Narrow Search
Last searches

Results for *

Displaying results 1 to 25 of 62.

  1. <<The>> effect of compulsory schooling on vaccination against COVID and Influenza
    Published: 2023
    Publisher:  RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Essen, Germany

    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Düsseldorf
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9783969731772
    Series: Ruhr economic papers ; #1011
    Subjects: COVID; influenza; vaccination; education; compulsory schooling
    Scope: 25 Seiten, Diagramme
  2. An evaluation of the macro policy response to COVID
    Published: [2024]
    Publisher:  Australian National University, Canberra

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VSP 1802
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: TTPI - working papers ; 2024, 11 (September 2024)
    Subjects: Monetary policy; fiscal policy; COVID; econometric modelling
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 123 Seiten), Illustrationen
  3. Unequal consequences of COVID 19 across age and income
    representative evidence from six countries
    Published: 19 June 2020
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    Access:
    Verlag (lizenzpflichtig)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    LZ 161
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP14908
    Subjects: Coronavirus; Infektionsschutz; Wirkungsanalyse; Meinungsforschung; Altersgruppe; Freizeitverhalten; Einkommensverteilung; Vergleich; China; Südkorea; Japan; Italien; Großbritannien; USA; COVID; Inequalities; Work; leisure; age; Income; Cross-country comparisons
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 24 Seiten), Illustrationen
  4. Civic capital and social distancing during the COVID-19 pandemic
    Published: 17 June 2020
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    Access:
    Verlag (lizenzpflichtig)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    LZ 161
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP14900
    Subjects: COVID; Civic capital; voluntary compliance
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 47 Seiten), Illustrationen
  5. The socioeconomic patterns of COVID outside advanced economies: the case of Bogotá
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  CEDE, Centro de Estudios sobre Desarrollo Económico, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 708
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Documento CEDE ; 2020, 45 (noviembre de 2020)
    Subjects: COVID; Inequality; Socioeconomic Impact; Psychological Biases; LatinAmerica; Colombia
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 16 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. Fiscal policy in the COVID-19 era
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Australian National University, Canberra

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VSP 1802
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: TTPI - working papers ; 2022, 4 (April 2022)
    Subjects: fiscal policy; COVID; econometric modelling; macroeconomic outlook; Job Keeper
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 48 Seiten), Illustrationen
    Notes:

    Working Paper ebenfalls in der Reihe CAMA working paper series no. 27/2022 erschienen

  7. Occupational mobility in the ALife data
    how reliable are occupational patterns from administrative Australian tax records?
    Contributor: Hathorne, Clara (HerausgeberIn); Breunig, Robert (HerausgeberIn)
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Australian National University, Canberra

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VSP 1802
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Contributor: Hathorne, Clara (HerausgeberIn); Breunig, Robert (HerausgeberIn)
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: TTPI - working papers ; 2022, 5 (April 2022)
    Subjects: fiscal policy; COVID; econometric modelling; macroeconomic outlook; JobKeeper
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 64 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Fiscal Policy in the COVID-19 era
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Australian National University, Crawford School of Public Policy, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Canberra

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VSP 1716
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: CAMA working paper ; 2022, 27 (March 2022)
    Subjects: fiscal policy; COVID; econometric modelling; macroeconomic outlook; JobKeeper
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 50 Seiten), Illustrationen
    Notes:

    Working Paper ebenfalls in der Reihe TTPI - Working Paper no.4/2022 erschienen

  9. Information exposure and corporate citizenship
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  Stigler Center for the Study of the Economy and the State, University of Chicago Booth School of Business, Chicago, IL

    We explore how information exposure, specifically information transmission within organizations, facilitates companies' roles as corporate citizens. We study whether US firms' business networks with China and Italy become their information advantage,... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 827
    No inter-library loan

     

    We explore how information exposure, specifically information transmission within organizations, facilitates companies' roles as corporate citizens. We study whether US firms' business networks with China and Italy become their information advantage, and examine whether firms use relevant information to mitigate the negative shocks of COVID-19. We start by validating our measurement of information exposure. Next, we find that a higher number of work-from-home ("WFH") policies, as evidenced by a higher stay-at-home ratio, are implemented in areas with more information-exposure companies, even before local governments impose a lockdown. To further demonstrate corporate citizenship, we document firms' positive social impact-lower COVID-19 growth and an influence on other firms' WFH policies-and show suggestive evidence on firms' social motives.

