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  1. Assessing China's residential real estate market
    Author: Ding, Ding; Huang, Xiaoyu; Jin, Tao; Lam, W. Raphael
    Published: November 2017
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    China's real estate market rebounded sharply after a temporary slowdown in 2014-2015. This paper uses city-level data to estimate the range of house price overvaluation across city-tiers and assesses the main risks of a sharp housing market slowdown.... more

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    Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin - Preußischer Kulturbesitz, Haus Unter den Linden
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    China's real estate market rebounded sharply after a temporary slowdown in 2014-2015. This paper uses city-level data to estimate the range of house price overvaluation across city-tiers and assesses the main risks of a sharp housing market slowdown. If house prices rise further beyond 'fundamental' levels and the bubble expands to smaller cities, it would increase the likelihood and costs of a sharp correction, which would weaken growth, undermine financial stability, reduce local government spending room, and spur capital outflows. Empirical analysis suggests that the increasing intensity of macroprudential policies tailored to local conditions is appropriate. The government should expand its toolkit to include additional macroprudential measures and push forward reforms to address the fundamental imbalances in the residential housing market

     
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  2. Assessing China's residential real estate market
    Author: Ding, Ding; Huang, Xiaoyu; Jin, Tao; Lam, W. Raphael
    Published: November 2017
    Publisher:  International Monetary Fund, [Washington, D.C.]

    China's real estate market rebounded sharply after a temporary slowdown in 2014-2015. This paper uses city-level data to estimate the range of house price overvaluation across city-tiers and assesses the main risks of a sharp housing market slowdown.... more

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    China's real estate market rebounded sharply after a temporary slowdown in 2014-2015. This paper uses city-level data to estimate the range of house price overvaluation across city-tiers and assesses the main risks of a sharp housing market slowdown. If house prices rise further beyond 'fundamental' levels and the bubble expands to smaller cities, it would increase the likelihood and costs of a sharp correction, which would weaken growth, undermine financial stability, reduce local government spending room, and spur capital outflows. Empirical analysis suggests that the increasing intensity of macroprudential policies tailored to local conditions is appropriate. The government should expand its toolkit to include additional macroprudential measures and push forward reforms to address the fundamental imbalances in the residential housing market

     
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    Source: Staatsbibliothek zu Berlin
    Language: English
    Media type: Ebook
    Format: Online
    ISBN: 9781484324813
    Other identifier:
    Series: IMF working paper ; WP/17, 248
    Subjects: Immobilienmarkt; Wohnimmobilien; Spekulationsblase; Finanzmarktaufsicht; China
    Scope: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 27 Seiten), Illustrationen