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  1. The Indo-European controversy
    facts and fallacies in historical linguistics
    Author: Pereltsvaig, Asya; Lewis, Martin W.
    Published: 2015
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

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    Universitätsbibliothek Bamberg
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  2. Data analysis
    a Bayesian tutorial : [for scientists and engineers]
    Author: Sivia, Deviderjit S.; Skilling, John
    Published: 2006
    Publisher:  Oxford University Press, Oxford

    One of the strengths of this book is the author's ability to motivate the use of Bayesian methods through simple yet effective examples. - Katie St. Clair MAA Reviews Intro -- Contents -- PART I: THE ESSENTIALS -- 1. The basics -- 1.1 Introduction:... more

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    One of the strengths of this book is the author's ability to motivate the use of Bayesian methods through simple yet effective examples. - Katie St. Clair MAA Reviews Intro -- Contents -- PART I: THE ESSENTIALS -- 1. The basics -- 1.1 Introduction: deductive logic versus plausible reasoning -- 1.2 Probability: Cox and the rules for consistent reasoning -- 1.3 Corollaries: Bayes' theorem and marginalization -- 1.4 Some history: Bayes, Laplace and orthodox statistics -- 1.5 Outline of book -- 2. Parameter estimation I -- 2.1 Example 1: is this a fair coin? -- 2.2 Reliabilities: best estimates, error-bars and confidence intervals -- 2.3 Example 2: Gaussian noise and averages -- 2.4 Example 3: the lighthouse problem -- 3. Parameter estimation II -- 3.1 Example 4: amplitude of a signal in the presence of background -- 3.2 Reliabilities: best estimates, correlations and error-bars -- 3.3 Example 5: Gaussian noise revisited -- 3.4 Algorithms: a numerical interlude -- 3.5 Approximations: maximum likelihood and least-squares -- 3.6 Error-propagation: changing variables -- 4. Model selection -- 4.1 Introduction: the story of Mr A and Mr B -- 4.2 Example 6: how many lines are there? -- 4.3 Other examples: means, variance, dating and so on -- 5. Assigning probabilities -- 5.1 Ignorance: indifference and transformation groups -- 5.2 Testable information: the principle of maximum entropy -- 5.3 MaxEnt examples: some common pdfs -- 5.4 Approximations: interconnections and simplifications -- 5.5 Hangups: priors versus likelihoods -- PART II: ADVANCED TOPICS -- 6. Non-parametric estimation -- 6.1 Introduction: free-form solutions -- 6.2 MaxEnt: images, monkeys and a non-uniform prior -- 6.3 Smoothness: fuzzy pixels and spatial correlations -- 6.4 Generalizations: some extensions and comments -- 7. Experimental design -- 7.1 Introduction: general issues -- 7.2 Example 7: optimizing resolution functions -- 7.3 Calibration, model selection and binning -- 7.4 Information gain: quantifying the worth of an experiment.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9780191546709
    RVK Categories: CM 2500 ; QH 233 ; SK 830
    Edition: Second edition
    Series: Oxford science publications
    Subjects: Bayesian statistical decision theory; Maximum entropy method; Maximum entropy method; Electronic books
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (xii, 246 Seiten)
  3. The Indo-European controversy
    facts and fallacies in historical linguistics
    Author: Pereltsvaig, Asya; Lewis, Martin W.
    Published: 2015
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

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    Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Universitätsbibliothek, Jacob-und-Wilhelm-Grimm-Zentrum
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  4. Determinants of economic growth
    a Bayesian panel data approach
    Author: Moral-Benito, Enrique
    Published: 2009
    Publisher:  World Bank, Development Research Group, Macroeconomics and Growth Team, Washington, DC

    "Model uncertainty hampers consensus on the key determinants of economic growth. Some recent cross-country, cross-sectional analyses have employed Bayesian Model Averaging to address the issue of model uncertainty. This paper extends that approach... more

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    "Model uncertainty hampers consensus on the key determinants of economic growth. Some recent cross-country, cross-sectional analyses have employed Bayesian Model Averaging to address the issue of model uncertainty. This paper extends that approach to panel data models with country-specific fixed effects. The empirical results show that the most robust growth determinants are the price of investment goods, distance to major world cities, and political rights. This suggests that growth-promoting policy strategies should aim to reduce taxes and distortions that raise the prices of investment goods; improve access to international markets; and promote democracy-enhancing institutional reforms. Moreover, the empirical results are robust to different prior assumptions on expected model size. "--World Bank web site

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    Series: Policy research working paper ; 4830
    Subjects: Economic development; Bayesian statistical decision theory
    Scope: Online-Ressource (31 S.)
    Notes:

    Literaturverz. S. 23 - 25
  5. Universality of Bayesian predictions
    Published: Nov. 2007
    Publisher:  Univ. of Cambridge, Dep. of Applied Economics, Faculty of Economics, Cambridge

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 942 (0755)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Cambridge working papers in economics ; 0755
    Subjects: Bayes-Statistik; Prognoseverfahren; Theorie; Econometrics; Bayesian statistical decision theory
    Scope: Online-Ressource, 35 S., Text
  6. Reexamining the consumption-wealth relationship
    the role of model uncertainty
    Author: Koop, Gary M.
    Published: Mar.2005
    Publisher:  Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York, NY

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    W 1140 (202)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/60627
    Series: Staff reports / Federal Reserve Bank of New York ; 202
    Subjects: Privater Konsum; Vermögenseffekt; Bayes-Statistik; Kointegration; Kointegration; Varianzanalyse; Consumption (Economics); Wealth; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Cointegration; Wealth effect; Vector error correction model; Bayesian model averaging; Cointegration; Variance composition
    Scope: Online Ressource, 23, [3] p, text, ill
  7. Bayesian extreme value mixture modelling for estimating VaR
    Published: [2009]
    Publisher:  Dept. of Economics and Finance, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, N.Z

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    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    VS 92 (2009,15)
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / Department of Economics and Finance, University of Canterbury ; 2009,15
    Subjects: Ausreißer; Bayes-Statistik; Risikomaß; Simulation; Extreme value theory; Bayesian statistical decision theory; Economic forecasting; Finance
    Scope: Online-Ressource (33 p., 759 Kb), graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    Archived by the National Library of New Zealand

    Title from PDF cover (viewed on Dec. 1, 2009)

    "27 October, 2009"--P.1

    "JEL Classifications: C11, G12, G17"--P.1

    Hypertext links contained in the archived instances of this title are non-functional

    Includes bibliographical references (p. 30-33)
  8. The Indo-European controversy :
    facts and fallacies in historical linguistics /
    Author: Pereltsvaig, Asya; Lewis, Martin W.
    Published: 2015.
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press,, Cambridge :

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    Freie Universität Berlin, Universitätsbibliothek, Zentralbibliothek
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  9. The Indo-European controversy
    facts and fallacies in historical linguistics
    Author: Pereltsvaig, Asya; Lewis, Martin
    Published: 2015.
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Over the past decade, a group of prolific and innovative evolutionary biologists has sought to reinvent historical linguistics through the use of phylogenetic and phylogeographical analysis, treating cognates like genes and conceptualizing the spread... more

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    Over the past decade, a group of prolific and innovative evolutionary biologists has sought to reinvent historical linguistics through the use of phylogenetic and phylogeographical analysis, treating cognates like genes and conceptualizing the spread of languages in terms of the diffusion of viruses. Using these techniques, researchers claim to have located the origin of the Indo-European language family in Neolithic Anatolia, challenging the near-consensus view that it emerged in the grasslands north of the Black Sea thousands of years later. But despite its widespread celebration in the global media, this new approach fails to withstand scrutiny. As languages do not evolve like biological species and do not spread like viruses, the model produces incoherent results, contradicted by the empirical record at every turn. This book asserts that the origin and spread of languages must be examined primarily through the time-tested techniques of linguistic analysis, rather than those of evolutionary biology. List of figures -- List of maps -- List of tables -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction: The Indo-European debate and why it matters -- Part I. The vexatious history of Indo-European studies. Ideology and interpretation from the 1700s to the 1970s ; Anatolia vs. the Steppes -- Part II. The failings of the Bayesian phylogenetic research program. What theory we want and what theory we get ; Linguistic fallacies of the Bayesian phylogenetic model ; Dating problems of the Bayesian phylogenetic model ; The historical-geographical failure of the Bayesian phylogenetic model ; Unwarranted assumptions -- Part III. Searching for Indo-European origins. Why linguists don't do dates? -- or do they? ; Triangulating the Indo-European homeland ; The non-mystery of Indo-European expansion ; Whither historical linguistics? -- Conclusion: What is at stake in the Indo-European debate

     
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  10. The Indo-European controversy
    facts and fallacies in historical linguistics
    Author: Pereltsvaig, Asya; Lewis, Martin
    Published: 2015.
    Publisher:  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Over the past decade, a group of prolific and innovative evolutionary biologists has sought to reinvent historical linguistics through the use of phylogenetic and phylogeographical analysis, treating cognates like genes and conceptualizing the spread... more

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    Over the past decade, a group of prolific and innovative evolutionary biologists has sought to reinvent historical linguistics through the use of phylogenetic and phylogeographical analysis, treating cognates like genes and conceptualizing the spread of languages in terms of the diffusion of viruses. Using these techniques, researchers claim to have located the origin of the Indo-European language family in Neolithic Anatolia, challenging the near-consensus view that it emerged in the grasslands north of the Black Sea thousands of years later. But despite its widespread celebration in the global media, this new approach fails to withstand scrutiny. As languages do not evolve like biological species and do not spread like viruses, the model produces incoherent results, contradicted by the empirical record at every turn. This book asserts that the origin and spread of languages must be examined primarily through the time-tested techniques of linguistic analysis, rather than those of evolutionary biology. List of figures -- List of maps -- List of tables -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction: The Indo-European debate and why it matters -- Part I. The vexatious history of Indo-European studies. Ideology and interpretation from the 1700s to the 1970s ; Anatolia vs. the Steppes -- Part II. The failings of the Bayesian phylogenetic research program. What theory we want and what theory we get ; Linguistic fallacies of the Bayesian phylogenetic model ; Dating problems of the Bayesian phylogenetic model ; The historical-geographical failure of the Bayesian phylogenetic model ; Unwarranted assumptions -- Part III. Searching for Indo-European origins. Why linguists don't do dates? -- or do they? ; Triangulating the Indo-European homeland ; The non-mystery of Indo-European expansion ; Whither historical linguistics? -- Conclusion: What is at stake in the Indo-European debate

     
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