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/262714
    Series: New working paper series / Chicago Booth, Stigler Center for the Study of the Economy and the State ; no. #312 (December 2021)
    Subjects: Information exposure; information transmission; business networks; COVID; corporate citizenship
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 72 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Preferences matter! political responses to the COVID-19 and population's preferences
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Center for Research in Economics and Management, University of Rennes 1, University of Caen Normandie, [Rennes]

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 613
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / Center for Research in Economics and Management ; WP 2022, 01 (Février 2022)
    Subjects: COVID; Political Responses; Economic Preferences
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 49 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Personality traits, remote work and productivity
    Published: 2022
    Publisher:  Global Labor Organization (GLO), Essen

    The future of teleworking ultimately depends on its impact on workers' productivity and wellbeing, yet the effect of remote working on productivity is not well understood. This paper investigates the link between personality traits and workers'... more

    Access:
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 565
    No inter-library loan

     

    The future of teleworking ultimately depends on its impact on workers' productivity and wellbeing, yet the effect of remote working on productivity is not well understood. This paper investigates the link between personality traits and workers' productivity when working from home. We exploit a survey providing measures of the "Big Five" personality traits for more than 1700 recent teleworkers. We document strong links between personality, productivity, and willingness to work from home post-pandemic. Ceteris paribus, Conscientiousness and Openness to Experience are positively associated with a higher productivity from home, especially for females. On the other hand, the link between Extraversion and preference for teleworking is negative. These results suggest that a one-size-fits-all policy is unlikely to maximize neither firms' productivity nor workers' satisfaction.

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/262736
    Edition: This version: 01/08/2022
    Series: GLO discussion paper ; no. 1145
    Subjects: Personality traits; teleworking; work from home; productivity; COVID
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 48 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Green bonds as hedging assets before and after COVID
    a comparative study between the US and China
    Published: November 2021
    Publisher:  Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, Cardiff, United Kingdom

    The COVID pandemic reveals the fragility of the global financial market during rare disasters. Conventional safe-haven assets like gold can be used to hedge against ordinary risks, but tail dependence can substantially reduce the hedging... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 159
    No inter-library loan

     

    The COVID pandemic reveals the fragility of the global financial market during rare disasters. Conventional safe-haven assets like gold can be used to hedge against ordinary risks, but tail dependence can substantially reduce the hedging effectiveness. In contrast, green bonds focus on long-term, sustainable investments, so they become an important hedging tool against climate risks, financial risks, as well as rare disasters like COVID. The copula approach based on the TGARCH model is applied to estimate the joint distributions between green bonds and selected financial assets in both US and China. The quantile-based approach is also performed to offer a robustness check on tail dependence. The results show that all assets in the two countries have thick tails and tail dependence with time-varying features. The hedging effectiveness does decline during the COVID pandemic, but it is the hedging effectiveness against tail risks rather than against normal risks. It is argued that green bonds play a significant role in hedging against rare disasters especially in forex markets. It is also found that green bonds in the US and China converge in many aspects, suggesting a smaller cross-country difference than cross-asset difference.

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/261221
    Series: Cardiff economics working papers ; no. E2021, 28
    Subjects: green bonds; hedging effectiveness; COVID
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. How many more days of social distancing before community transmission is controlled?
    a hierarchical Bayesian model of Covid-19 by jurisdiction
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  INSEAD, [Fontainebleau]

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; 2020, 21
    Subjects: COVID; Projections; Public Policy; Bayesian Model
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 23 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. Inflation with Covid consumption baskets
    Published: [2020]
    Publisher:  [Harvard Business School], [Boston, MA]

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Keine Rechte
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: [Working paper / Harvard Business School ; 20, 124]
    Subjects: COVID; consumer expenditures; CPI; inflation
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 16 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. A rational-choice model of Covid-19 transmission with endogenous quarantining and two-sided prevention
    Published: August 15, 2020
    Publisher:  Iowa State University, Department of Economics, Ames, Iowa

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / Iowa State University, Department of Economics ; number 20016
    Subjects: COVID; inequality; infection risk; quarantine
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Impact of remittances on natural rate of dollarization
    trends in Caucasus and Central Asia
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, DC]

    This paper discusses migration and remittances trends, and calculates the natural (or benchmark) level of dollarization in Caucasus, Central Asia and others in the region. This natural level of dollarization is conceptually linked to the currency... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Online
    No inter-library loan
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    No inter-library loan
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    No inter-library loan
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    No inter-library loan
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    No inter-library loan
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    No inter-library loan
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    No inter-library loan
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 301
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    No inter-library loan
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    No inter-library loan
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    No inter-library loan
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    E_Book IMF
    No inter-library loan

     

    This paper discusses migration and remittances trends, and calculates the natural (or benchmark) level of dollarization in Caucasus, Central Asia and others in the region. This natural level of dollarization is conceptually linked to the currency allocation in a portfolio of deposits to maximize welfare, in line with Ize and Levy Yeyati (2003). The fall in remittances due to the economic slowdown since the spread of COVID-19 affects the macroeconomic fundamentals that determine demand for foreign currency deposits. We calculate the natural dollarization level by integrating structural macroeconomic characteristics. We show that despite the reduction in deposit dollarization, there is still a gap with respect to the natural level of dollarization, especially in a scenario of (persistent) lower remittance inflows

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  17. Behavior and the transmission of COVID-19
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Minneapolis, MN

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 410
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Series: Staff report / Research Division, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis ; no. 618 (February 2021)
    Subjects: COVID; Behavior; Epidemics
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 57 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. A parsimonious behavioral SEIR model of the 2020 COVID epidemic in the United States and the United Kingdom
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Minneapolis, MN

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 410
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Series: Staff report / Research Division, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis ; no. 619 (February 2021)
    Subjects: COVID; Behavior; Epidemics
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 36 Seiten), Illustrationen
  19. Obesity and its impact on COVID occurrence
    evidence from India
    Published: May 2021
    Publisher:  Institute of Economic Growth, University of Delhi, Delhi, India

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Keine Rechte
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: IEG working paper ; no. 430
    Subjects: COVID; overweight; obesity
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 25 Seiten), Illustrationen
  20. The direct employment impact of public investment
    Published: May 2021
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    We evaluate the direct employment effect of the public investment in key infrastructure-electricity, roads, schools and hospitals, and water and sanitation. Using rich firm-level panel data from 41 countries over 19 years, we estimate that USD 1... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Orient-Institut Beirut
    Online
    No inter-library loan
    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Braunschweig
    No inter-library loan
    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Bremen
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt / Forschungsbibliothek Gotha, Universitätsbibliothek Erfurt
    No inter-library loan
    Bibliothek der Pädagogischen Hochschule Freiburg/Breisgau
    No inter-library loan
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    No inter-library loan
    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    No inter-library loan
    Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Technische Universität Hamburg, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Heidenheim, Bibliothek
    e-Book Nationallizenz
    No inter-library loan
    Thüringer Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Fachhochschule Kiel, Zentralbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 301
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Leipzig
    No inter-library loan
    Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Medien- und Informationszentrum, Universitätsbibliothek
    No inter-library loan
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Mosbach, Bibliothek
    E-Book Nationallizenz IMF
    No inter-library loan
    Hochschule Offenburg, University of Applied Sciences, Bibliothek Campus Offenburg
    E-Book International Monetary Fund
    No inter-library loan
    Hochschulbibliothek Pforzheim, Bereichsbibliothek Technik und Wirtschaft
    e-Book International Monetary Fund eLibrary
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent
    Hochschule Albstadt-Sigmaringen, Bibliothek Sigmaringen
    No loan of volumes, only paper copies will be sent
    Duale Hochschule Baden-Württemberg Villingen-Schwenningen, Bibliothek
    E_Book IMF
    No inter-library loan

     

    We evaluate the direct employment effect of the public investment in key infrastructure-electricity, roads, schools and hospitals, and water and sanitation. Using rich firm-level panel data from 41 countries over 19 years, we estimate that USD 1 million of public spending in infrastructure create 3-7 jobs in advanced economies, 10-17 jobs in emerging market economies, and 16-30 jobs in low-income developing countries. As a comparison, USD 1 million public spending on R and D yields 5-11 jobs in R and D in OECD countries. Green investment and investment with a larger R and D component deliver higher employment effect. Overall, we estimate that one percent of global GDP in public investment can create more than seven million jobs worldwide through its direct employment effects alone

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
  21. The economics of walking about and predicting unemployment
    Published: 2021
    Publisher:  Global Labor Organization (GLO), Essen

    Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country fixed effects are added to panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries - Austria; Belgium;... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 565
    No inter-library loan

     

    Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country fixed effects are added to panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries - Austria; Belgium; Bulgaria; Croatia; Cyprus; Czechia; Denmark; Estonia; Finland; France; Germany; Greece; Hungary; Ireland; Italy; Latvia; Lithuania; Luxembourg; Malta; Netherlands; Poland; Portugal; Romania; Slovakia; Slovenia; Spain; Sweden; Turkey and the UK - over 439 months between January 1985 and July 2021 in an unbalanced country*month panel of just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months in advance based on individuals' fears of unemployment, their perceptions of the economic situation and their own household financial situation. Fear of unemployment predicts subsequent changes in unemployment 12 months later in the presence of country fixed effects and lagged unemployment. Individuals' perceptions of the economic situation in the country and their own household finances also predict unemployment 12 months later. Business sentiment (industry fear of unemployment) is also predictive of unemployment 12 months later. The findings underscore the importance of the "economics of walking about". The implication is that these social survey data are informative in predicting economic downturns and should be used more extensively in forecasting. We also generate a 29 country-level annual panel on life satisfaction from 1985-2020 from the World Database of Happiness and show that the consumer level fear of unemployment variable lowers wellbeing over and above the negative impact of the unemployment rate itself. Qualitative survey metrics were able to predict the Great Recession and the economic slowdown in Europe just prior to the COVID pandemic.

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/238742
    Series: GLO discussion paper ; no. 922
    Subjects: unemployment; fear; sentiment; social attitudes; life satisfaction; recession; COVID
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 56 Seiten), Illustrationen
  22. Severe but plausible - or not?
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  MIT Sloan School of Management, [Cambridge, MA]

    In light of the COVID 19 crisis, the Federal Reserve has carried out stress tests to assess if major banks have sufficient capital to ensure their viability should a new and perhaps unprecedented crisis emerge. The Fed argues that the scenarios... more

    Access:
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    VS 67
    No inter-library loan

     

    In light of the COVID 19 crisis, the Federal Reserve has carried out stress tests to assess if major banks have sufficient capital to ensure their viability should a new and perhaps unprecedented crisis emerge. The Fed argues that the scenarios underpinning these stress tests are severe but plausible, yet they have not offered any evidence or framework for measuring the plausibility of their scenarios. If the scenarios are indeed plausible, it makes sense for banks to retain enough capital to withstand their occurrence. If, however, the scenarios are not reasonably plausible, banks will have deployed capital less productively than they otherwise could have, thereby impairing credit expansion and economic growth. The authors apply a measure of statistical unusualness, called the Mahalanobis distance, to assess the plausibility of the Fed’s stress scenarios. A first pass of their analysis, based on conventional statistical assumptions, reveals that the Fed’s scenarios are not even remotely plausible. However, the authors offer two modifications to their initial analysis that increase the scenarios’ plausibility. First, they show how the Fed can minimally modify their scenarios to render them marginally plausible in a Gaussian world. And second, they show how to evaluate the plausibility of the Fed’s scenarios by replacing the theoretical world of normality with a distribution that is empirically grounded

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Edition: This version: January 9, 2021
    Series: MIT Sloan School working paper ; 6246 (21)
    Subjects: Alternative composite scenario; Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review Program; COVID; Kurtosis; Mahalanobis distance; Severe but plausible; Skewness; Stress scenario; Stress test; Supervisory Capital Assessment Program
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 30 Seiten)
  23. The reasury market in spring 2020 and the response of the federal reserve
    Published: 30 July 2021
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    Access:
    Verlag (lizenzpflichtig)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    LZ 161
    No inter-library loan
    Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP16410
    Subjects: Treasury markets; COVID; Quantitative easing; Federal Reserve
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 62 Seiten), Illustrationen
  24. Working from home during COVID19
    evidence from time-use studies
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  Harvard Business School, [Boston, MA]

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Keine Rechte
    No inter-library loan
    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / Harvard Business School ; 21, 094
    Subjects: time-use; working-from-home; COVID; knowledge workers; managers
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 56 Seiten), Illustrationen
  25. "Missing" workers and "missing" jobs since the pandemic
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, [Chicago, Illinois]

    Since the start of the pandemic the U.S. labor market has been characterized as being plagued by missing jobs, i.e. payroll employment has fallen more than five million jobs short of its pre-pandemic trend, and missing workers, i.e. the participation... more

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    Resolving-System (kostenfrei)
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    DS 244
    No inter-library loan

     

    Since the start of the pandemic the U.S. labor market has been characterized as being plagued by missing jobs, i.e. payroll employment has fallen more than five million jobs short of its pre-pandemic trend, and missing workers, i.e. the participation rate has declined by 1.2 percentage points: A pandemic-induced shortage of workers has restrained job creation and, as a result, been a substantial drag on post-pandemic job growth. In this paper, we show that this is a misinterpretation of the data for two reasons. The first is that the number of missing jobs is inflated because it is based on the unrealistic assumption that the pre-pandemic tailwinds for job growth from the decline in the unemployment rate and cyclical upward pressures on participation would have continued in 2020 and beyond if the pandemic would not have occurred. Second, the number of workers missing due to COVID is overstated because the bulk of the 1.2 percentage-point decline in the participation rate since the start of the pandemic reflects a continuation of its long-run downward trend that was already part of projections before the pandemic broke out. Instead, our payroll jobs accounting yields an 810 thousand cyclical shortfall in payroll jobs in October 2022 compared to right before the pandemic. At the recent pace of job growth, even without monetary and fiscal tightening, we expect a substantial deceleration of payroll growth in the coming months.

     

    Export to reference management software   RIS file
      BibTeX file
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/272814
    Edition: Draft: November 21, 2022
    Series: [Working paper] / Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ; WP 2022, 54 (November 21, 2022)
    Subjects: COVID; job growth; participation
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen