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  1. Disagreement about future inflation
    understanding the benefits of inflation targeting and transparency
    Author: Brito, Steve; Carrière-Swallow, Yan; Gruss, Bertrand
    Published: January 2018
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    We estimate the determinants of disagreement about future inflation in a large and diverse sample of countries, focusing on the role of monetary policy frameworks. We offer novel insights that allow us to reconcile mixed findings in the literature on... more

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    We estimate the determinants of disagreement about future inflation in a large and diverse sample of countries, focusing on the role of monetary policy frameworks. We offer novel insights that allow us to reconcile mixed findings in the literature on the benefits of inflation targeting regimes and central bank transparency. The reduction in disagreement that follows the adoption of inflation targeting is entirely due to increased central bank transparency. Since the benefits of increased transparency are non-linear, the gains from inflation targeting adoption have accrued mainly to countries that started from a low level of transparency. These have tended to be developing countries

     
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  2. The performance of forecast-based monetary policy rules under model uncertainty
    Author: Levin, Andrew T.; Wieland, Volker; Williams, John C.
    Published: 2003
    Publisher:  Univ.-Bibliothek Frankfurt am Main, Frankfurt am Main

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    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    DDC Categories: 330; 380; 650; 670
    Series: Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 2003,06
    Subjects: Inflation Targeting; Geldpolitik; Aggregiertes Nationalmodell; LIMA <Modell, 1983>; HERMES-Modell; Prognoseverfahren; Theorie; Geldpolitik
    Other subjects: (stw)Inflationssteuerung; (stw)Geldpolitisches Ziel; (stw)Makroökonometrie; (stw)Prognoseverfahren; (stw)Theorie; inflation forecast targeting; optimal monetary policy; Arbeitspapier; Graue Literatur; Buch; Online-Publikation
    Scope: Online-Ressource
  3. Monetary policy rules and oil price shocks
    Author: Kamps, Christophe; Pierdzioch, Christian
    Published: 2002
    Publisher:  Inst. of World Economics, Kiel

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  4. The link of the monetary indicator to future inflation in the Euro area - a simulation experiment
    Author: Gottschalk, Jan; Stolz, Stéphanie Marie
    Published: 2001
    Publisher:  Inst. of World Economics, Kiel

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  5. Active monetary policy, passive fiscal policy and the value of public debt
    some further monetarist arithmetic
    Author: Thadden, Leopold von
    Published: 2003
    Publisher:  Dt. Bundesbank, Press and Public Relations Div., Frankfurt am Main

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  6. Disagreement about future inflation
    understanding the benefits of inflation targeting and transparency
    Author: Brito, Steve; Carrière-Swallow, Yan; Gruss, Bertrand
    Published: January 2018
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    We estimate the determinants of disagreement about future inflation in a large and diverse sample of countries, focusing on the role of monetary policy frameworks. We offer novel insights that allow us to reconcile mixed findings in the literature on... more

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    We estimate the determinants of disagreement about future inflation in a large and diverse sample of countries, focusing on the role of monetary policy frameworks. We offer novel insights that allow us to reconcile mixed findings in the literature on the benefits of inflation targeting regimes and central bank transparency. The reduction in disagreement that follows the adoption of inflation targeting is entirely due to increased central bank transparency. Since the benefits of increased transparency are non-linear, the gains from inflation targeting adoption have accrued mainly to countries that started from a low level of transparency. These have tended to be developing countries

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781484339718
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    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/18, 24
    Subjects: Inflationssteuerung; Zentralbank; Fiskalische Transparenz; Inflationserwartung; Entwicklungsländer; Central Bank Transparency; Inflation Forecasts; Inflation Targeting; IT Adoption; WP
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 19 Seiten), Illustrationen
  7. On the separation between prices and quantities$ba note on the interest rate as an artifact of self-validating beliefs
    Author: Dvoskin, Ariel; Libman, Emiliano
    Published: September 2024
    Publisher:  Centro di ricerche e documentazione "Piero Sraffa", Roma (Italy)

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    Media type: Book
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    Series: Centro Sraffa working papers ; n. 68
    Subjects: Inflation Targeting; Interest Rates; Monetary Theory of Distribution; NewConsensus Model
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 18 Seiten), Illustrationen
  8. On robustness of average inflation targeting
    Author: Honkapohja, Seppo; McClung, Nigel
    Published: February 2023
    Publisher:  Helsinki Graduate School of Economics, Helsinki

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
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    ISBN: 9789527543016
    Series: Helsinki GSE discussion papers ; 2 (2023)
    Subjects: Adaptive Learning; Inflation Targeting; Zero Interest Rate Lower Bound
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 65 Seiten), Illustrationen
  9. The monetary policy of the South African Reserve Bank
    stance, communication and credibility
    Author: Coco, Alberto; Viegi, Nicola
    Published: June 2020
    Publisher:  Economic Research and Statistics Department, South African Reserve Bank, Pretoria

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    Series: South African Reserve Bank working paper series ; WP, 20, 06
    Subjects: Inflation Targeting; Taylor rule; Natural Language Processing; Inflation Expectations; South Africa
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 34 Seiten), Illustrationen
  10. The role of energy price shocks in the transmission of monetary policy in an inflation targeting country
    the case of Ghana
    Author: Harvey, Simon Kwadzogah; Walley, Bernard Jagre
    Published: July 2022
    Publisher:  African Economic Research Consortium, Nairobi, Kenya

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    ISBN: 9789966612144
    Series: Research paper / African Economic Research Consortium ; 513
    Subjects: Monetary Policy; Inflation Targeting; Energy Prices
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 35 Seiten), Illustrationen
  11. Counter-cyclical fiscal rules and the zero lower bound
    Author: Hauptmeier, Sebastian; Kamps, Christophe; Radke, Lucas
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  European Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main, Germany

    We analyse the effectiveness of optimal simple and implementable monetary and fiscal policy rules in stabilising economic activity, inflation and government debt in face of an occasionally binding lower bound on the nominal interest rate in a New... more

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    We analyse the effectiveness of optimal simple and implementable monetary and fiscal policy rules in stabilising economic activity, inflation and government debt in face of an occasionally binding lower bound on the nominal interest rate in a New Keynesian model. We show that, within the traditional assignment of active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy, the optimal fiscal policy rule features a strong counter-cyclical response to the deviation of inflation from the central bank's target - providing significant macroeconomic stabilisation especially at the lower bound - while also featuring a strong response to government debt. Our quantitative results show that the optimal counter-cyclical fiscal feedback to inflation significantly improves welfare and reduces the lower-bound frequency. In addition, the optimal simple monetary and fiscal rules almost completely resolve the deflationary bias associated with the lower bound.

     
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    ISBN: 9789289953009
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    hdl: 10419/269122
    Series: Working paper series / European Central Bank ; no 2715 (August 2022)
    Subjects: Fiscal Rules; Zero Lower Bound; Inflation Targeting; Deflationary Bias
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten), Illustrationen
  12. Redistributive policy shocks and monetary policy with heterogeneous agents
    Author: Bahl, Ojasvita; Ghate, Chetan; Mallick, Debdulal
    Published: September 2022
    Publisher:  Institute of Economic Growth, University of Delhi, Delhi, India

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: IEG working paper ; no. 455
    Subjects: TANK models; Inflation Targeting; Emerging Market and Developing Economies; Procurement and Redistribution; DSGE
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 62 Seiten), Illustrationen
  13. Inflation persistence in Uganda
    evidence before & after the introduction of the inflation targeting regime
    Author: Okello, Apaa Jimmy; Opolot, Jacob
    Published: June 2020
    Publisher:  Bank of Uganda, [Kampala]

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    Series: Working paper series / Bank of Uganda ; no. 2020, 14
    Subjects: Inflation persistence; Inflation Targeting; Uganda
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 21 Seiten), Illustrationen
  14. On robustness of average inflation targeting
    Author: Honkapohja, Seppo; McClung, Nigel
    Published: 21 April 2021
    Publisher:  Bank of Finland, Helsinki

    This paper considers the performance of average inflation targeting (AIT) policy in a New Keynesian model with adaptive learning agents. Our analysis raises concerns regarding robustness of AIT when agents have imperfect knowledge. In particular, the... more

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    This paper considers the performance of average inflation targeting (AIT) policy in a New Keynesian model with adaptive learning agents. Our analysis raises concerns regarding robustness of AIT when agents have imperfect knowledge. In particular, the target steady state can be locally unstable under learning if details about the policy are not publicly available. Near the low steady state with interest rates at the zero lower bound, AIT does not necessarily outperform a standard inflation targeting policy. Policymakers can improve outcomes under AIT by (i) targeting a discounted average of inflation, or (ii) communicating the data window for the target.

     
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    ISBN: 9789523233737
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    hdl: 10419/240346
    Series: Bank of Finland research discussion papers ; 2021, 6
    Subjects: Adaptive Learning; Inflation Targeting; Zero Interest Rate Lower Bound
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 68 Seiten), Illustrationen
  15. Did the Federal Reserve break the Phillips curve?
    theory and evidence of anchoring inflation expectations
    Author: Bundick, Brent; Smith, Andrew Lee
    Published: 2020
    Publisher:  Federal Research Bank of Kansas City, Kansas City, Mo.

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    Source: Union catalogues
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    Series: KcFED research working papers ; RWP 20, 11 (September 2020)
    Subjects: Monetary Policy; Inflation; Inflation Targeting; Central Bank Communication; Structural Breaks; Phillips Curve
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 41 Seiten), Illustrationen
  16. Die gelungene neue Strategie der EZB
    Author: Dullien, Sebastian; Tober, Silke
    Published: [2021]
    Publisher:  Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK) der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Düsseldorf

    Die Europäische Zentralbank hat ihre zuletzt 2003 geänderte geldpolitische Strategie grundlegend überholt. Aus Sicht des IMK ging es im Wesentlichen darum, den Strategie-Text an die seit 2011 entscheidend weiterentwickelten geldpolitischen Leitlinien... more

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    Die Europäische Zentralbank hat ihre zuletzt 2003 geänderte geldpolitische Strategie grundlegend überholt. Aus Sicht des IMK ging es im Wesentlichen darum, den Strategie-Text an die seit 2011 entscheidend weiterentwickelten geldpolitischen Leitlinien anzupassen. Mit der im Juli 2021 veröffentlichten neuen geldpolitischen Strategie ist nun genau das geschehen. Zentrales Element der neuen Strategie ist das mit 2 % eindeutige und symmetrische Inflationsziel. Es ist der entscheidende Maßstab, der durch den Vergleich mit der Inflationsprognose geldpolitischen Handlungsbedarf anzeigt und zugleich eine Orientierungsgröße für die Erwartungen in Lohnverhandlungen, bei der Preissetzung und an den Finanzmärkten liefert. Die Europäische Zentralbank hat in Einklang mit den EU-Verträgen zudem klargestellt, dass ihre makroökonomische Verantwortung über die Preisstabilität hinausgeht, Preisstabilität jedoch ihr oberstes Ziel darstellt. Weitere strategische Änderungen bestehen darin, die bisher als unkonventionell bezeichneten geldpolitischen Instrumente wie Wertpapierkäufe in den regulären Werkzeugkasten zu überführen, die Kosten selbstgenutzten Wohneigentums perspektivisch im Inflationsmaß zu berücksichtigen und die makroökonomischen Folgen von Entwicklungen in Zusammenhang mit der existentiellen Herausforderung Klimawandel stärker in die Ausgestaltung der Geldpolitik einzubeziehen.

     
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    Language: German
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
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    hdl: 10419/250718
    Series: IMK policy brief / Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung ; Nr. 110 (September 2021)
    Subjects: EZB; geldpolitische Strategie; Preisschocks; Inflation Targeting; selbst genutztes Wohneigentum
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 15 Seiten), Illustrationen
  17. Considerations on the monetary policy framework of the European Central Bank
    Author: Tosato, Andrea Giorgio
    Published: [2022]
    Publisher:  Central Bank of Malta, [Valletta]

    This working paper offers some considerations on the monetary policy framework of the European Central Bank. The trade-offs arising from adopting a point target configuration over a range target one are assessed in terms of their flexibility vs.... more

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    This working paper offers some considerations on the monetary policy framework of the European Central Bank. The trade-offs arising from adopting a point target configuration over a range target one are assessed in terms of their flexibility vs. inflation anchoring properties. This layout is then confronted with the policy framework in use in the euro area prior to the adoption of the new monetary strategy, which is interpreted as leaning on the side of flexibility. The increased likelihood of dis-anchoring of long-term inflation expectations experienced in the euro area since 2013, however, suggests that the policy framework could benefit from a rebalancing towards a formulation with stronger anchoring properties. The inflation aim of the ECB could thus be reformulated with the introduction of a symmetric 2%-point target. By evaluating this arrangement in terms of the price stability definition, two regions emerge where either the policy aim (symmetric 2%-point target) or the price stability definition (between 0% and 2%) are satisfied, but not both. To avoid any inconsistency in the policy framework, an inflation aim centred at 2% requires an amendment of the price stability definition.

     
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    hdl: 10419/268293
    Series: Working papers / Central Bank of Malta ; WP/2022, 01
    Subjects: Inflation Targeting; European Central Bank; Inflation Expectations; Price Stability
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 55 Seiten), Illustrationen
  18. The impact of inflation targeting on inflation and growth: how robust is the evidence?
    Author: Junankar, Pramod N.; Wong, Chun Yee
    Published: May 2020
    Publisher:  IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Germany

    This paper evaluates the success of Inflation Targeting on inflation and growth on a large panel data set of both developing and developed countries. Earlier studies have found contradictory results depending on the methodology used, different... more

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    This paper evaluates the success of Inflation Targeting on inflation and growth on a large panel data set of both developing and developed countries. Earlier studies have found contradictory results depending on the methodology used, different authors have used different estimation methods on different samples of data. Some of the differences in results may also be due to the different time periods (or different frequencies of data) used in the estimation. In this paper, we provide evidence to show that the support for a successful Inflation Targeting policy is very weak or non-existent. We use various estimation methods on panel data on a large sample of countries. We note that the results depend critically on the sample selected, the method of estimation employed, and the procedure used to control for outliers. Section 2 of the paper outlines the process by which inflation targeting is hypothesised to influence inflation and growth, Section 3 surveys this literature, and Section 4 describes the data and provides descriptive statistics comparing the performance of Inflation Targeting countries and non-Inflation Targeting countries, Section 5 uses panel estimation methods including GMM techniques on different samples of data and demonstrates the fragile nature of the results. Section 6 provides the conclusions that suggest that IT policy does not necessarily help to reduce inflation and certainly does not stimulate economic growth.

     
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    hdl: 10419/223726
    Series: Discussion paper series / IZA ; no. 13284
    Subjects: Inflation Targeting; inflation; growth
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten)
  19. Foreign exchange intervention in inflation targeters in Latin America
    Contributor: Chamon, Marcos (HerausgeberIn); Hofman, David (HerausgeberIn); Magud, Nicolas (HerausgeberIn); Werner, Alejandro M. (HerausgeberIn)
    Published: 2019
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, USA

    Introduction : book in brief / Marcos Chamon, David Hofman, Nicolás E. Magud, and Alejandro Werner. Why intervene? / Marcos Chamon and NIcolás E. Magud -- A taxonomy of intervention / Oscar A. Hendrick, Nicolás E. Magud, and Asad Qureshi -- The... more

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    Introduction : book in brief / Marcos Chamon, David Hofman, Nicolás E. Magud, and Alejandro Werner. Why intervene? / Marcos Chamon and NIcolás E. Magud -- A taxonomy of intervention / Oscar A. Hendrick, Nicolás E. Magud, and Asad Qureshi -- The effectiveness of intervention / Marcos Chamon, David Hofman, Sergi Lanau, Umang Rawat, and Miklos Vari -- Forward intervention / Chris Walker -- Intervention under inflation targeting / Marcos Chamon, David Hofman, Nicolás E. Magud, Umang Rawat, and Alejandro Werner -- Brazil : taking stock of the past couple of decades / João Barata R. B. Barroso -- Interventions in Chile / Catalina Larraín and Diego Saravia -- Learning from experience in Colombia / Pamela Cardozo -- Costa Rica : learning to float / Rodrigo Cubero, Valerie Lankester, and Evelyn Muñoz -- Mexico : free-floating exchange regime / Rodrigo Cano, Daniela Gallardo, and Jaime Acosta -- Peru : foreign exchange intervention under financial dollarization / Adrian Armas and Marco Vega -- Uruguay : interventions and their effects / Elizabeth Bucacos, Alberto Graña, Gerardo Licandro, and Miguel Mello. Foreign exchange intervention is widely used as a policy tool, particularly in emerging markets, but our understanding of many facets of this tool remain limited, especially in the context of flexible exchange rate regimes. The Latin American experience shows how some of its largest countries have adopted floating exchange rate regimes and inflation targeting while continuing to intervene in foreign exchange markets

     
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Contributor: Chamon, Marcos (HerausgeberIn); Hofman, David (HerausgeberIn); Magud, Nicolas (HerausgeberIn); Werner, Alejandro M. (HerausgeberIn)
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Print
    ISBN: 9781484375686
    Subjects: Wechselkurspolitik; Inflationssteuerung; Lateinamerika; Foreign exchange; Inflation (Finance); Inflation targeting; Foreign exchange; Inflation (Finance); Inflation targeting; Währungspolitik; Geldpolitik; Inflation Targeting; Latin America; Lateinamerika
    Scope: xx, 298 Seiten, Illustrationen, 23 cm
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    Includes bibliographical references and index
  20. Forecasting core inflation in India
    a four-step approach
    Author: Choudhary, Rishabh; Ghate, Chetan; Meman, Md Arbaj
    Published: September 2023
    Publisher:  Institute of Economic Growth, University of Delhi, Delhi, India

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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: IEG working paper ; no. 461
    Subjects: Inflation Forecasting in EMEs; Core Inflation; State-Space Models; Dynamic Factor Models; Macroeconomic Management; Inflation Targeting
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 40 Seiten), Illustrationen
  21. A snapshot of central bank (two year) forecasting
    a mixed picture
    Author: Goodhart, Charles A. E.; Pradhan, Manoj
    Published: 29 March 2023
    Publisher:  Centre for Economic Policy Research, London

    Access:
    Verlag (lizenzpflichtig)
    Verlag (lizenzpflichtig)

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    LZ 161
    Inter-library loan:
    No inter-library loan

    Location:
    Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim
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    No inter-library loan
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Array ; DP18043
    Subjects: Inflation Targeting; Forecasting; Crisis Periods; Expectations; Fan Chart
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 77 Seiten), Illustrationen
  22. Trouble every day
    monetary policy in an open emerging economy
    Author: Pirozhkova, Ekaterina; Ricco, Giovanni; Viegi, Nicola
    Published: [2024]
    Publisher:  Department of Economics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa

    Access:
    Verlag (kostenfrei)

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    ZSS 52
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    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Edition: This version: 30 September 2024
    Series: Department of Economics working paper series / Department of Economics, University of Pretoria ; 2024, 42 (September 2024)
    Subjects: Monetary policy; Small Open Economy; Inflation Targeting; Exchange Rates
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 48 Seiten), Illustrationen
  23. MPC voting, forecasting and inflation
    Author: Charemza, Wojciech; Ladley, Dan
    Published: 2012
    Publisher:  Univ. of Leicester, Dep. of Economics, Leicester

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    Keine Speicherung
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    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Working paper / University of Leicester, Department of Economics ; 12/23
    Subjects: Voting Rules; Monetary Policy; Inflation Targeting
    Scope: Online-Ressource (PDF-Datei: 16 S., 313KB), graph. Darst.
  24. National and provincial inflation in Canada
    experiences under inflation targeting
    Author: Chaban, Maxym; Voss, Graham M.
    Published: 2012
    Publisher:  Dep. of Economics, Univ. of Victoria, Victoria, BC

    Location:
    ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Standort Kiel
    Signature:
    Keine Speicherung
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    No inter-library loan
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    Content information
    Source: Union catalogues
    Language: English
    Media type: Book
    Format: Online
    Series: Department discussion paper / Department of Economics, University of Victoria ; 1201
    Subjects: Inflation; Monetary Policy; Inflation Targeting; Forecasting
    Scope: Online-Ressource (32 S.), graph. Darst.
  25. Optimal trend inflation
    Author: Adam, Klaus; Weber, Henning
    Published: [2017]
    Publisher:  Deutsche Bundesbank, Frankfurt am Main