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Displaying results 1 to 21 of 21.

  1. The anatomy of bias
    how neural circuits weigh the options
    Published: c 2010
    Publisher:  MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass. [u.a.]

    Max-Planck-Institut für Bildungsforschung, Bibliothek und wissenschaftliche Information
    2010/624
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    Universitätsbibliothek Osnabrück
    BBK / Lau
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9780262123105; 026212310X
    RVK Categories: CP 4200
    Subjects: Neural circuitry; Decision making; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Neural networks (Neurobiology); Nerve Net; Judgment; Models, Theoretical; Nervennetz; Neuronales Netz; Entscheidungsfindung; Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie; Interdisziplinarität
    Scope: xviii, 262 p., ill., photographs, 24 cm
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. [233] - 254) and index

    Prelude: a double inheritance, a single question -- Bayes and bias -- Wish come true -- Fear materialized -- The familiarity fallacy -- The proximity trap -- Less is more -- Utopia--a world without bias -- Coda: the pleasure of prediction error.

  2. The anatomy of bias
    how neural circuits weigh the options
    Published: c 2010
    Publisher:  MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass. [u.a.]

    Max-Planck-Institut für Bildungsforschung, Bibliothek und wissenschaftliche Information
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9780262123105; 026212310X
    RVK Categories: CP 4200
    Subjects: Neural circuitry; Decision making; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Neural networks (Neurobiology); Nerve Net; Judgment; Models, Theoretical; Nervennetz; Neuronales Netz; Entscheidungsfindung; Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie; Interdisziplinarität
    Scope: xviii, 262 p., ill., photographs, 24 cm
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. [233] - 254) and index

    Prelude: a double inheritance, a single question -- Bayes and bias -- Wish come true -- Fear materialized -- The familiarity fallacy -- The proximity trap -- Less is more -- Utopia--a world without bias -- Coda: the pleasure of prediction error.

  3. Determinants of long-term growth
    a Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) approach
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass.

    This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates ¤ (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS... more

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 1 (7750)
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    This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates ¤ (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included variables. The weights applied to individual regressions are justified on Bayesian grounds in a way similar to the well- known Schwarz criterion. Of 32 explanatory variables we find 11 to be robustly partially correlated with long-term growth and another five variables to be marginally related. Of all the variables considered, the strongest evidence is for the initial level of real GDP per capita.

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: NBER working paper series ; 7750
    Subjects: Wirtschaftswachstum; Bayes-Statistik; Regressionsanalyse; Theorie; Schätzung; Welt; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Economic development
    Scope: 52 S, graph. Darst, a
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 40 - 41

    Internetausg.: papers.nber.org/papers/W7750.pdf - lizenzpflichtig

  4. Calibration and Bayesian learning
    Published: 1999

    "In a repeated game of incomplete information, myopic players form beliefs on next-period play and choose strategies to maximize next-period payoffs. Beliefs are treated as forecast of future plays. Forecast accuracy is assessed using calibration... more

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 83 (596)
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    "In a repeated game of incomplete information, myopic players form beliefs on next-period play and choose strategies to maximize next-period payoffs. Beliefs are treated as forecast of future plays. Forecast accuracy is assessed using calibration tests, which measure asymptotic accuracy of beliefs against some realizations. Beliefs are calibrated if they pass all calibration tests. For a positive Lebesgue measure of payoff vectors, beliefs are not calibrated. But, if payoff vector and calibration test are drawn from a suitable product measure, beliefs pass the calibration test almost surely"--Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis web site

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Working paper / Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Research Department ; 596
    Subjects: Unvollkommene Information; Lernen; Theorie; Wiederholte Spiele; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Game theory; Economics, Mathematical
  5. On optimal Bayesian market mechanisms with credibility constraints
    the example of the CEECs and EU accession and enlargement processes
    Published: 2000

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 984 (57)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9985503015
    Series: Preprint / Estonian Institute of Economics, Tallinn Technical University ; 57
    Subjects: EU-Mitgliedschaft; Bayes-Statistik; Glaubwürdigkeit; Osteuropa; European Union; European Union; European Union; Bayesian statistical decision theory
    Scope: 20 S
  6. Bayesowska estymacja i predykcja dla jednorównaniowych modeli ekonometrycznych
    Published: 1991

    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    29 SA 2861-100
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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    3 A 33089
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    B 261055
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: Polish
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Array ; 100
    Subjects: Schätztheorie; Prognoseverfahren; Theorie
    Other subjects: Economics, Mathematical; Bayesian statistical decision theory
    Scope: 193 S
    Notes:

    Bayesian estimation and prediction for one-equation econometric models

    Includes bibliographical references (p. [176]-182)

  7. Problemy odporności w bayesowskiej analizie statystycznej
    Published: 1998
    Publisher:  Oficyna Wydawn. Szkoły Głównej Handlowej, Warszawa

    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    3 A 91135
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    B 307682
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: Polish
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Edition: Wyd. 1
    Series: Monografie i opracowania / Szkoła Główna Handlowa ; 446
    Subjects: Bayes-Statistik; Theorie
    Other subjects: Bayesian statistical decision theory; Robust statistics; Estimation theory
    Scope: 191 S, 24 cm
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. [183]-191)

  8. Learning and the value of information
    the case of health plan report cards

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 1 (8589)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: NBER working paper series ; 8589
    Subjects: Lernprozess; Informationswert; Gesundheitsversorgung; Produktqualität; Konsumentenverhalten; Theorie; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Consumer behavior; Health maintenance organizations; Information theory in economics; Quality of products
    Scope: 40 S, graph. Darst
    Notes:

    Internetausg.: papers.nber.org/papers/W8589.pdf - lizenzpflichtig

  9. Bayesian inference for hospital quality in a selection model
    Published: 2001
    Publisher:  NBER, Cambridge, Mass.

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 1 (8497)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: NBER working paper series ; 8497
    Subjects: Krankenhaus; Dienstleistungsqualität; Schätzung; Kalifornien; Induktive Statistik; Erhebungstechnik; Bayes Theorem; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Economics, Hospital; Hospital care; Hospital patients; Patient Admission; Quality Assurance, Health Care; Severity of Illness Index
    Scope: 43, 34 S, graph. Darst
    Notes:

    Internetausg.: papers.nber.org/papers/W8497 - lizenzpflichtig

  10. What's news in business cycles
    Published: 2009
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 32 (7201)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Array ; 7201
    CEPR - EABCN ; 2009,40
    Subjects: Produktivität; Investition; Öffentliche Ausgaben; Schock; Konjunktur; USA
    Other subjects: Bayesian statistical decision theory; Array; Array
    Scope: 51 S., graph. Darst.
  11. Professor A. L. Bowley's theory of the representative method
    Published: 2008
    Publisher:  Univ. of Southampton, School of Social Sciences, Economics Division, Southampton

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 1000 (0801)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Discussion papers in economics and econometrics ; 0801
    Subjects: Wissenschaftliche Methode; Befragung; Ökonomische Ideengeschichte; Großbritannien; Sampling (Statistics); Bayesian statistical decision theory
    Other subjects: Bowley, A. L. (1869-1957); Bowley Sir, A. L. [Arthur Lyon] *1869-1957*
    Scope: 79 S.
  12. Strategic supply function competition with private information
    Published: 2008
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 32 (6960)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Array ; 6960
    Subjects: Angebot; Unvollkommener Wettbewerb; Asymmetrische Information; Kosten; Duopol; Adverse Selektion; Vergleich; Wohlfahrtsanalyse; Theorie
    Other subjects: Bayesian statistical decision theory; Array; Array; Rational expectations (Economic theory)
    Scope: 45 S., graph. Darst.
  13. Bayesian VARs with large panels
    Published: 2007
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 32 (6326)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    RVK Categories: QB 910
    Series: Array ; 6326
    Subjects: Mathematik; VAR-Modell; Prognoseverfahren; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Macroeconomics
    Scope: 25 S., graph. Darst.
  14. Interakce měnové a fiskální politiky před krizí a po ní
    aplikace modelu BVAR v podmínkách české ekonomiky
    Published: 2019
    Publisher:  Univerzita Karlova, Naladatelství Karolinum, Praha

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    B 420218
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: Czech
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9788024642352; 8024642352
    Edition: První vydání
    Subjects: Finanzpolitik; Geldpolitik; Finanzkrise; VAR-Modell; Bayes-Statistik; Tschechien; Fiscal policy; Monetary policy; Financial crises; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Macroeconomics ; Econometric models; Czech Republic
    Scope: 142 pages, illustrations, 24 cm
  15. Codex Sinaiticus Arabicus and its family
    a Bayesian approach
    Published: [2025]; ©2025
    Publisher:  Brill, Leiden

    "Arabic versions of the New Testament have been overlooked for too long. The Sinai New Finds of 1975 unearthed Codex Sinaiticus Arabicus which preserves an Arabic translation of the Gospels differing markedly from the Majority Text. Here Robert... more

    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    Fa 75 (66)
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
    MK 19 4 Crit. Tur.1
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    2024 A 10298
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    24:3456
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    74/11748
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    Universitätsbibliothek der Eberhard Karls Universität
    64 A 5359
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    "Arabic versions of the New Testament have been overlooked for too long. The Sinai New Finds of 1975 unearthed Codex Sinaiticus Arabicus which preserves an Arabic translation of the Gospels differing markedly from the Majority Text. Here Robert Turnbull undertakes a wide-ranging study of this version, discovering many lectionary manuscripts with the same text. Several open-access datasets are made available. Bayesian phylogenetics and other computational techniques are used to draw insights into the transmission history of this version and its place in the wider New Testament textual tradition. This Arabic version will be indispensable in future textual scholarship on the Gospels"--

     

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9789004685802
    Other identifier:
    9789004685802
    RVK Categories: BC 6070
    Series: New testament tools, studies and documents ; volume 66
    Subjects: Bayesian statistical decision theory
    Scope: XXI, 395 Seiten, Illustrationen, Diagramme
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references and indexes

  16. Predicting short-term interest rates
    does Bayesian model averaging provide forecast improvement?
    Published: 2011
    Publisher:  Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, University of Melbourne, [Parkville]

    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    W 315 (2011,1)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9780734042323; 0734042329
    Series: Melbourne Institute working paper ; 11,1
    Melbourne Institute working paper ; no. 1/11
    Subjects: Euro; Einlagengeschäft; Zinsderivat; Zins; Prognoseverfahren; Bayes-Statistik; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Interest rates
    Scope: 38 p, graph. Darst., 21 cm
    Notes:

    "January 2011

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 29-32)

  17. The anatomy of bias
    how neural circuits weigh the options
    Published: c2010
    Publisher:  MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass. [u.a.]

    Max-Planck-Institut für Bildungsforschung, Bibliothek und wissenschaftliche Information
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9780262123105; 026212310X
    Other identifier:
    9780262123105
    RVK Categories: CM 5500 ; CP 4200
    Subjects: Neural circuitry; Decision making; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Neural networks (Neurobiology); Nerve Net; Judgment; Models, Theoretical; Nervennetz; Neuronales Netz; Entscheidungsfindung; Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie; Interdisziplinarität
    Other subjects: Array; Array; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Array
    Scope: XVIII, 262 S., Ill., graph. Darst., 24 cm
    Notes:

    Formerly CIP Uk. - Includes bibliographical references and index

    Prelude: a double inheritance, a single question -- Bayes and bias -- Wish come true -- Fear materialized -- The familiarity fallacy -- The proximity trap -- Less is more -- Utopia--a world without bias -- Coda: the pleasure of prediction error.

  18. Bayesowska estymacja i predykcja dla jednorównaniowych modeli ekonometrycznych
    Published: 1991

    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: Polish
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Series: Array ; 100
    Subjects: Schätztheorie; Prognoseverfahren; Theorie
    Other subjects: Economics, Mathematical; Bayesian statistical decision theory
    Scope: 193 S
    Notes:

    Bayesian estimation and prediction for one-equation econometric models

    Includes bibliographical references (p. [176]-182)

  19. Problemy odporności w bayesowskiej analizie statystycznej
    Published: 1998
    Publisher:  Oficyna Wydawn. Szkoły Głównej Handlowej, Warszawa

    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: Polish
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    Edition: Wyd. 1
    Series: Monografie i opracowania / Szkoła Główna Handlowa ; 446
    Subjects: Bayes-Statistik; Theorie
    Other subjects: Bayesian statistical decision theory; Robust statistics; Estimation theory
    Scope: 191 S, 24 cm
    Notes:

    Includes bibliographical references (p. [183]-191)

  20. The anatomy of bias
    how neural circuits weigh the options
    Published: c2010
    Publisher:  MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass. [u.a.]

    Max-Planck-Institut für Bildungsforschung, Bibliothek und wissenschaftliche Information
    2010/624
    Unlimited inter-library loan, copies and loan
    Sächsische Landesbibliothek - Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Dresden
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    Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim
    500 CM 5500 L391
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    Universitätsbibliothek Osnabrück
    BBK / Lau
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    Saarländische Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek
    2010-7739
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    Universitätsbibliothek der Eberhard Karls Universität
    50 A 6940
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9780262123105; 026212310X
    Other identifier:
    9780262123105
    RVK Categories: CM 5500 ; CP 4200
    Subjects: Neural circuitry; Decision making; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Neural networks (Neurobiology); Nerve Net; Judgment; Models, Theoretical; Nervennetz; Neuronales Netz; Entscheidungsfindung; Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie; Interdisziplinarität
    Other subjects: Array; Array; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Array
    Scope: XVIII, 262 S., Ill., graph. Darst., 24 cm
    Notes:

    Formerly CIP Uk. - Includes bibliographical references and index

    Prelude: a double inheritance, a single question -- Bayes and bias -- Wish come true -- Fear materialized -- The familiarity fallacy -- The proximity trap -- Less is more -- Utopia--a world without bias -- Coda: the pleasure of prediction error.

  21. The Indo-European controversy
    facts and fallacies in historical linguistics
    Published: 2015
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    "Over the past decade, a group of prolific and innovative evolutionary biologists has sought to reinvent historical linguistics through the use of phylogenetic and phylogeographical analysis, treating cognates like genes and conceptualizing the... more

    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Potsdamer Straße
    1 A 930226
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    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
    100.0 * c.a * 38.1
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    Landesamt für Denkmalpflege und Archäologie, Sachsen-Anhalt, Landesmuseum für Vorgeschichte, Bibliothek
    Bc/1/892
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    Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt / Zentrale
    EU 700 103
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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
    I s 8/756
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    Technische Informationsbibliothek (TIB) / Leibniz-Informationszentrum Technik und Naturwissenschaften und Universitätsbibliothek
    MB/100/2553
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    H / PER
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    "Over the past decade, a group of prolific and innovative evolutionary biologists has sought to reinvent historical linguistics through the use of phylogenetic and phylogeographical analysis, treating cognates like genes and conceptualizing the spread of languages in terms of the diffusion of viruses. Using these techniques, researchers claim to have located the origin of the Indo-European language family in Neolithic Anatolia, challenging the near-consensus view that it emerged in the grasslands north of the Black Sea thousands of years later. But despite its widespread celebration in the global media, this new approach fails to withstand scrutiny. As languages do not evolve like biological species and do not spread like viruses, the model produces incoherent results, contradicted by the empirical record at every turn. This book asserts that the origin and spread of languages must be examined primarily through the time-tested techniques of linguistic analysis, rather than those of evolutionary biology"--

     

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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9781107665385; 9781107054530
    RVK Categories: EU 700 ; ES 410 ; EU 850
    Edition: 1. publ.
    Subjects: Indo-European languages; Indo-European languages; Historical linguistics; Linguistic analysis (Linguistics); Indo-Europeans; Indo-Europeans; Evolution (Biology); Phylogeny; Phylogeography; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Indo-European linguistics#diachronic linguistics#Indo-European languages#phylogeny; Indogermanistik; Indogermanische Sprachen; Historische Sprachwissenschaft
    Scope: XII, 324 S, Ill., graph. Darst., Kt
    Notes:

    Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke

    Literaturverz. S. 288 - 315

    Introduction: The Indo-European debate and why it mattersPart I. The Vexatious History of Indo-European Studies -- Ideology and interpretation from the 1700s to the 1970s -- Anatolia vs. the Steppes -- Part II. The Failings of the Bayesian Phylogenetic Research Program -- What theory we want and what theory we get -- Linguistic fallacies of the Bayesian phylogenetic model -- Dating problems of the Bayesian phylogenetic model -- The historical-geographical failure of the Bayesian phylogenetic model -- Unwarranted assumptions -- Part III. Searching for Indo-European Origins -- Why linguists don't do dates, or do they? -- Triangulating the Indo-European homeland -- The non-mystery of Indo-European expansion -- Whither historical linguistics? -- Conclusion: What is at stake in the Indo-European debate.