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Displaying results 1 to 15 of 15.

  1. Stock market dispersion, sectoral shocks, and the German business cycle
    Author: Döpke, Jörg; Pierdzioch, Christian
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  Inst. of World Economics, Kiel

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  2. Stock Market Dispersion, Sectoral Shocks, and the German Business Cycle
    Author: Döpke, Jörg; Pierdzioch, Christian
    Published: 2000
    Publisher:  Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel

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  3. Navigating trust dynamics in Turkey
    insights from the initial eight months of the COVID-19 pandemic
    Author: Temena, Mehmet Arda
    Published: [2024]
    Publisher:  TEKPOL, Science and Technology Policies Research Center, Ankara, Turkey

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    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: TEKPOL working paper serie ; STPS-WP-24, 01
    Subjects: Government trust; lock-down; COVID-19 pandemic; political trust in crisis; crosssectional survey data; probit model
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten)
  4. Investigating the factors affecting female labor force participation in Türkiye
    a study based on the Household Labor Force Survey 2022
    Author: Ürper, Tuba Demiryürek; Özbel, Şeyda Ayan
    Published: [2024]
    Publisher:  TEKPOL, Science and Technology Policies Research Center, Ankara, Turkey

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    Series: TEKPOL working paper serie ; STPS-WP-24, 02
    Subjects: Female labor force participation (FLFP); education; household size; migration; marital status; regional income; household data; probit model; Türkiye
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 38 Seiten)
  5. Return migration and entrepreneurship in Cameroon
    Author: Tamwo, Sévérin; Gandjon Fankem, Ghislain Stéphane; Taka, Dieudonné
    Published: July 2022
    Publisher:  United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research, Helsinki, Finland

    In this paper, we examine the determinants of the entrepreneurial behaviour of returnees to Cameroon based on original survey data from 2012. Contrary to the existing literature, we focus on the skills received from abroad without omitting the effect... more

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    In this paper, we examine the determinants of the entrepreneurial behaviour of returnees to Cameroon based on original survey data from 2012. Contrary to the existing literature, we focus on the skills received from abroad without omitting the effect of savings. We distinguish between three types of competences related to qualifications. We also differentiate between the probability of starting a business in the primary sector and the probability of starting a business in the tertiary sector. The main results, obtained from a probit model, show that: (i) degrees and qualifications and qualifications acquired abroad do not positively influence the probability of migrants to undertake a new activity once back home; in contrast, accumulated savings, captured by the time spent abroad, have a positive influence; (ii) other qualifications have no influence on the entrepreneurial behaviour of return migrants; and (iii) the entrepreneurial behaviour of return migrants is not oriented towards the primary sector but rather towards the tertiary sector. These results are robust when we account for endogeneity

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789292672065
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/267823
    Series: WIDER working paper ; 2022, 75
    Subjects: returnees; skills; entrepreneurship; probit model; endogeneity; Cameroon
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 30 Seiten), Illustrationen
  6. De jure benchmark bonds
    Author: Remolona, Eli M.; Yetman, James
    Published: 2019
    Publisher:  Bank for International Settlements, Monetary and Economic Department, [Basel]

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: BIS working papers ; no 830 (December 2019)
    Subjects: benchmark bond; price discovery; market liquidity; informational public good; recycling; de jure; de facto; wannabe benchmark; probit model; inverse Mills ratio
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 29 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. Equity premium predictability over the business cycle
    Author: Mönch, Emanuel; Stein, Tobias
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  Deutsche Bundesbank, Frankfurt am Main

    The equity premium follows a pronounced v-shape pattern around the beginning of recessions. It sharply drops into negative territory just before business cycle peaks and then strongly recovers as the recession unfolds. Recessions are preceded by an... more

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    The equity premium follows a pronounced v-shape pattern around the beginning of recessions. It sharply drops into negative territory just before business cycle peaks and then strongly recovers as the recession unfolds. Recessions are preceded by an inverted yield curve. Thus probit models using the term spread as predictor time the beginning of recessions well. We show that such model-implied recession probabilities strongly improve equity premium prediction out-of-sample. We document a structural break in the mean of the term spread in 1982. When correcting for this break, the forecast performance further strengthens, outperforming other recently proposed benchmark predictors.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9783957298331
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/240197
    Series: Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank ; no 2021, 25
    Subjects: Recession predictability; return predictability; business cycle; probit model; term spread
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 75 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. Another look at the linear probability model and nonlinear index models
    Author: Chen, Kaicheng; Martin, Robert S.; Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.
    Published: [2023]
    Publisher:  U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Office of Prices and Living Conditions, Washington, DC

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: BLS working papers ; 569 (October 16, 2023)
    Subjects: linear probability model; average partial effect; nonlinear least square; probit model; ;
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 37 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. Role of maternal education and prenatal care on child health in Cameroon
    Author: Josiane, Feumeni Saleu
    Published: July 2020
    Publisher:  African Economic Research Consortium, Nairobi, Kenya

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
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    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9789966610935
    Series: Research paper / African Economic Research Consortium ; 399
    Subjects: Child health; maternal education; prenatal care; inverse Mills ratio; probit model; negative binomial model; CDHS
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 56 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. Do leading indicators help to predict business cycle turning points in Germany?
    Author: Fritsche, Ulrich; Kouzine, Vladimir
    Published: 2002
    Publisher:  Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW), Berlin

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  11. Do leading indicators help to predict business cycle turning points in Germany?
    Author: Fritsche, Ulrich; Kouzine, Vladimir
    Published: 2002
    Publisher:  DIW, Berlin

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  12. Forecasting US recessions with macro factors
    Author: Fossati, Sebastian
    Published: 2013
    Publisher:  Univ. of Alberta, Dep. of Economics, Edmonton

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    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / University of Alberta, Department of Economics ; 2013,3
    Subjects: recession; forecasting; factors; probit model
    Scope: Online-Ressource (28 S.), graph. Darst.
  13. Who is overeducated and why?
    probit and dynamic mixed multinomial logit analyses of vertical mismatch in East and West Germany
    Author: Boll, Christina; Leppin, Julian Sebastian; Schömann, Klaus
    Published: 2014
    Publisher:  HWWI Institute of International Economics, Hamburg

    Overeducation is an often overlooked facet of untapped human resources. But who is overeducated and why? Relying on SOEP data 1984-2011, we use probit models for estimating the likelihood of entering overeducation and dynamic mixed multinomial logit... more

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    Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Hamburg Carl von Ossietzky
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    Overeducation is an often overlooked facet of untapped human resources. But who is overeducated and why? Relying on SOEP data 1984-2011, we use probit models for estimating the likelihood of entering overeducation and dynamic mixed multinomial logit models with random effects addressing state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity. As further robustness checks we use three specifications of the target variable, i.e. realized matches, self-assessment and twofold overeducation. We run separate analyses for men and women, East and West Germans and medium and highly educated persons. We find that overeducation is mainly state dependent. Nonetheless, even in the dynamic context staying employed proves to be risk-decreasing. By contrast, scars of past unemployment show up in a higher mismatch risk. Moreover, an employer change does not serve as a suitable exit strategy, and a dual qualification does not show up as a valid insurance against graduates' job mismatch. Overall, effects largely depend on the operationalization of overeducation. We conclude that to combat overeducation, focusing on continuous employment careers and circumventing unintentional withdrawals from the current job is crucial. Moreover, institutional impediments that restrain job match quality for certain groups (migrants, mothers) have to be tackled. Überqualifikation ist ein zuweilen übersehener Aspekt in der Debatte um ungenutzte Fachkräftepotenziale. Aber wer ist überqualifiziert, und warum? Basierend auf Daten des Sozio-oekonomischen Panels (SOEP) der Wellen 1984-2011 schätzen wir mit Probitmodellen die Wahrscheinlichkeit für neue Überqualifikation sowie mit dynamischen Multinomialen Mixed Logit-Modellen mit zufälligen Effekten die Wahrscheinlichkeit für Überqualifikation unter Berücksichtigung von Pfadabhängigkeit und unbeobachteter Populationsheterogenität. Das Messfehlerproblem kontrollieren wir durch drei verschiedene Spezifikationen der abhängigen Variable, die selbsteingeschätzte Überqualifikation, die statistische Überqualifikation (Realized Matches) sowie eine Kombination aus beidem. Wir führen die Schätzungen getrennt für Männer und Frauen, Ost- und Westdeutsche sowie Personen mittlerer und hoher Bildung durch. Unsere Analysen zeigen, dass Überqualifikation ein hohes Beharrungsvermögen hat. Allerdings vermindert Erwerbserfahrung das Risiko der Überqualifikation auch im dynamischen Modell unter Kontrolle unbeobachteter Heterogenität. Narbeneffekte früherer Arbeitslosigkeit hingegen zeigen sich in einem höheren Überqualifikationsrisiko. Weder ein Arbeitgeberwechsel noch (bei Akademiker/innen) eine Doppelqualifikation in Form von Lehre plus Studium taugen als wirksame Ausweichstrategien. Um Überqualifikation im Job zu vermindern, scheinen Strategien, die konti-nuierliche Erwerbskarrieren fördern, vielversprechend zu sein. Für bestimmte Gruppen am Arbeitsmarkt (Migranten, Mütter) erschweren zudem institutionelle Barrieren ein gutes Jobmatch, die es gezielt anzugehen gilt.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/97281
    Edition: May 2014
    Series: HWWI research paper ; 149
    Subjects: overeducation; dynamic mixed multinomial logit; probit model; mismatch; Germany; state dependence
    Scope: Online-Ressource (43 p.), graph. Darst.
    Notes:

    References p. 25 - 31

    Zsfassung in dt. Sprache
  14. Who is overeducated and why?
    probit and dynamic mixed multinomial logit analyses of vertical mismatch in East and West Germany
    Author: Boll, Christina; Leppin, Julian Sebastian; Schömann, Klaus
    Published: 2014
    Publisher:  DIW, Berlin

    Overeducation is an often overlooked facet of untapped human resources. But who is overeducated and why? Relying on SOEP data 1984 - 2011, we use probit models for estimating the likelihood of entering overeducation and dynamic mixed multinomial... more

    Location:
    Niedersächsische Staats- und Universitätsbibliothek Göttingen
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    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle, Bibliothek
    Inter-library loan:
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    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    DS 318 (661)
    Inter-library loan:
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    Overeducation is an often overlooked facet of untapped human resources. But who is overeducated and why? Relying on SOEP data 1984 - 2011, we use probit models for estimating the likelihood of entering overeducation and dynamic mixed multinomial logit models with random effects addressing state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity. As further robustness checks we use three specifications of the target variable, i.e. realized matches, self-assessment and twofold overeducation. We run separate analyses for men and women, East and West Germans and medium and highly educated persons. We find that overeducation is mainly state dependent. Nonetheless, even in the dynamic context staying employed proves to be risk-decreasing. By contrast, scars of past unemployment show up in a higher mismatch risk. Moreover, an employer change does not serve as a suitable exit strategy, and a dual qualification does not show up as a valid insurance against graduates' job mismatch. Overall, effects largely depend on the operationalization of overeducation. We conclude that to combat overeducation, focusing on continuous employment careers and circumventing unintentional withdrawals from the current job is crucial. Moreover, institutional impediments that restrain job match quality for certain groups (migrants, mothers) have to be tackled.

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Other identifier:
    hdl: 10419/98726
    Series: SOEPpapers on multidisciplinary panel data research ; 661
    Subjects: Overeducation; dynamic mixed multinomial logit; probit model; mismatch; Germany; state dependence
    Scope: Online-Ressource (32 S.), graph. Darst.
  15. Decision to emigrate amongst the youth in Lebanon
    Author: Dibeh, Ghassan; Fakih, Ali; Marrouch, Walid
    Published: January 2017
    Publisher:  CIRANO, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en analyse des organisations, Montréal

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Scientific series / CIRANO, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en analyse des organisations ; 2017s-04
    Subjects: Emigration; youth; Lebanon; probit model
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten)