Operational research and optimisation -- 7. Decision analysis and multiple objectives -- 8. Decision analysis and uncertainty -- 9. Issue formulation and problem structuring -- 10. Strategic decision analysis -- 11. Groups of decision makers -- 12. Organisational decision support -- 13. Societal decision making -- 14. Decision support systems -- 15. Conclusions.
  20. Discrete choice methods with simulation
    Author: Train, Kenneth
    Published: c2003
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, New York

    Describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make.... more

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    Describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environment, health, and labor

     
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    Language: English
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    Format: Online
    ISBN: 0521816963; 0521017157
    RVK Categories: QH 444 ; QH 300 ; QC 020
    Subjects: Consumers' preferences; Decision making
    Scope: Online-Ressource (vii, 334 p), ill, 24 cm
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    Cover; Half-title; Title; Copyright; Contents; Dedication; 1 Introduction; 1.1 Motivation; 1.2 Choice Probabilities and Integration; 1.3 Outline of Book; 1.4 Topics Not Covered; 1.5 A Couple of Notes; 2 Properties of Discrete Choice Models; 3 Logit; 4 GEV; 5 Probit; 6 Mixed Logit; 7 Variations on a Theme; 8 Numerical Maximization; 9 Drawing from Densities; 10 Simulation-Assisted Estimation; 11 Individual-Level Parameters; 12 Bayesian Procedures; Bibliography; Index
  21. Cognitive processes and economic behaviour
    Published: 2003
    Publisher:  Routledge, London

    1.Behavioral finance and markets /Gur Huberman --2.A non-expected glance at markets: financial models and Knightian uncertainty /Marcello Basili and Fulvio Fontini --3.On the existence of a "complete" possibility structure /Adam Brandenburger... more

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    1.Behavioral finance and markets /Gur Huberman --2.A non-expected glance at markets: financial models and Knightian uncertainty /Marcello Basili and Fulvio Fontini --3.On the existence of a "complete" possibility structure /Adam Brandenburger --4.Correlated communication /Nicola Dimitri. In recent years the understanding of the cognitive foundations of economic behavior has become increasingly important. This volume contains contributions from such leading scholars as Adam Brandenburger, Michael Bacharach and Patrick Suppes. It will be of great interest to academics and researchers involved in the field of economics and psychology as well as those interested in political economy more generally

     
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    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781134362295; 1134362293
    Series: Routledge Siena studies in political economy
    Subjects: Economics; Émotions et cognition; Prise de décision; Cognition; Cognition; Economic man; Emotions and cognition; Decision making; Economics; Cognition; Economic man; Decision making; Economics; Emotions and cognition; BUSINESS & ECONOMICS ; Economics ; Theory; Cognition; Decision making; Economic man; Economics ; Psychological aspects; Emotions and cognition; Economische psychologie; Cognitieve processen; Economisch gedrag; Psychologische aspecten
    Scope: Online Ressource (xviii, 245 pages), illustrations.
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    Includes bibliographical references and index. - Print version record

    Gur Huberman: 1.Behavioral finance and markets

    Marcello Basili and Fulvio Fontini: 2.A non-expected glance at markets: financial models and Knightian uncertainty

    Adam Brandenburger: 3.On the existence of a "complete" possibility structure

    Nicola Dimitri: 4.Correlated communication
  22. Domain conditions in social choice theory
    Published: 2001
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    "Wulf Gaertner provides a comprehensive account of an important and complex issue within social choice theory: how to establish a social welfare function while restricting the spectrum of individual preferences in a sensible way. Gaertner's starting... more

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    "Wulf Gaertner provides a comprehensive account of an important and complex issue within social choice theory: how to establish a social welfare function while restricting the spectrum of individual preferences in a sensible way. Gaertner's starting point is K. J. Arrow's famous 'Impossibility Theorem', which showed that no welfare function could exist if an unrestricted domain of preferences is to be satisfied, together with some other appealing conditions. A number of leading economists have tried to provide avenues out of this 'impossibility' by restricting the variety of preferences: here, Gaertner provides a clear and detailed account, using standardized mathematical notation, of well over 40 theorems associated with domain conditions "Domain Conditions in Social Choice Theory will be an essential addition to the library of social choice theory for scholars and their advanced graduate students."--BOOK JACKET

     
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    ISBN: 0511016239; 9780511016233; 0511118988; 9780511118982; 9780511492303; 0511492308
    Subjects: Social choice; Decision making; Decision making; Social choice; Social choice; Decision making; PSYCHOLOGY ; Social Psychology; Decision making ; Mathematical models; Social choice ; Mathematical models; Kollektiventscheidung; Mathematisches Modell; Social choice; Voorkeur; Wiskundige modellen; Besliskunde; Domein (wiskunde); Existentie van oplossingen
    Scope: Online Ressource (ix, 153 pages)
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    Includes bibliographical references (pages 131-145) and index. - Description based on print version record

    1.Introduction2.Notation, definitions, and two fundamental theorems3.The existence of collective choice rules under exclusion conditions for finite sets of discrete alternatives4.Arrovian social welfare functions, nonmanipulable voting procedures and stable group decision functions5.Restrictions on the distribution of individuals' preferences6.The existence of social choice rules in n-dimensional continuous space7.Concluding remarks.
  23. Uncertainty in economic theory
    essays in honor of David Schmeidler's 65th birthday
    Published: 2004
    Publisher:  Routledge, London

    This volume brings together important papers, coupled with new introductions, in the massively influential area of uncertainty in economic theory. Seminal papers are available together for the first time in book format, with new introductions and... more

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    This volume brings together important papers, coupled with new introductions, in the massively influential area of uncertainty in economic theory. Seminal papers are available together for the first time in book format, with new introductions and under the steely editorship of Itzhak Gilboa - this book is a useful reference tool for economists all over the globe pt. 1. Theory -- pt. 2. Applications.

     
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    ISBN: 0203358066; 9780203358061
    Series: Routledge frontiers of political economy ; 63
    Subjects: Uncertainty; Decision making; Risk management; Choice (Psychology); Risk management; Uncertainty; Choice (Psychology); Decision making; Uncertainty; Decision making; Risk management; Choice (Psychology); BUSINESS & ECONOMICS ; Economics ; Theory; Choice (Psychology) ; Mathematical models; Decision making ; Mathematical models; Risk management ; Mathematical models; Uncertainty ; Mathematical models
    Scope: Online Ressource (xiv, 558 pages), tables.
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    Includes bibliographical references and index. - Print version record

    Pt. 1. Theorypt. 2. Applications.
  24. Managing uncertainties in networks
    a network approach to problem solving and decision making
    Published: 2004
    Publisher:  Routledge, London

    As public and private sector organizations work more frequently in partnership, managing uncertainties, problems and controversies becomes increasingly difficult. Despite sophisticated technology and knowledge, the strategic networks and games... more

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    As public and private sector organizations work more frequently in partnership, managing uncertainties, problems and controversies becomes increasingly difficult. Despite sophisticated technology and knowledge, the strategic networks and games required to solve uncertainties become more complex and more important than ever before. Managing Uncertainties in Networks is a new text that examines developments in the area of network strategy. Differentiating itself from other policy network approaches which have a mainly research focus, this text has a managerial orientation presenting strategies and management recommendations for public and private sector organisations as well as the analytical tools required by practitioners seeking to support their own internal decision making and strategy formulation. Topics covered include: * knowledge conflicts * uncertainties and governments * technological controversies * collaborative problem solving * managing networks Tapping into the important and ever-growing area of risk and uncertainty management, this is a vital and long awaited staple for the arena written by two leading authors in the field. Key reading for students, scholars and policy makers seeking to understand the complexities of the network society

     
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    ISBN: 9780415369404; 0415369401; 9780415369411; 041536941X; 0203643453; 9780203643457
    Subjects: Uncertainty; Complexity (Philosophy); Social networks; Decision making; Uncertainty; Decision making; Complexity (Philosophy); Social networks; Uncertainty; SOCIAL SCIENCE ; Regional Studies; SOCIAL SCIENCE ; Anthropology ; General; Complexity (Philosophy); Decision making; Social networks; Uncertainty ; Social aspects
    Scope: Online Ressource (289 pages), illustrations
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    Includes bibliographical references and index. - Print version record

    Uncertainties in dealing with complex problems in the network societyUncertainty about content : knowledge conflicts and asymmetrical debates -- Uncertainty and process : problem solving as a strategic game -- Uncertainty and institutions : patterns, rules and trust -- Uncertainties and governments : old and new responses -- Summing up : dealing with uncertainties in networks -- Mapping uncertainties in games and networks -- Managing content : furthering cross-frame reflection and the creation of negotiated knowledge -- Managing the game : selective couplings, rules of the game and process management -- Managing the network : strategies for institutional design -- Managing uncertainties in networks.
  25. Human Factors Psychology
    Published: 1987
    Publisher:  Elsevier textbooks, [s.l.]

    This book is a collection of contemporary applications of psychological insights into practical human factors issues. The topics are arranged largely according to an information processing/energetic approach to human behavior. Consideration is also... more

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    This book is a collection of contemporary applications of psychological insights into practical human factors issues. The topics are arranged largely according to an information processing/energetic approach to human behavior. Consideration is also given to human-computer interaction and organizational design. This book is a collection of contemporary applications of psychological insights into practical human factors issues. The topics are arranged largely according to an information processing/energetic approach to human behavior. Consideration is also given to human-computer interaction and organizational design

     
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    ISBN: 0444703195; 1281793094; 9781281793096
    Edition: 1. Aufl.
    Series: Advances in psychology ; 47
    Subjects: Decision making; Human-machine systems; Human engineering; Short-term memory; Thought and thinking; Cybernetics; Decision Making; Human Engineering; Memory, Short-Term; Task Performance and Analysis; Attention
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    Front Cover; Human Factors Psychology; Copyright Page; TABLE OF CONTENTS; Chapter 1. SHORT-TERM MEMORY LlMlTS IN HUMAN PERFORMANCE; 1.1. INTRODUCTION; 1.2. DISTRACTION; 1.3. CAPACITY LIMIT; 1.4. HUMAN FACTORS APPLICATIONS; Chapter 2. ATTENTION; 2.1. METAPHORS OF ATTENTION; 2.2. SELECTIVE ATTENTION; 2.3. DIVIDED ATTENTION; 2.4. RESOURCES, PRACTICE, AND DIFFICULTY; 2.5. ATTENTION AND HUMAN ERROR; 2.6. CHANGES IN ATTENTIONAL FUNCTION; 2.7. CONCLUSION; Chapter 3. MENTAL WORKLOAD; 3.1. WHY PEOPLE ASK ""WHAT IS MENTAL WORKLOAD""; 3.2. HEURISTICS FOR STUDYING MENTAL WORKLOAD

    3.3. ATTENTION AND MENTAL WORKLOAD3.4. TASK DIFFICULTY VERSUS TASK COMPLEXITY; 3.5. MULTI-DIMENSIONAL ASPECTS OF MENTAL WORKLOAD; 3.6. MEASURING MENTAL WORKLOAD; 3.7. CONCLUSIONS; Chapter 4. HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES: HEURISTICS AND TASK STRUCTURE; 4.1. INTRODUCTION; 4.2. JUDGMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY; 4.3. CHOICE STRATEGIES AND TASK STRUCTURE; 4.4. DYNAMIC DECISION ENVIRONMENTS; 4.5. METHODS FOR EXPLORING DECISION STRATEGIES; 4.6. IMPLICATIONS FOR HUMAN-MACHINE SYSTEMS; 4.7. CONCLUSION; Chapter 5. AUTOMATIC AND CONTROLLED PROCESSING THEORY AND ITS APPLICATIONS TO HUMAN FACTORS PROBLEMS

    5.1. INTRODUCTION5.2. REVIEW OF THE RESEARCH; 5.3. FURTHER QUALITATIVE DIFFERENCES; 5.4. ATTENTIONAL RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS OF AUTOMATIC/CONTROLLED PROCESSING; 5.5. COMPLEX STIMULI - GENERALIZABILITY OF THE VISUAL SEARCH RESEARCH; 5.6. RELIABILITY OF AUTOMATIC PROCESSES; 5.7. INDIVIDUAL DIFFERENCES IN AUTOMATIC/CONTROLLED PROCESSING; 5.8. CONCLUSION AND FUTURE DIRECTION; Chapter 6. DESCRIBING MOVEMENT CONTROL AT TWO LEVELS OF ABSTRACTION; 6.1. ARGUMENTS FOR MULTIPLE LEVELS OF BEHAVIORAL ORGANIZATION; 6.2. ACTIVITY MODULES FOR DESCRIBING TRACKING AND OTHER SKILLED MOVEMENTS

    6.3. A REACTIVE TARGET ACQUISITION TASK6.4. METHOD; 6.5. RESULTS; 6.6. DISCUSSION; Chapter 7. HUMAN COMPUTER INTERACTION; 7.1. INTRODUCTION; 7.2. THE EMPlRICAL APPROACH; 7.3. THE ANTHROPOMORPHIC APPROACH; 7.4. THE COGNITIVE APPROACH; 7.5. THE PREDICTIVE MODELING APPROACH; 7.6. THE ROLE OF HUMAN FACTORS; Chapter 8. ADAPTIVE CONTROL IN HUMAN-MACHINE SYSTEMS; 8.1. INTRODUCTION; 8.2. STRESS AND ADAPTIVE FUNCTIONING; 8.3. USE OF MENTAL WORKLOAD MEASURES AS INPUT TO AN ADAPTIVE SYSTEM; 8.4. THE ROLE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN HUMAN-MACHINE SYSTEMS; 8.5. ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS

    8.6. A KNOWLEDGE-BASED ADAPTIVE MECHANISM8.7. CONCLUSION; Chapter 9. HUMAN FACTORS IN ORGANIZATIONAL DESIGN AND MANAGEMENT; 9.1. THE CONCEPT OF ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE AND DESIGN; 9.2. ORGANIZATIONAL GOALS; 9.3. DESIGNING THE COMPONENTS OF STRUCTURE; 9.4. MODERATING ORGANIZATIONAL DESIGN; 9.5. SELECTING THE TYPE OF ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE; Index